Upstream cap on CO2 seen as less
costly than downstream cap
Washington (Platts)--15Mar2006
An upstream cap on carbon dioxide emissions would create economy-wide
incentives to reduce consumption of carbon-intensive goods and services, and
would be less costly than a downstream system, according to the Congressional
Budget Office.
The CBO submitted its assessment in response to a Senate Energy Committee
white paper requesting suggestions about designing a mandatory market-based
greenhouse gas regulatory system. The committee has received more than 500
comments and plans to post them on its website by the end of this week.
The committee has scheduled a global warming conference April 4, and it
will select specific comments to frame the discussion. However, committee
Chairman Pete Domenici, Republican-New Mexico, said last week the panel will
not write climate change legislation this year because no consensus has
emerged on the elements of such a bill.
The CBO, which released its comments on Monday, said an upstream cap
would reduce emissions at lower cost than if the cap and the resulting
incentives for reduction were restricted to one downstream sector. In
addition, an upstream cap, which would require regulating a limited number of
suppliers of fossil fuels, would be significantly less complex and costly than
a comprehensive downstream system, which could potentially entail regulating
millions of emitters.
However, an upstream cap "may not provide an incentive to adopt
post-combustion technologies that facilitate the capture and sequestration of
carbon emissions," the report said. "Such an incentive could be created by a
downstream system that determined allowance requirements on the basis of
monitored emissions."
Capping greenhouse gas emissions would impose costs throughout the
economy in the form of higher prices, reduced profits and lower wages, CBO
said.
The US Chamber of Commerce said in its submission that it has seen no
indication "there has ever been a careful assessment of the long-term economic
consequences and impacts of any legislatively proposed mandatory [greenhouse
gas] emissions control regime." Such a legislative initiative is sure to place
the US at a competitive disadvantage in a global marketplace" where developing
countries are not participating in mandatory regimes, the Chamber said.
--Gerald Karey, gerry_karey@platts.com
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