Earth energy shows stronger potential than geothermal in EU

PARIS, France, December 21, 2005 (Refocus Weekly)

Europe had installed 4,531 MW of earth energy heat pumps by the end of last year, reporting an increase of 20% over 2003.

The 25 countries have 379,183 units installed, compared with 310,353 in 2003, according to the latest Barometer produced by the EurObserv'ER consortium. The data do not include 33,000 systems installed in Switzerland.

The leading country is Sweden with 185,531 systems installed with 1,700 MW of thermal capacity, followed by Germany with 48,662 systems (633 MW-t), Austria with 30,577 (612), France with 49,950 (550) and Finland with 30,000 systems (300 MW-t of capacity). The balance of the top-ten countries is Netherlands, Italy, Poland, Denmark and Belgium.

The capacity indicates the thermal output of the heat pumps and not to the geothermal resource that heat pumps can draw from the ground, and the use of geothermal energy corresponding to the installed capacity is 0.58 Mtoe, the report notes. “The European Union is one of the main regions of the world to have developed this technology.”

“Total worldwide heat pump capacity has considerably increased these last five years,” and the total installed capacity of earth energy systems was 13, 815 MW-t last year, based on 1.2 million units with average capacity of 12 kW-t each), compared with 5,275 MW-t in 2000. The geothermal energy transferred from the ground was 1.45 Mtoe in 2004, a 300% increase from 2000.

Compared with deep-bore geothermal electric and geothermal direct use thermal (tapping into subterranean water tables where the temperature is 30 degrees C to 150 degrees C), “the heat pump industry is by far the most dynamic of the three geothermal sectors,” the report concludes. “Strong heat pump market growth has had important consequences on the industrial strategies of the main heating market actors who have sought to benefit from the present popularity of geothermal heat pumps.”

In Europe, the capacity of direct use geothermal was 2,059 MW-t last year in the 25-member EU, an increase of 718 MW-t over 2000. The largest application (37%) is for hot water in baths and swimming pools, slightly ahead of the 36% for heating buildings, followed by 19% for heating greenhouses and 6% for fish farming.

A world conference on geothermal energy in Turkey earlier this year estimated the total capacity for geothermal heat to be 12,103 MW-t, an increase of 2,233 MW-t over 2000.

The difficulty in determining thermal capacity makes forecast work “very difficult for experts,” and the report notes that the increase between 2000 and 2004 may result “more from problems of estimating the use of the resource than from a significant growth” in direct use applications. It says an annual increase of 50 MW until 2010 seems to be a “reasonable hypothesis” and would bring direct use geothermal capacity to 2,360 MW-t.

“The situation is much more favourable” for the earth energy heat pump market and, if that sector can maintain an average annual growth rate of 10% until 2010, “it could reach a capacity of 8,000 MW.” The objectives in the EU white paper of 5,000 MW, including 2,500 MW-t of heat pumps for the 15-member EU, were exceeded last year.

The EC new public awareness campaign, ‘Sustainable Energy Europe Campaign 2005- 2008,’ sets precise targets for 2008 in terms of geothermal, including 250,000 new heat pumps, 15 new geothermal electrical power plants and 10 new low-temperature power plants. “Taking current geothermal heat pump market growth into consideration (25% between 2003 and 2004), the new campaign objective appears to be completely achievable.”
EurObserv'ER is a consortium of six renewable energy groups in Europe, and publishes regular analyses on renewable energy technologies on the continent.


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