Global observers have been amazed that the world economy not yet
buckled under rising oil prices. Some Chinese officials may even be
ready to share such unbridled optimism.
Last Friday, a vice-minister from the National Development and Reform
Commission noted that China was 94 per cent self-sufficient in energy
use last year. This was the highest in the world.
The governor of the People's Bank of China, the country's central
bank, told reporters on the same day that he did not think rising energy
prices would have a substantial impact on economic growth rates.
Public attention is increasingly turning to high oil prices, but
reassuring words from top economic decision makers have helped ease
domestic concerns over choked petrol pumps and foreign suspicion about
China's growing appetite for energy.
Efforts are needed to keep energy supplies stable and buy more time
for necessary reforms.
With global oil prices hitting new records these days, however, empty
oil tanks have become an unexpected reality across the country. Time is
running out for the country's comprehensive energy, efficiency and
market regulation reforms.
One of the most pressing and important tasks for the government
should now be to drive home the message that high oil prices will affect
everyone.
Only when policy-makers demonstrate their resolve to expedite
energy-related reforms with concrete measures will the country's
producers, enterprises and consumers wake up to reality.
It is a pressing matter, but few seem to recognize the urgency yet.
A key reason why the world economy is managing to shrug off high oil
prices is because many developed economies have substantially reduced
their oil dependency by continuously improving their energy efficiency.
China has to realize that the energy it needs to produce one unit of
gross domestic product (GDP) is about twice what developed economies
need. This disadvantage can also be viewed as an opportunity, but
immediate action needs to be taken in order to exploit it.
Oil price hikes have made other new and clean energy sources a viable
option. When people talk about alternative energy, however, they do not
mean coal, which largely underpins China's self- sufficient energy
reserves.
The human and environmental costs the country has paid for coal
mining in recent years will be unaffordable in the future.
The Chinese economy is bound to bear the brunt of high oil prices.
Extensive growth is still a drag on the country's efforts to improve
energy efficiency, but economic globalization has made China an emerging
world manufacturing centre. This puts even more pressure on the
country's energy reserves.
Unfortunately, the government's response to failed oil supplies in
South China last month indicated a lack of clear thinking on the energy
issue.
Instead of inflating domestic oil prices to encourage supply, which
remain low compared with world oil prices, the relevant departments have
decided to stop domestic producers from exporting oil at higher costs.
The inflation concern behind these moves is valid, but these stopgap
measures will only postpone necessary adjustments to the domestic energy
market while doing nothing to address the underlying cause of inflation.
To rise to the challenge of high oil prices, policy-makers must
acknowledge today's reality, as well as the inevitable trends of
tomorrow.