BP Alaskan
shutdown sparks fresh tension
Aug 8, 2006 - The Birmingham Post
Oil prices yesterday surged above $77 a barrel in London after
British energy giant BP began shutting down production in an Alaskan oil
field that produces about eight per cent of US crude.
Political tensions in the Middle East also kept traders on edge.
September-dated Brent contracts rose $1.05 at $77.22 after touching a
high of $77.73 earlier. Meanwhile, August-dated US light crude futures
were up $1.36 at $76.12.
BP, and its American chairman and president Bob Malone, said late on
Sunday it had begun closing the Prudhoe Bay field in Alaska for an
indefinite period of time after discovering severe corrosion and a small
pipeline spill on a transit oil line.
An estimated 400,000 bpd (barrels per day) of oil will be taken off
the market following the shutdown. That's close to eight per cent of US
oil production - or about 2.6 per cent of US supply including imports
-according to the Energy Information Administration.
"We believe the physical market is well supplied and should absorb
the Alaskan outage. However the outage further reduces the global spare
capacity buffer," Citigroup said.
The bank estimated that after taking into account Nigerian problems
'effective' spare capacity, which was at two million globally, will now
fall closer to 1.6 million bpd.
The Alaskan shutdown comes at a bad time for the oil industry, with
prices already being pushed higher by the Israeli offensive against
Hezbollah militants in Lebanon and by the ongoing Iranian nuclear
dispute.
Iran said on Sunday that it would not freeze uranium enrichment and
warned it could even expand its nuclear programme, which the West fears
is a cover for efforts to build an atom bomb.
"On the geopolitical side, although the fighting in Lebanon is
intensifying, it still remains localised. The Iranian situation, on the
other hand looks different to us," said Man Financial analyst Ed Meir.
Iran has until August 31 to comply with a UN resolution that it halt
uranium enrichment or face unspecified sanctions. Traders fear sanctions
might lead to severe disruptions to global oil supplies.
"Because it is unknown what shape these sanctions could conceivably
take, that uncertainty should be enough to spur crude prices higher,
particularly as the month-end deadline nears," said Mr Meir.
Oil prices surged to record highs above $78 last month on fears the
fighting in Lebanon could spread and draw in oil producers like Syria
and Iran - both backers of Hezbollah.
They remain very near those records at present, supported by
hurricane fears in the US, strong global demand, violence in the Middle
East and production outages in Nigeria, Africa's biggest oil producer.
Jim Wood Smith, head of research at Christows, said: "The latest rise
in the oil price raises all kinds of problems for the world's central
bankers.
"With inflationary pressures building from day to day, almost wholly
directly or indirectly attributable to the oil price, the central
bankers are facing the dilemma of how far they have to raise interest
rates to dampen this just as the consumer starts to feel exactly the
same pains.
"Last week showed that the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee
and European Central Bank are prepared to risk growth in order to attack
inflation and we find out tonight whether the Federal Reserve will post
its 18th straight rise in US rates. The market is betting on a pause,
though it would be very brave, or foolish, to take this for granted."
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