Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

Issued: 2006 Jan 08 2200 UTC

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 008 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jan 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (09-11 January) III. Event Probabilities 09 Jan-11 Jan

Class M 01/01/01

Class X 01/01/01

Proton 01/01/01

PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed 08 Jan 078

Predicted 09 Jan-11 Jan 080/080/080

90 Day Mean 08 Jan 085

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jan 006/005

Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jan 005/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jan-11 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jan-11 Jan A. Middle Latitudes

Active 15/15/15

Minor storm 05/05/05

Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

Active 20/20/20

Minor storm 10/10/10

Major-severe storm 01/01/01