By Mark Hanson
There are three things that can be said about transmission lines:
They're ugly, they're expensive, and some of them are necessary.
The critical question that needs to be answered about American
Transmission Co.'s proposal for Dane County is whether it is a 20th or
21st century plan.
Our 20th century energy infrastructure was characterized by large,
remote power plants generating electricity only and moving the power
to users over lengthy transmission lines. Energy costs to fuel the
plants were declining when prices were adjusted for inflation. The
state and nation finally placed some limits on air pollution and other
environmental impacts as we moved later into the century and we were
willing to live with the emissions we didn't control. We weren't
thinking about global climate change.
The 21st century energy infrastructure will be different. As we
grapple with climate change and face increasing energy costs, we'll
face the reality that natural gas is too valuable to burn in a 40
percent efficient power system. We'll be increasingly choosing
cogeneration (simultaneous production of electricity, heat and
cooling) with efficiency at 80 percent. Cogeneration will occur in
large plants and small units, even household size. We'll be looking to
a diversity of energy sources including biofuels and other renewables,
and when using coal, figuring out how to sequester the carbon dioxide.
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File photo
Terry Markham, a systems operator at ATC's systems operation
center in Cottage Grove, monitors power lines.
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One needs look no further than the new UW-Madison/MGE plant on
Walnut Street for an example of cogeneration. For a glimpse of
emerging small-scale generating technologies (microturbines, small
turbines, reciprocating engines and fuel cells) we can look to
programs in New York state.
The way we use energy in the 21st century is already changing
rapidly. We are now building new commercial buildings that use 30
percent to 50 percent less electricity than would be the case in just
meeting Wisconsin's dated commercial building energy code. Advanced
metering systems and real-time pricing will allow us to move from 20th
century average prices and instead use actual prices based on hourly
changes in cost. We'll have the ability to control our power use
accordingly, turning down power use when costs are high.
These four methods to reduce peak load - efficiency, distributed
generation, real-time pricing and callable load programs - may sound
like pie in the sky, but they are for real. New York state is taking
these matters seriously. Its Energy program reports a reduction of 466
megawatts of peak load demand from efficiency measures and another 593
megawatts of callable load reduction, and these savings continue to
grow.
Recent calls for ATC to step back and conduct an independent study
of transmission needs are warranted. ATC's Report on Electric
Reliability in Dane County, posted on its Web site, states: "The
ability to consider an integrated package of these alternatives
(supply-side and demand-side) as a potential viable means to defer or
avoid the proposed transmission projects had not been able to be
performed. There is reason to believe that typically such an
integrated set of alternatives may well represent the best alternative
to a proposed transmission project."
We deserve such a study before plunking down $150 million to $200
million or more on transmission lines.
In undertaking such a study, here are my top five questions, none
of which appear to have been considered in the ATC study.
1. How much peak demand reduction will occur as Wisconsin updates
its Commercial Building Energy Code in the next couple of years?
2. How much peak demand reduction would occur if MGE and the other
utilities implement a commercial lighting program that works with
customers in new and existing buildings to meet the ASHRAE 90.1-2004
lighting standards?
3. How much peak demand reduction will occur in Dane County with
the state's decision to reduce energy use 10 percent in all state
facilities, including the UW-Madison?
4. How much transmission capacity could we avoid if we sited
natural gas-fired cogeneration in southwest Dane County at the Epic
campus or in other commercial buildings, in place of back-up
generators only?
5. How much peak demand reduction would occur with an aggressive
demand management program?
I think the citizens of Dane County want to embrace a 21st century
energy infrastructure if we're going to be investing $150 million to
$200 million (or more?). So ATC, what future is in your plan? It's
time to take a hard look at these questions.
If an integrated package of alternatives can't be studied because
"there is no apparent or identifiable framework or locus of authority,
other than perhaps the PSCW, that could require such a result" (as the
ATC report claims), the Wisconsin Public Service Commission must step
in and mandate it.
Mark Hanson works for a Wisconsin firm that designs and
constructs commercial buildings. He is co-chair of the Advisory Group
for New York State's Energy Program.
Published: August 11, 2006