Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2005 Nov 07 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 311 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Nov 2005 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for isolated C-flares from Region 820 (S16W54).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 08 and 09 November. Mostly unsettled conditions are possible on 10 November.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Nov-10 Nov
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Nov 079
Predicted 08 Nov-10 Nov 080/080/080
90 Day Mean 07 Nov 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Nov 012/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Nov 005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 005/005-005/005-008/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Nov-10 Nov A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor storm 05/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor storm 05/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01