Heat wave could
boost winter natural-gas bills
Aug 1, 2006 - The Blade, Toledo, Ohio
Author(s): Jon Chavez
Aug. 1--The heat wave that has many consumers cranking up their air
conditioning could also have a unwanted impact on winter heating bills.
Prices for natural gas for the upcoming winter have jumped
significantly in recent days on the nation's commodities markets.
Those prices fluctuate and could come down. But experts said that, if
the heat keeps up, some of the record amount of natural gas stored
underground for use this winter could be used now by electric utilities
that need it to generate power.
The U.S. Department of Energy reported last week that the supply of
stored gas unexpectedly dipped by 7 billion cubic feet because of
electric utilities using the fuel at stand-by plants to boost power
output.
That caused prices on contracts for future gas delivery to rise,
reversing a three-month trend of declining prices.
Typically, gas utilities have a 32-week period during which the fuel
is stored by injecting it into the ground in Ohio, Illinois, and
Michigan, but last week that changed, said Mike Welch, a spokesman for
alternative gas supplier WPS Energy Services Inc., a Wisconsin utility.
"It's really a statistical oddity," he said. "That was the first
withdrawal in July since 1994."
Still, he said, gas storage is in good shape, well above a five- year
average. But the uncertainty is the weather the rest of the summer, and
whether high temperatures will force more standby power plant use,
further draining natural gas supplies.
At the end of last week, natural gas prices rose to $7.18 per million
cubic feet, up 14 percent from the previous week, Mr. Welch said.
Yesterday at mid-day, the price was $8.02.
Prices for December, January, and February delivery are running above
last year's actual average price. But Mike Anderson, supply planning
director for Columbia Gas of Ohio, said the projected prices for this
winter are less than the projected price at this time last year.
"Gas storage is better than at any equivalent time in the past. ...
If we hit the fall and there's no more place for gas to go you would
think prices have got to come down a little bit," he said.
" ... If we hit the fall and there's no more place for gas to go you
would think prices have got to come down a little bit," he said.
Through July 14, the energy department data reported that 1.525
billion cubic feet of gas has been placed in storage sites east of the
Mississippi, or 22 percent higher than averages.
Greg Collins, president of Vectren Source, an alternative gas
marketer that serves northwest Ohio, said the natural gas industry is
full of reports suggesting current high prices are the result of
speculators who have tied up supplies out of fear of that hurricanes
could disrupt production.
"I don't know if I believe that," Mr. Collins said.
"You used to be able to predict where prices were going to go. But
that model doesn't work much anymore."
Contact Jon Chavez
at:jchavez@theblade.comor 419-724-6128.
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