Consultant Identifies Flaws, Suggests Remedies to Grid Shortfalls
Nov 09 - Power Engineering
On the first anniversary of the August 14th, 2003 power failure that affected a major portion of the Northeastern and Midwestern U.S. as well as parts of Canada, Power Engineering interviewed Dave Brown, viee president of NUS Consulting Group - a cost recovery company specializing in solutions to reduce utility costs, including electric power expenses, for commercial and industrial customers.
Brown: People with agendas will always tout their plans, but I don't believe
anyone could have predicted the August 14th blackout or had the answer in hand
prior to the event. Yes, the shortfalls in oui' power delivery system that
existed then exist now and probably will continue to exist for some time to
come. Very little action has been undertaken to prevent or minimize the effects
of the next major grid failure.
PE: What is the mosl significant flaw in the U.S. electric power grid that
needs to be addressed?
Brown: I believe that the most important issue facing the U.S. electric power
industry concerns what direction are we planning to take in terms of
deregulation. Right now we are "half fowl and half fish." There are
those pressing forward with electric deregulation, however we are paying very
little heed to some of the issues that led to the August 14th power failure.
Should retail deregulation be the answer and future? We need more federal
guidance and action in dealing with such issues as transmission, reserve
capacity, and uniformed reliability standards. Unless we are ready to deal with
such issues and make the financial commitment to pay for them, we would probably
be better off returning to the more traditional vertical utility model.
PE: We have seen a consortium of distributed energy providers form an
alliance - The Critical Power Coalition - to address the problem from the
standpoint that traditional energy infrastructure cannot meet today's needs from
either a reliability or power quality standard and urging an increased emphasis
on self-reliance. Any comments on that approach to solving problems?
Brown: That's one of those agendas alluded to earlier. Don't get me wrong. I
believe the distributed power industry serves a purpose to a very denned, almost
niche, market. However, I don't believe we should view it as a viable
replacement - either in whole or in significant part - to the traditional energy
infrastructure. Certainly, distributed generation can be looked at as a means to
address both bottlenecks and shortfalls.
PE: Has deregulation of the power industry undermined incentives to maintain
grid infrastructure?
Brown: I don't view deregulation as undermining the grid, but it has exposed
the grid for what it is, namely, something that was not originally designed with
deregulation in mind. If we continue to press forward with electric
deregulation, we need to address several critical issues including the upgrading
of our national transmission grid. As a first step, Congress needs to enact
federal guidelines dealing with uniform reliability standards. Thereafter, we
need to arrive at some consensus among the grid owners on how to implement those
uniform standards, including a timetable for such implementation.
PE: Can the grid be improved to accommodate more renewables, which tend to be
remote from load centers and therefore not good candidates for transmission
access.
Brown: Of course the grid can be improved and, where necessary, extended to
accommodate renewable energy sources. However the more important question is
whether the consuming public is ready to accept higher electricity prices in
order to accommodate such renewables.
PE: In Dave Brown's perfect world, what steps should be taken to assure a
dependable and economical power supply for the U.S.?
Brown: I suppose that in a socalled perfect world, we could have avoided
electric retail deregulation; altogether. Let's face it: Our infrastructure
shortfalls have increased or been heightened due to deregulation. The IPPs and
others came up with this grand plan Io increase their profitability. Now it's up
to the public to pay the costs necessary to facilitate their business plans.
However, this is not a perfect world and should we continue ahead on our present
course, the Federal government needs to step forward with a clear plan and
Congress needs to arm FP]RC with the necessary authority and funding to
implement it.
PE: Would there be any merit to placing the entire U.S. grid under federal
control, as a means to both standardize transmission access and assure needed
and uniform upgrades to the delivery system?
Brown: The Federal government needs to exercise more of its muscle. But I'm
not sure that assuming absolute control of the U.S. grid is the answer. The Feds
need to encourage, if not mandate, a set number of Regional Transmission
Organizations. Moreover, a commission could be established at the Federal level
wherein these RTOs, along with FERC, develop policies to better serve our
country's transmission grid. In implementing such a plan, the RTO retains
control of its system and related needs, but there would be a Federal governing
body that could facilitate cooperation and resolve operating disputes.
PE: IJ we proceed with full-fledged national deregulation, how do we fairly
and equitably extend the benefits of low-cost native power - such as hydro in
the northwest and coal in the Ohio Valley and Appalachian regions - to the rest
of the grid without those regions objecting?
Brown: This will depend on the level of utility economic socialization the
country is willing to accept. In practical terms, an exchange such as NYMEX
could be developed to facilitate financial transactions that would permit a
degree of levelized pricing. This is currently done in our natural gas and
petroleum markets. However, under this system, the benefit of low-cost
electricity available to those near a coal or hydro generating facility is lost
to a centralized pricing mechanism. Would Ohio residents be comfortable having
their low-cost power subsidize electricity prices in New York? Until we resolve
these issues, we will continue to be constrained by the physical nature to which
electricity can be practically and economically transported.
Copyright PennWell Publishing Company Oct 2004