Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Apr 09 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 099 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Apr 2006
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 865 has rotated
around the west limb. All other regions have remained quiescent.
No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels, with major
storming at high latitudes. The geomagnetic storm was the result of
a co-rotating interaction region preceding the high speed stream
from a coronal hole.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storm
conditions on 10 April. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected
on 11 - 12 April.
III. Event Probabilities 10 Apr-12 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Apr 089
Predicted 10 Apr-12 Apr 085/080/080
90 Day Mean 09 Apr 080
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Apr 003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Apr 020/020
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr 015/015-008/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Apr-12 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/15
Minor storm 15/05/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 40/30/20
Minor storm 25/10/05
Major-severe storm 15/05/01