Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

Issued: 2006 Jan 10 2200 UTC

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 010 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jan 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There were no flares during the past 24 hours.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (11-13 January) IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (11-13 January) III. Event Probabilities 11 Jan-13 Jan

Class M 01/01/01

Class X 01/01/01

Proton 01/01/01

PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed 10 Jan 078

Predicted 11 Jan-13 Jan 078/078/078

90 Day Mean 10 Jan 085

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jan 001/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jan 002/003

Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jan-13 Jan A. Middle Latitudes

Active 15/15/15

Minor storm 05/05/05

Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

Active 20/20/20

Minor storm 10/10/10

Major-severe storm 01/01/01