Consumer Advocates Draw Battle Lines on California Governor's Energy Plan
San Jose Mercury News, Calif. - May 11, 2003
Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's push to give more large power users freedom to shop for the best electricity deal faces opposition from Democrats and consumer advocates who fear it will lead to higher residential bills.
Proponents of the plan say freeing more big buyers would increase market
competition, drive prices down and force utilities to be more cost-efficient.
Currently, large customers who must buy electricity through a utility company
such as PG&E endure high rates and little flexibility, said Dorothy Rothrock,
vice president of the California Manufacturers and Technology Association.
"We think there is a lot of innovation and creativity in the market that
will be exposed once it's opened up."
But if the state goes down that path, critics fear, the rest of California's
electricity customers -- the small businesses and residential users tied to
utilities -- could end up paying more.
That's because utilities save money by signing long-term contracts with
generators for a major portion of the state's power. If large customers leave
the utilities, those remaining could be left shouldering the cost of the
contracts.
"We give some customers an opportunity to flee cost," said Bob
Finkelstein, executive director of The Utility Reform Network, "and the
cost will ultimately be borne by the customers who don't have the chance to
flee."
In addition, there are $43 billion in long-term contracts the state signed in
2001 to get out of the energy crisis. Again, the issue is who will bear the cost
if large users leave the utilities.
"The biggest problem," said Sen. Debra Bowen, D-Redondo Beach,
"is there are two conflicting goals: locking up as much power as possible
in long-term contracts and promoting direct access."
The desire for lower electricity prices, especially for manufacturers and
other large consumers, fueled the state's original, 1996 push to deregulate
energy. Under the plan, utility companies were supposed to sell their
power-generating facilities and become only deliverers of electricity. New
generators would compete for retail business, just as long-distance phone
carriers do.
The plan crashed when supplies grew short, power companies manipulated the
market and large utility companies, forced to buy electricity on the
exorbitantly priced spot market, could not pay the soaring costs.
The state stepped in, purchased electricity through long-term contracts and
required that most consumers stick with the utilities so there would be enough
customers to pay off the $43 billion obligation. The move toward direct access
was frozen.
As a result, just 15 percent of electricity in California is purchased today
through direct access. Business leaders and the governor want the state to
loosen the limit so more can partake.
But the devil is in the details: How do you allow greater direct access that
is fair to everyone? Both sides of the debate agree big users abandoning the
utilities should be required to pay an "exit fee" to cover their fair
share of the state's electricity debt. The battle is over the amount of the fee.
"The difficult part of this is coming up with the coming-and-going
rules," Bowen said. "Where I'm at is, 'Show me the money.' Show me how
this would really work."
Then there is the fight over whether large consumers should be able to return
to the utilities if they leave. Large customers want that freedom in case the
wholesale market goes haywire again. But consumer advocates say that would allow
the big users to game the system, reaping the benefits of the utilities when
they have the better prices and leaving small users to bear the costs alone when
prices rise.
While lawmakers may be reluctant to act given the state's botched attempt to
deregulate the market eight years ago, pressure is building. The state's energy
needs are rising, supplies are tightening and experts forecast blackouts could
return as early as next year.
"The reason this year is important is this is the last year we can make
decisions to plan competently for the future without panic," said Loretta
Lynch, a member of the California Public Utilities Commission.
Business leaders grumble that fast action is needed to keep businesses from
leaving the state. "There's a huge risk in relying on the status quo,"
said Allan Zaremberg, president of the California Chamber of Commerce. "We
have a tough enough time keeping manufacturers here."
Whether the issue gets resolved this year depends on how aggressively
Schwarzenegger pursues it, said Assemblyman Joe Canciamilla, D-Martinez, who has
co-authored one direct-access bill. In a letter to state regulators last month,
the governor said he favors more direct access but offered few details and left
many wondering about his timetable.
Direct access probably won't be viable until the end of the decade, when the
state's long-term contracts expire, if lawmakers follow the governor's pledge to
force large customers to pay a fair exit fee and assume full responsibility for
their decision to leave the utilities, Canciamilla said.
"I'm sure they (businesses) would like it to be sooner, but the reality
is they have to share in the responsibility for these contracts just like
everyone else, and there's no easy way to do that," Canciamilla said.
For Frank Wolak, a Stanford University economics professor specializing in
energy, direct access is a side issue that means less to the health of
California's electricity system than the condition of the state's transmission
lines and the ability of the large utility companies to hedge exposure to the
expensive spot market.
Adding transmission lines would allow the state to import more power, and
that would foster greater competition among suppliers that would lower prices,
Wolak said.
Opening the door to more direct access is difficult to do without punishing
other customers, he said. "I'm a strong supporter of it, if there is no
cross subsidy. But, how do you get there?"
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