The energy situation causes concern on Wall Street and investors generally
sell off shares. * * * WASHINGTON - Crude-oil prices surged above $51 a barrel for the first time
yesterday as output in the Gulf of Mexico remains in shambles more than two
weeks after Hurricane Ivan tore through the region. Light crude for November delivery soared $1.18 to settle at $51.09 a barrel
on the New York Mercantile Exchange -- the highest level in the exchange's
history. But even as the advance begins to appear unstoppable, with traders saying $55
a barrel seems possible, some analysts are convinced a speculative bubble has
formed. They say prices have become inflated as institutional investors, such as
hedge funds and mutual funds, pile on bets in the energy markets. "Oil has become the only game in town," said Fadel Gheit, senior
vice president of oil and gas research at Oppenheimer & Co. in New York.
"Every other investment vehicle has disappointed over the last 12
months." On Wall Street, uneasy investors sold stocks mostly lower as oil prices
spurred worries that rising energy costs would curb consumer spending and
corporate profits. But the major indexes did not see a major oil-based selloff,
as they had in the past, when crude futures posted a new record closing price. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 38.86, or 0.4 percent, to 10,177.68. Broader stock indicators were narrowly mixed. The Standard & Poor's 500
index was down 0.69, or 0.1 percent, at 1,134.48, and the Nasdaq composite index
gained 3.10, or 0.2 percent, to 1,955.50. Rhode Island impact stocks fell, led by Textron Inc. and BJ's Wholesale Club
Inc. The Bloomberg Rhode Island Index, a price- weighted list of companies with
operations in the region, fell 0.65 to 248.49. Textron fell 79 cents to $64.74.
BJ's fell 67 cents to $28.03. Rising energy prices made investors anxious enough that they decided to
collect profits after the market's substantial gains in four of the last five
sessions. But disappointment over stock market returns isn't the only factor driving
institutional investors to energy futures. Ed Silliere, vice president of risk management at Energy Merchant Corp. in
New York, said fund managers are more worried that a major supply disruption in
the Middle East, caused by terrorism or something else, would cause oil prices
to skyrocket to a level that would wreak havoc in the global economy and devalue
most of their investments. Yesterday's price surge came as traders remained nervous about violence in
oil-producing giants such as Nigeria and Iraq and concerned about the slow pace
of recovery in Gulf of Mexico oil output. BP PLC said yesterday that its daily output in the region is nearly 57
percent below normal and that it does not expect production to be fully restored
until the end of the month. "The market could keep going up in the near term until there is definite
visibility that additional oil-tanker loadings in the Middle East actually start
to appear," said George Gaspar, an oil analyst at R.W. Baird & Co. in
Milwaukee. But Gaspar doesn't believe worldwide oil output is inadequate to meet actual
demand. "There's an enormous amount of speculation in the market
today," he said. But some market observers say current demand levels are being artificially
exaggerated by the stockpiling of crude in countries such as China and India. Gheit said he does not believe supply-demand fundamentals are the main reason
why oil is trading above $50 a barrel. "Energy has attracted a lot more nontraditional investors," Gheit
said. "It's the same situation that happened five to six years ago when the
Internet bubble formed and attracted everybody who knew nothing about
technology." "The only question is when this bubble bursts," he added. Adding to investors' concerns was a disappointing report from the Institute
for Supply Management, which said its service sector index fell to 56.7 last
month from 58.2 in August. The reading was lower than the 59 expected by Wall
Street. A figure over 50 represents expansion in the service sector, but the
latest number represented a slowdown in growth. Technology stocks fell as Advanced Micro Devices Inc., Intel Corp.'s rival in
computer semiconductors, warned that its revenues would be less than forecast
for the third quarter. AMD slid 2 cents to $13.68, while Intel gained 19 cents
to $21.32. A pair of technology bellwethers and Dow components were affected by a J.P.
Morgan Securities research note, which upgraded IBM Corp. to
"overweight" from "neutral," while downgrading
Hewlett-Packard Co. to "neutral" from "overweight." IBM
gained 16 cents to $87.32, while H-P fell 8 cents to $18.98. Eastman Kodak Co. rose 31 cents to $33.80 after it announced it will cut
nearly 900 jobs at three manufacturing facilities in Europe, part of the
company's transition from film to digital photography. Camden Property Trust slumped $1.85 to $45.05 after it said it would pay $1.9
billion in a takeover of rival Summit Properties Inc., which would create a
major national network of apartment buildings. Summit was up $2.80 at $30.64 on
the news. Declining issues barely outnumbered advancers on the New York Stock Exchange,
where volume came to 1.42 billion shares, compared with 1.53 billion on Monday. The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies was down 1.75, or 0.3 percent, at
587.34. Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average was flat. In Europe, Britain's FTSE
100 closed up 0.5 percent, France's CAC-40 edged 0.1 percent higher for the
session, and Germany's DAX index gained 0.4 percent.
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