Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

Issued: 2006 Jan 09 2200 UTC

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 009 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jan 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (10-12 January).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (10-12 January).

III. Event Probabilities 10 Jan-12 Jan

Class M 01/01/01

Class X 01/01/01

Proton 01/01/01

PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed 09 Jan 078

Predicted 10 Jan-12 Jan 078/078/078

90 Day Mean 09 Jan 085

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jan 005/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jan 005/003

Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jan-12 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/007 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jan-12 Jan A. Middle Latitudes

Active 15/15/15

Minor storm 05/05/05

Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

Active 20/20/20

Minor storm 10/10/10

Major-severe storm 01/01/01