Mythology distracts us
everywhere. For the great enemy of the truth is very often not the
lie: deliberate, contrived and dishonest. But the myth:
persistent, persuasive, unrealistic.’ - John F. Kennedy
There is now a solid recognition by most politicians in the
world, and increasingly even by those in once staunchly
anti-nuclear regimes in such places as Germany, Sweden, Austria
and a few other Politically Correct holdouts (Italy), that nuclear
power is becoming unavoidable. Furthermore, it is also shown to be
the cleanest, safest, and often the cheapest way of generating
reliable electricity in any advancing society.
However, even in this recognition, and mostly because of it,
there is a growing howl of shrill desperation in the
ever-shrinking, and increasingly irrelevant anti-nuclear
constituency that is horrified by this rational and inevitable
outcome. And it is inevitable, if we wish to survive.
The general public listens to the propaganda of these various
critics only so long as there are easy and affordable energy
alternatives. As soon as there is a threat of shortages and prices
escalate dramatically as they have over the last few years, the
public becomes more questioning and less inclined to believe the
usual dogma. For this reason, the anti-nuclear brigade must
continually harp upon whatever emotional issue they can resurrect
and keep alive for long enough – they hope – to stall the nuclear
option, while the world digs itself deeper into energy
deficiencies and uncertainties, as it plows ahead with building
more super-expensive and unworkable cuisinarts of the bird and bat
world – windmills!
About here, one is also advised to reflect upon the revealing
admission by one editor, that ‘it is not the responsibility of the
media to report the truth about anything, but only to report
liars, accurately.’
The broad-based anti-nuclear constituency, despite temporary
victories in the 1970s and 80s in the U.S. and elsewhere (Sweden,
Germany, Austria, Finland etc.), has recently seen its legs cut
out from under it on most energy issues, as the accumulating facts
about safety, environmental impact, health impact, long term fuel
availability, and cradle to grave costs, from the last 50 years of
growing commercial nuclear electricity have shown that:
1. Nuclear power is vibrant and affordable, as France, Sweden,
Switzerland, and even Germany and others so clearly demonstrate.
The same is true in the U.S., where utilities now are
consolidating their highly profitable nuclear fleets and are
applying for license extensions (generally granted). They are also
considering building the next generation of nuclear, once the
usually paralyzing influence of frivolous interveners can be
blocked, and the regulatory and licensing maze is straightened and
made clear. Europe would freeze in the dark were it not for
France’s nuclear success as, despite another hysterical fear; that
of Global Warming, they seem to be heading in the other direction,
with spring a month later than normal, and thousands having frozen
to death last winter.
2. Nuclear power is far safer than any other comparable
alternative source of large-scale energy. It is even safer than
the dilute and unreliable and intermittent small-scale renewables
like wind and solar.
3. Nuclear fuel is defined for at least thousands of years,
through the gradual adoption of advanced nuclear cycles and
reprocessing.
4. Nuclear electricity is mostly cheaper than coal, oil, or gas
fired electricity, as data from the Utility Data Institute (U.S.)
have shown for the last few years, and as France, Japan, Finland,
Ukraine, and others already know. No coal, no oil, no gas, no
choice.
5. The average Capacity Factors of U.S. nuclear power plants
has increased from about 60%, to more than 90% over the last 20
years and their lifetimes can be safely extended to something more
than 40 years and more.
6. Decommissioning and waste disposal costs are collected from
the already low nuclear electrical price paid by consumers.
7. Nuclear power is the most environmentally friendly and least
environmentally harmful of any electrical generation process. If
fossil fuels were to similarly pay for their detrimental
environmental and health impact upon society (which they do not do
at this time; see externe site: http://www.externe.info/), the
costs of fossil fuel would rise considerably, and they would
become even less competitive.
8. There are no significant emissions of greenhouse gases from
the entire nuclear cycle, despite selective allegations to the
contrary, by the much-discredited Storm van Leeuwen and Smith
efforts and others. Had they conducted the same analysis of ALL
energy facilities they would have been more relevant and honest,
but this would have resulted in a ringing endorsement of nuclear
energy, which was not their intent.
9. All nuclear wastes are 100% managed. Try saying that for
coal, oil or gas, which blow most to all of their waste products
into the atmosphere. If fossil fuels were required to sequester
even a small fraction of their billions of tonnes of gaseous
wastes, the energy diverted to do so, would similarly cripple
their present economic rationale.
10. Alternatives to nuclear power and fossil fuels and hydro,
can’t provide the energy that any industrial or advanced society
needs reliably, consistently, affordably, or with the minimal
environmental impact of nuclear. And now, many fossil fuels are
starting to become too expensive, and are clearly seen to be major
environmental polluters.
The Nuclear Waste ‘Issue’
The one remaining trumped-up nuclear issue, is to do with the
mythology surrounding nuclear wastes and waste disposal and long
term health concerns. There are even a few who believe that the
nuclear waste issue is so unsolved, that we should not build any
new nuclear plants until we solve this problem – as though the
problem actually exists in reality rather than just politically.
Most of what we hear in the media about nuclear wastes is
wrong, with minor glimmers of truth. It is intended to be
frightening. Even the Yucca site is merely a political sideshow
for Nevada politicians and others, to posture and grandstand.
The issue, as it is dealt with by the media and Special
Interest Factions, is totally devoid of perspective and the
necessary epidemiological data to place it in any ranking of
comparable social risks. Such data exist, even on this site, but
are studiously and strenuously ignored by these critics.
We continually hear other such emotionally loaded statements
that spent fuel, the most highly radioactive ‘nuclear waste’ and
its disposal is:
1 An unsolved problem
2. Dangerously radioactive for millions of years
3. A threat to the health of future generations
4. A proliferation threat
5. A terrorist target
That none of these statements is true, though one of them does
have a grain of truth, seems immaterial. But let’s get one
misconception out of the way first. Spent fuel is NOT nuclear
waste. (See my article in EnergyPulse on “Nuclear Cycles and
Nuclear Resources”).
The factual and honest responses to these perceptions go
something like this:
1. Disposal of any nuclear waste is NOT an unsolved problem.
The containment and emplacement-engineering is very well
understood. Rather, politicians (in general) refuse to make a
(temporarily vote-costing) decision to get on with what is known
to be an acceptable method of disposal.
2. It is NOT dangerously radioactive for millions of years. It
is slightly radioactive for millions of years only because it
consists mostly (about 95%) of natural uranium which is weakly
radioactive for hundreds of millions (U-235), to billions (U-238)
of years. The truly dangerous component in the short term – about
4% fission wastes – is mostly decayed in less than a few days out
of the reactor, as the tabulated data show.
About 16% of the fission nuclides are stable (non-radioactive);
about 91% are either stable or have a half life of less than 24
hours; about 97% are either stable or have a half-life of less
than 1 year; and about 98.1% are either stable or have a half life
of less than 10 years. Only about 1.9% of fission nuclides have a
half-life greater than 10 years. The two of most concern are
strontium-90 and cesium-137 with half-lives of about 30 years.
About 1% of spent fuel consists of transuranic nuclides
(plutonium isotopes, etc.). These fairly long half-life nuclides
(some, thousands of years), along with the 95+% of remaining
uranium, constitute ongoing reactor fuel in a closed reactor
cycle, which seems about to be revived in the US after decades of
being blindly proscribed in the Ford-Carter years. (See my article
on EnergyPulse on “Nuclear Power and Politics”).
Spent fuel should be reprocessed, as it is in Europe, Japan,
and elsewhere. And it will be. It is just a matter of time,
economics, and political evolution.
Reprocessing removes 96% of the spent fuel back into the
reactor cycle, and leaves relatively low volumes of easily managed
fission wastes. These are required to be managed for a few tens of
years (unless strontium-90 and cesium-137 have been removed for
medical use), and perhaps further monitored for about a hundred
years or so.
3. It is NOT a significant threat to the health of future
generations. It is contained, and it is 100% managed. It represent
far less of a threat than any other social or energy wastes
produced in society. To the degree with which nuclear power
replaces fossil fuel power, it would represent a net prevention
(saving) of more than about 1 million lives from pollution, mining
accidents, transportation accidents, etc., each year, at this
time. I consider this to be a major health benefit. However, the
EPA - by extrapolating calculated effects out to tens of thousands
of years, and by using the flawed LNT hypothesis in calculating
radiation injuries from doses that are a fraction of natural
background everywhere in the world - believes (making some extreme
assumptions) that it can perceive some few radiation-related
deaths – perhaps much less than 100 in total - over the next ten
thousand years from a repository like Yucca. If the EPA used the
same notions of extrapolated risk for other sources of energy, the
nuclear option would obviously prove to be thousands of times LESS
hazardous to future generations. That particular piece of
perspective is lost by not being revealed by EPA.
4. Nuclear wastes do NOT represent a significant proliferation
threat. It is far easier to make a nuclear weapon by enrichment of
uranium-235 (Iran) - which does not require a reactor - than to
make a weapon from spent fuel from a commercial reactor. Military
reactors, dedicated to weapons production, and easily detected,
and useless for producing electricity, can produce weapon-useable
fuel. Today, this has practically nothing to do with commercial
nuclear power.
5. Terrorists, in their right minds, are NOT interested in
spent fuel at this time. It is too difficult to deal with:
http://www.ecolo.org/documents/documents_in_english/dirty_bombs.Sutherland.htm.
There are numerous easier, and more vulnerable and ‘safe’
targets for them to go after. If we could, however, persuade them
to try to steal this stuff, we could get rid of them most
decisively.
The facts about even high-level nuclear wastes of any kind are
very simple, and easily understood:
1. Nuclear waste has neither injured nor killed anyone in the
last 60 years of nuclear energy use. No one. It is 100% safely
managed and cannot cause any exposure to the general public.
Compare that envious safety record with the alleged hundreds of
thousands of pollution deaths each year from the almost entirely
unmanaged wastes associated with our use of fossil fuels and
burning dung.
The average number of deaths from coal mining accidents
throughout the world each week, and regularly reported on the
inner pages in most newspapers, exceeds the total numbers of
nuclear power related deaths in the entire 60 year history of the
nuclear power industry; nuclear accidents included. From that
empirical (observed) point of view alone, this makes nuclear power
at least 3,000 times safer than coal.
In addition, the annual numbers of pollution related deaths
worldwide (3 million per year WHO), from burning fossil fuels
(50,000 per year in the U.S. if an MIT study is to be believed),
make fossil fuels millions of times more dangerous than nuclear
power operation and waste disposal. These facts alone bring the
so-called waste safety issue into stark perspective, and reveal it
as a truly minuscule issue about which there is a lot of noise,
and a great deal of emotional misinformation, but little
substance.
2. Nuclear waste from nuclear power facilities is very low
volume; less than the size of a golf ball per person, per year,
from all facilities. It is also easily managed and safely moved
into storage. I have monitored and supervised it being done on
several occasions. We’ve also been doing that safely for the last
60 years too, and it can continue indefinitely and safely.
There are approximately 40,000 tonnes of solid and managed
nuclear ‘wastes’ produced each year from ALL of the world’s
nuclear facilities.
Now compare that number, with the approximately 25 billion
tonnes of ‘radioactive’ wastes from fossil fuel use, or about 4
tonnes per person each year. And YES, they are also radioactive,
though at a very low level. These are mostly thrown into the
atmosphere to affect us all. They are also partially blamed for
what is regarded in some hand-wringing circles as the greatest
threat to humanity; Global Warming, even if the other health
effects from fossil fuel use didn’t exist.
The radiation dose to residents living around an operating coal
burning facility is up to 20 times higher than that of residents
who live around an operating nuclear power facility. Fortunately,
they are both still minor compared with other radiation doses from
nature and medicine. Coal burning plants produce much more nuclear
waste per megawatt, than does a nuclear power plant, but we
neither manage it well, nor consider it as nuclear waste. We've
just got used to it without being terrified of it. However, it
will constitute an extremely valuable nuclear fuel source over the
next few hundreds of years.
3. The nuclear waste issue is entirely political at this time,
and is milked to an extreme degree by many environmental
activists, as opposed to active environmentalists, of which I am
one. There is nothing unsolved about its disposal or management
other than how to get politicians to let the engineers get on
doing what they do best, and how to counter the various zealots
spreading emotional misinformation about it.
The politicians of some countries have made their decision. And
even the wrong one – not to reprocess, and to choose deep disposal
(out of sight, out of mind) – can be reversed, as it eventually
will be. Disposed spent fuel becomes a pure high-grade
uranium/plutonium ore-body from the moment it is emplaced, and it
will eventually be exploited and reprocessed. If this is a good
example of a serious unsolved problem, we need many more of them
to be as insubstantial and as harmless as this one is.
4. Spent nuclear fuel is NOT waste, though it is often
misleadingly labeled as such. It can, and will, be reprocessed in
future nuclear cycles. It should therefore NOT be disposed of at
all, but that simple reality gets lost in all the political noise.
Only from 1 to 5% of the fuel resource is actually used in the
first pass through the reactor. In North America, we are
temporarily 'throwing away' – for the moment – the 95+% of fuel
that is unused, and that can be readily recovered and used. Such
‘waste’ in any other endeavor would inflame and arouse even the
most ignorant environmentalist, but not, it seems if it is
associated with Nuclear Power. Such reprocessing is already
carried out in Europe and Japan and Russia, and will shortly be
revived in the U.S. along with the logical revival of the fast
breeder reactor. In truth, there is no shortage of energy in the
world; there is just a shortage of politicians with guts, at least
outside of France and a few other countries.
Public radiation exposures today come about 75% from nature;
about 24% from medical procedures; and about 1% from all of
industry. Nuclear power plant operation contributes about 0.01%;
nuclear ‘waste’ and ‘waste’ storage contribute less than about
0.001% at worst.
It is only the smallest three sources of radiation on the
diagram that the public is usually stirred up about. Why?
Now, several Native groups in North America, including the
Mescalero Apaches of the south-west U.S., have closely examined
the nuclear waste disposal issues, consulted their people and
decided to take advantage of this window of opportunity before
others recognize the outrageously generous rewards for little work
and practically no risk. They are considering offering reservation
land as an interim repository to at least 30 utilities with whom
they are negotiating. They see the jobs in engineering and health
physics, and financial rewards and economic prosperity that far
outweigh the small risks of managing such wastes with the
available technology. The risks of being poor, without jobs or
future prospects (stress, alcoholism, general ill-health,
tuberculosis, substance abuse, violence, suicide), are thousands
of times more detrimental to them than any risk from nuclear waste
disposal, and all could be countered by increased prosperity and
education that comes with wealth.
Additionally, the Meadow Lake Tribal Council in Saskatchewan
representing 8,000 natives have also examined the issue, the
costs, the benefits and the minuscule risks, and decided that
there are up to billions of dollars to be made, over hundreds of
years, just for offering a permanent repository and looking after
something that poses little more than a public relations problem.
Of course, various so-called environmental groups are climbing all
over them to try and stir up tribal fears in order to sink the
negotiations in the only way they know how – Distort the facts,
and terrify them as much as possible!
A majority (about 72%!) of the residents of the nuclear
community of Blind River, Ontario, voted recently to become the
first Canadian municipality to offer to take radioactive waste.
They know that the benefits far outweigh any risks, and have
sufficient education and knowledge of the industry to be able to
evaluate the risks.
Other communities may miss an opportunity to be part of this
process and regret it for the next few decades.
To join in on the conversation or to subscribe or visit
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Copyright 2005 CyberTech, Inc.
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