The Informed Consumer - August 21, 2006
One mW saved is closer to 3.6 mW (equivalent) not
burned, based on the national average efficiency of the US
electric primary energy
supply/generation/transmission/distribution system. Since
half of the primary energy not burned is coal and ~25% is
gas, there is a substantial CO2 emissions reduction as
well.
On peak, the savings are actually greater, because the
average efficiency of the generation fleet is reduced on
peak; and, because the losses in transmission and
distribution can roughly double.
However, demand management programs don't primarily
reduce consumption; rather, they defer it to off-peak
periods. End use efficiency improvements and conservation
reduce consumption.
Ed Reid
President
Fire to Ice, Inc.
I have two cautionary comments on "The Informed
Consumer," which discusses smart metering.
First of all, giving the consumer information is not
sufficient to get the peak energy savings that the article
discusses. Not only must the consumer be charged real time
prices and informed of them in real time, he must also
have in place a decision system that enables him to react
to them in real time. This is actually the hard part of
the problem. Real time metering is standard and
communicating real time prices is relatively standard, but
each customer will have his own issues and priorities, and
so customized solutions will be necessary. For most
consumers, electricity costs are a small part of total
costs, so this will not normally be a priority.
Secondly, the statement that real time pricing and
metering "means that the stresses on power plants would be
diminished" is misleading. In the long run, if real time
pricing works, the reverse is true. The peaks in demand
will be flattened out. To get the savings that this
allows, there will be less capacity. However, because the
peaks have been reduced, the demand will be near its
(relatively lower) maximum level a larger fraction of the
time. Thus, power plants will be operating near their
(relatively lower) capacity a larger fraction of the time
and thus "stressed" more frequently.
Michael Rothkopf
Rutgers University
Customers need instant access to energy use, price to
determine their cost. Benchmarking, price/use alarms, bill
verification and budgeting are key elements to an
effective energy strategy. Information from the utility
bill, which arrives 2 months after energy is consumed, or
from a 'dial' up monitoring system can provide, at best, a
rear view of what has already happened. For example,
Ontario's deregulated electricity market price for
interval meter customers is in `real time' and intended to
allow customers to respond. For this to work, interval
metered customers need to have the right tools: access to
real time energy use and price data. Energy savings exist,
but only with the right tools that react to real time
electricity prices. Hourly price, consumption and demand
data can achieve economic benefits when the `right'
information is delivered to the `right' person at the
`right' time.
Energy plans can then take advantage of electricity
price movements so demand management and internal energy
management programs become cost effective. "We manage what
we measure" and today, this requires real time.
Scott Rouse
Energy@Work
Thanks for mentioning Manitoba Hydro in your August 21
article, The Informed Consumer. I'd like to provide a
clarification for your readers.
In September 2006, Manitoba Hydro will begin an
advanced metering pilot for about 5 000 electricity
meters. This pilot will give Manitoba Hydro the
opportunity to assess the operation and benefits of
advanced metering for making energy usage and other
decisions. If the pilot yields positive results, Manitoba
Hydro will look to expanding advanced metering to over 750
000 electricity and natural gas services.
Ted Cotton
Manitoba Hydro
I would like to point out something that appears to be
a flaw in the logic of your editorial, which is the "Field
of Dreams" posit in paragraph 3: "If utilities are able to
give customers information as to how much electricity will
cost, then they will get their customers to reduce load
during peak." In my opinion, price response takes far more
effort to implement than firing a magic bullet at the
problem. Commercial/Industrial/Institutional customers are
not close to being prepared to handle RTP. Their energy
consultants may be able to design around the latest
hardware, but if even 1% has an operations consulting
practice I would be amazed. As for residential RTP, don't
ask me to pony up dollars to manage peak power production
for an answer tantamount to asking my wife to sweat it out
at home while my office was cool and comfortable.
If you want to make me a believer in RTP, then the
industry needs to develop a series of
Commercial/Industrial/Institutional demonstration
projects, carefully documenting everything that was done
to prepare for RTP, the steps taken to respond to an
event, all costs associated with implementation and the
measured effects on comfort and cost. Until I can see the
facts, I prefer Hollywood to deliver my "fantasies". This
RTP pipe dream reads like a disaster movie.
Gregory Cmar
CTO & Co-Founder
Interval Data Systems
Out here in California, the CPUC is having the IOUs
develop proposed DR programs that promise to avoid a lot
of peak demand, but the Independent System Operator (ISO)
which runs the transmission grid, isn't allowing the IOUs
to count those peak demand savings when planning and
developing new power infrastructure, like new power plants
and transmission facilities. That's going to turn into a
big turf war -- with the IOUs stuck in the middle.
Also, going to smart meters and mandatory TOU rates
seems to work for all customers except 1) the elderly poor
and 2) customers with heath problems that might be
impacted by changes in temperature, such as MS and heart
disease. We've already had a lot of cases where we've
found elderly poor customers dead in their homes because
they were afraid to run their AC systems during heat
storms, because they couldn't pay the higher bills. If we
forced those customers onto TOU rates and charged them 60
cents/kWh during the hottest days of summer, we'd find a
lot more dead bodies, and the political heat would drive
the regulators and politicians to change things again.
So TOU rates should remain optional for this small
subgroup of residential customers.
Don Wood
The fundamental reason that Load Management is a
non-solution for dealing with peak power issues is that,
no matter the degree of sophistication of a utility's load
management system, or of its marketing-delivery plan; all
Load Management Programs can never get around an
unpleasant fact of physics, which is; that Load Control
means delivering poorer service to customers at the exact
time when they need good service the most.
All Load Management variants deliver the exact-same end
result: Load Control works to make a customer less and
less comfortable the more they need electrical energy for
cooling comfort.
In regards to sending to customers price signals, where
they can either pre-select or select via a real-time
option or both, consider the analogy of ice and water
prices and their availability in the aftermath of a
hurricane.
We all think that merchants who have the ability to
sell ice and water to their customers when customers need
these commodities the most, and who significantly raise
the price of these goods during such a time are acting
unethically. In fact, we tend to get righteously
indignant. Such selling behavior makes the news shows, and
politicians rail against unbridled greed during a time of
need.
Why should we think any better of electric utilities
that either turn off their customer's air conditioners or
that significantly increases the price of avoiding
discomfort during a heat wave?
Any engineering system that is designed to fall down
when you really need it to work at its best is a poorly
conceived design containing fundamental design flaws.
Should we encourage electric utilities to pressure
elderly citizens on a fixed income to suffer and put
themselves at risk of heat stroke because their
electricity provider is not capable of delivering to them
the cooling power they need when they need it at a price
they can afford?
Maybe it is time to re-think what the mission of a
power company is supposed to be.
But right now, it is my strongly-held conviction that
ANY entity given monopoly powers (which we certainly have
given to electric utilities) must pay the price for the
many cost-advantages they receive for exercising such
monopoly rights, and that means making good on their
promise to deliver power where and when it is needed.
Period.
Maybe there are more innovative technological means,
which can be fielded by electric utilities by which to
manage peak loads other than turning off power to the
people.
Roy Johannesen
Professional Engineer
Master of Science For far more extensive news on the energy/power
visit: http://www.energycentral.com
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