07-07-06
An oil fuelled economic boom in Middle Eastern countries is driving local
demand for gas oil such as diesel, squeezing supplies to Europe and Asia. This
has tightened supply in both importing regions and forced prices of gas oil up
this year to around record levels.
The trend is set to continue until new Gulf refineries come on-stream later this
decade, traders and analysts said.
Accelerating growth and a construction boom in countries including Qatar and
Saudi Arabia have boosted domestic consumption just as the global refining
industry is already straining to meet existing demand, particularly from Asia.
The United Arab Emirates' economy grew more than a quarter last year, while
Saudi Arabia and Egypt are forecasting growth of at least 6 % this year.
London IPE front month gas oil futures have held above $ 600 a ton since
mid-April, more than $ 60 above average prices during the first quarter of the
year, and $ 100 above year-earlier levels. In Asia, gas oil prices have held at
record levels above $ 80 a barrel since April, as reduced flows from the Middle
East compounded a tighter market in the second quarter during a heavy round of
refinery maintenance.
Gas oil includes heating oil and jet fuel as well as diesel.
Countries such as Saudi Arabia have been swing suppliers in recent years that
can ship cargoes east or west depending on the economics. Rising domestic demand
is changing that pattern.
Egypt in June tendered to buy nearly 700,000 tons of 0.5 % sulphur gas oil --
the kind favoured in many Asian countries as a motor fuel-for the second half of
this year. This was up almost half from the same time a year earlier.
Qatar, which exports large volumes of distillates, in June issued a rare gas oil
buy tender for third quarter delivery. The country is in the midst of a
construction boom ahead of its hosting of the Asian Games at the end of this
year.
Saudi Arabia may continue to skip spot diesel flows to Asia until year-end as
most of its exports are committed tolong-term contract customers, traders said.
Saudi state owned company Saudi Aramco, which last sold 120,000 tons of spot
diesel for April loading, used to export one or two spot cargoes of diesel each
month.
The country cut domestic transport fuel prices by as much as a third from the
beginning of May. As well as rising demand to counter the summer heat and feed
the region's economic growth, moves by governments to diversify their economies
away from reliance on oil production have further fuelled local consumption.
Source: www.thepeninsulaqatar.com