Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

Issued: 2006 Jan 12 2200 UTC

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 012 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jan 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.

III. Event Probabilities 13 Jan-15 Jan

Class M 01/01/01

Class X 01/01/01

Proton 01/01/01

PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed 12 Jan 077

Predicted 13 Jan-15 Jan 078/080/080

90 Day Mean 12 Jan 085

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jan 001/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jan 004/004

Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jan-15 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jan-15 Jan A. Middle Latitudes

Active 15/15/15

Minor storm 05/05/05

Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

Active 15/15/20

Minor storm 05/05/10

Major-severe storm 01/01/01