Environmental Collectivism Plus Hedge Funds Equal a Huge Energy Tax on Ordinary People
November 2, 2004 (News Release)
Energy is essential for the lifestyles of ordinary people. Therefore, it is a very convenient tool for the political and financial gratification of wealthy elites on the East and West Coasts.
This collectivism provides the same gratifications and sources of power to
wealthy elites today that organized religion provided 60 to 100 years ago or the
New Deal provided 30 to 60 years ago. In the energy market, environmental
collectivism means fanatical opposition to energy production and energy
infrastructure of any kind (including offshore wind farms) while professing
ritual belief in renewable energy (as long as no one actually tries to produce
it near the vacation homes of the suburban elites) and conservation (which means
doing without for ordinary people or installing very expensive and meretricious
control systems in luxury homes).
Determined opposition to offshore oil and gas systems in the U.S. and to LNG
handling infrastructure anywhere on the East and West coasts is an integral part
of the belief systems of the wealthy suburban elites. This, of course, quite
deliberately creates severe choke points in global energy systems, preventing
U.S. consumers from accessing enormous and growing global oil and gas reserves.
The so-called "shortage" of oil and gas in the U.S. is an artificial
and quite unnecessary constraint on logistics (import facilities, refineries,
LNG terminals handling systems, oil and gas transportation). If the logistics
are choked then supply is choked (e.g., the biggest constraint on expanding gas
supply in the U.S. is building LNG import terminals and pipelines in Alaska, the
Canadian Artic and Rocky Mountains). There is more than enough gas production
capacity in gas exporting nations to easily meet U.S. needs at below $4.50/mmBtu
FOB U.S. LNG terminal. Even in Russia, the biggest constraint on large increases
in Siberian oil production is the lack of take away capacity, not lack of
reserves.
It is laughably easy for the wealthy environmental collectivists to create
logistical choke points. They have the money to influence and intimidate
politicians and the editorial boards of local and national media, finance any
number of "grassroots" campaigns, buy advertising, spread
disinformation and hire legions of lawyers. They understand every political,
regulatory and emotional pressure point and know that a few million dollars a
year can readily thwart billions of dollars in capital projects to ease
logistical constraints. Environmental collectivism is the most self indulgent
fun money can buy today in the U.S. It is a vast source of power, prestige and
snobbery.
The logistical choke points result, naturally, in oil and gas (and hence,
coal and electricity) prices being much higher than warranted by the abundance
of global oil and gas reserves and the economic costs of bring those reserves to
market. In turn, these high prices afford a very nice opportunity to make a lot
of money for the environmental collectivists. The money making instrument, as
one might expect, is the exclusive and exclusionary hedge fund. These funds are
accessible only to the top 5% of income earners and wealth owners in the U.S.,
many of whom live in the wealthiest suburban zip codes on the East and West
coasts.
Hedge funds profit mightily from the price momentum and volatility of oil and
gas. Huge sums of cash and credit have flowed into hedge funds very quickly in
2004. This sudden surge of money is being poured into oil and gas markets that
are heavily constrained by choke points. Moreover, the cost of capital facing
the hedge funds is very low because real interest rates are very low. A pyramid
of debt can be readily built on the slender base of equity allowing hedge funds
to print their own currency. This is awfully close to "free" money.
Enormous quantities of very cheap money chasing a fairly fixed (in the immediate
short term) supply of oil and gas globally naturally results in rapid price
inflation. This price inflation rebounds to the benefit of hedge fund operators
and investors.
The phenomenon of money driven rapid energy price escalation is reminiscent
of the tech equities bubble of Spring 1998 through Spring 2000. It lasted only
two years but it felt like a lifetime. It had very similar wealth effects. It
was just as unreal. It made a few clever operators and elite insiders,
especially favored venture fund and IPO investors very rich indeed. It caused a
huge transfer of wealth from retail or ordinary investors to a privileged few
with privileged access. It was compounded by deception, vanity and overwhelming
lust for money and status. The tidal wave of very cheap money hurled at
technology overwhelmed the absorptive capacity of both technologists and
consumers. The tidal wave passed over and in its wake left behind the broken
portfolios of retail investors and the broken careers of ordinary people.
The same thing is happening today in energy markets. An enormous and
enormously distorting tidal wave of privileged capital is flooding over oil and
gas. Unlike the more fantastic and dysfunctional products of the tech boom
everyone has to use energy for daily living. People can use less but not a lot
less energy. People can adapt but not in days. Over the course of a year,
ordinary Americans do not have a practical choice about spending on energy: they
have to pay more while using less. This is a brutal and pervasive unlegislated
tax on ordinary Americans imposed by the wealthy suburban elites.
The income transfer underway from ordinary people to the elites is
staggering. The elites hardly care if they double or triple their own energy
spending; the extra money means little to them and elite hedge fund investors
are making hundreds or thousands of times more money from the rise in energy
prices than they are paying in the unlegislated energy tax. Moreover, since
these investors are clever at shielding their income from taxes, they will keep
a great fraction of their winnings.
For these people it truly is a great racket. Use environmental collectivism
to engineer a scarcity and then use hedge funds to mightily profit. First the
insult to ordinary people and then the injury. It is all perfectly legal, of
course. How do we know? Well, the lawyers who inspired Enron, Tyco, WorldCom,
Marsh and McLennan say it is. Wall Street, which gave us crooked financial
analysts and mutual fund managers, says it is. The trial lawyers in the U.S.
Congress who made their fortunes bankrupting entire industries say it is.
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