Minister raised
fears of Russian power stranglehold
Jan 3, 2006 - Scotsman, The
Author(s): James Kirkup Westminster Editor
THE Department of Trade and Industry was warned at least four years
ago that relying on imported gas would render the British economy
vulnerable to disruption from Russia, The Scotsman has learned.
The revelation came as the government admitted yesterday that
Russia's gas dispute with Ukraine could hit British households and
businesses with even higher energy prices.
On Sunday, when Russia cut supplies to Ukraine, the DTI said there
was "no immediate threat" of price rises.
And in another risk to western European economies, Norway, Britain's
biggest gas supplier, warned it would not be able to increase output to
meet any shortfall from Russia.
Britain is now a net importer of gas, which has become the country's
single biggest source of power.
Dependence on foreign supplies is set to grow: some estimates suggest
that by 2020, at least 90 per cent of gas used in Britain will be
imported.
That reliance on imports has raised fears that Britain's broader
national interests could be jeopardised by the need to maintain trading
relationships with countries such as Russia.
Much of the Russian gas sold to Europe is piped across Ukraine, and
following the Russian move on Sunday, several European countries say
their gas supplies have fallen.
Brian Wilson, the energy minister at the DTI during the last
parliament, repeatedly raised fears that by banking on foreign gas
supplies, the UK would be exposed to just the sort of shock now
emanating from Russia.
Last night, Mr Wilson told The Scotsman that the difficulties caused
in Britain by the Russian conflict with Ukraine illustrated the
"foolishness" of ignoring such warnings.
"I remember having these discussions at the time, saying: 'Hang on a
second, do we really want to be so dependent on Russia?'" Mr Wilson
said.
"The answer from the officials was always: 'Oh, Russia has never
defaulted on a contract'. The attitude was that it will be all right on
the night.
"The presumption has been that Russia would always be a reliable
supplier, but how can that be guaranteed? No-one knows who's going to be
in charge in Russia in ten or 15 years' time."
Britain's current energy "mix" was determined by the government's
energy white paper in 2003. Currently, gas-fired power stations generate
about 37 per cent of UK electricity. Coal power stations produce about
35 per cent, nuclear reactors 22 per cent and renewables, such as wind
and solar power, account for about 5 per cent.
Mr Wilson left parliament last year. Although he was in office when
the white paper was drawn up, he privately argued in 2002 and 2003 that
Britain should derive less energy from imported gas.
"But the policy was being made in reverse," he said yesterday. "The
growing dependence on gas had to be allowed in order to rationalise the
rundown of coal."
The problems now being caused by Russia's move, Mr Wilson said,
"emphasise the foolishness of becoming dependent on imported gas".
Lord Howe, the former Tory foreign secretary, echoed that concern
yesterday. "It's becoming very clear that Europe is beholden to Russia
because Russia is a such a big gas supplier," he said.
As a result, Russia was in a very strong position, he added.
The 2003 white paper was published a month before the start of the
war in Iraq. Tony Blair, the Prime Minister, paid little attention to
the paper, leaving Patricia Hewitt, then trade secretary, and Margaret
Beckett, environment secretary, in charge.
The Prime Minister is now understood to regret that and has
effectively reopened the debate about energy policy, with a new
government review expected to report in the summer.
The review is likely to back the building of a new generation of
nuclear power stations, and the Russian row has only strengthened the
hand of nuclear advocates in government.
The energy paper is also expected to call for clear rules on gas
imports to ensure that no one supplier becomes vital to Britain's needs.
That could mean constructing new pipelines and other supply routes from
nations including Canada, and regions including North Africa and South
America. Since the Russian crisis arose, the DTI has been at pains to
stress that Britain sources most of its gas from more stable countries -
particularly Norway - and none from Russia.
But since Russia does supply about a quarter of the gas used in
continental Europe - some of it piped across Ukraine - shortages in
those countries will leave them less able to sell gas on to Britain. The
Russian move can therefore drive UK prices up. On Sunday, Malcolm Wicks,
the energy minister, insisted that there was "no immediate threat" to
British prices from the Russian move.
Yesterday, the minister admitted that there could indeed be financial
consequences for the UK, albeit on a smaller scale than those being
faced by other European nations.
"We are increasingly talking about a European or a global energy
market, so there's always a worry about knock-on effects," he said.
"This is a difficult winter throughout Europe.
"It's colder than average, and for various reasons in Britain we have
got quite a tight equation between demand and supply.
"We need to look at this one very carefully, but we are not a heavy
importer of gas from Russia, so the effects here should be less than
elsewhere."
Despite Mr Wicks's assurances, Britain's biggest gas supplier,
Norway, said last night it could provide little relief.
"Deliveries of natural gas from the Norwegian continental shelf are
now at an all-time high," the country's energy ministry said, warning
that gas production capacity was "fully utilised".
Statoil, the biggest Norwegian gas company, said there was "no slack"
available in its production network.
European Union ministers and officials will meet in emergency session
in Brussels tomorrow to discuss how to respond to the Russian-Ukrainian
dispute.
The Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe also stepped
in last night to urge Russia and Ukraine to resolve their dispute.
Karel de Gucht, the Belgian foreign minister, whose country currently
holds the OSCE presidency, appealed to "all parties to pursue their
discussions and to explore, in a constructive manner, all options that
could bring about a mutually satisfactory solution".
Despite current concerns, some diplomats are optimistic that Moscow
will seek to resolve the dispute quickly - mindful of the need to
preserve its reputation as a reliable supplier.
As this year's president of the Group of Eight industrialised
economies, Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, has said secure energy
supplies are at the top of his agenda.
© Copyright 2006 NetContent, Inc. Duplication and
distribution restricted.Visit http://www.powermarketers.com/index.shtml
for excellent coverage on your energy news front.
|