Sub-Saharan Africa is looking up. High energy prices
are the reason, which has helped the lower part of the
continent reach 5.8 percent economic growth this year --
more than in the last three years.
|
Ken Silverstein
EnergyBiz Insider
Editor-in-Chief |
Africa's richness benefits the rest of the world.
China's leaders have traveled the region in an effort to
shore up much needed oil and gas resources. And, the
continent is expected to be an ever-increasing supplier of
energy to this country. It already provides 18 percent of
all oil imports here as well as holds 8 percent of all the
world's known proven reserves of natural gas. The Bush
administration says that a global alliance with Africa
will bring about a favorable investment climate as well as
greater transparency and a responsible use of natural
resources.
Obviously, the rest of the world is thirsty for new
energy sources and particularly for those located outside
the Middle East. Africa could be the beneficiary of this.
But, in the past, the nations that make up the Sub-Saharan
region have suffered at the hands of outsiders who took
advantage of its resources. Times are changing and
economies around the globe are opening up. And Western
nations are typically responsible members of the
communities they serve. China comes to process with a
clean slate.
But Africa can't just sit back. It's a continent that
has been ravaged by civil and border wars. Such conflicts
mean that governments are using scarce resources to build
armies, not strong societies. It's also a continent
damaged by corruption, where some of its leaders have
grown wealthy at the expense of the people they rule. As a
result, at least a third of Africa is still too formidable
for investors, say economists.
The African nations that are advancing are doing so
because they have rid themselves of belligerent leadership
and opened their markets to private industry. But change
has been slow. Before a meeting with World Bank officials,
government representatives from 12 African nations, which
included Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana and Kenya, issued a joint
statement saying that poor infrastructure, inept
government agencies and unfavorable trade practices are
turning investors away from Africa.
"For Africa as a whole, the trick now is to convert the
short-term commodity boom into long-term growth of at
least 5 percent a year," says the Economist Intelligence
Unit. "For this to happen, countries must diversify and
reduce their reliance on primary commodity exports. The
danger is that they will be content to ride the commodity
boom rather than making the tough decisions needed for
structural change to their economies."
According to the International Monetary Fund, the
region's debt balance and subsequent interest payments are
falling. About 18 of the 47 Sub-Saharan nations will
report economic growth of at least 5 percent, which
compares to just eight countries in that region that
experienced that growth a decade ago. The fastest growing
economies are the oil exporting nations of Angola,
Mauritania and Sudan.
Transparent Governments
The United States has tried to increase its efforts to
foster transparent and accountable government in Africa by
increasing political support for democratic principles and
institutions. Understandably, those countries that can
demonstrate a stable rule of law and a predictable
investment climate stand the best chance of success. It's
particularly true in the oil sector where many resources
are located off-shore in deep water locations that require
a lot of capital to harvest.
In those countries dedicated to reform, there is a
strong predilection that foreign investment is a necessary
component of prosperity. The issues, therefore, are about
the methods by which the private sector will operate. The
doctrines of nationalism and self-sufficiency -- the
notion that all outsiders are colonialists -- are minority
views now almost everywhere in Africa
Private ownership is taking different forms in Africa.
In some cases, like Cote d'Ivoire, the government is
establishing long-term contracts with private companies
that are assuming management roles. In others, governments
are selling equity. Senegal, for example, has sold a 34
percent stake in its national utility to Hydro-Quebec and
Elyo, part of Paris-based Suez-Lyonnaise Group.
"Business has a key role in building credibility of
reform and re-branding efforts, not least to counter the
'collective contagion' still afflicting Africa," says
Haiko Alfeld, director for Africa of the World Economic
Forum, in a release to promote a "Going for Growth"
gathering of political and business leaders from around
the world. The goal is to sustain the 5 percent economic
growth now taking place.
Africa is currently producing 9 million barrels of oil
per day, with about 4.7 million of those coming from West
Africa. African oil production currently accounts for 11
percent of the world's oil supply -- and it supplies 18
percent of the oil to this country, which is expected to
rise once new fields are brought on line.
Africa is also responsible for more than 5 percent of
the world's natural gas production, which does not include
gas that is flared or re-injected. Many countries in
Africa and West Africa have significant untapped reserves
and export potential, the U.S. Energy Department says,
noting that the world's demand for natural gas is rising
and many international companies are expanding their
investments there.
"Development of natural gas is well underway in several
countries but many countries are still struggling with the
basic principles of gas commercialization and its economic
and regulatory links to the power and other sectors for
domestic consumption," says John Brodman, undersecretary
for international energy policy at the Energy Department.
Given its reserve base, he adds that it is not probable
that the continent will ever supplant the Middle East as
the major supplier of either oil or gas but it is expected
to become a more vibrant partner in international circles.
Many in Africa live on less than $1 dollar a day. But,
more prosperity is possible. The oil wealth now enjoyed by
some must not be squandered. It must be re-invested. And
the laws and regulations in the Sub-Saharan region must be
more compatible with those of free market societies, if
national governments are to attract outside capital.
That's good for Africa and the rest of the world, which
needs diversified energy sources.
For far more extensive news on the energy/power
visit: http://www.energycentral.com
.
Copyright © 1996-2005 by CyberTech,
Inc. All rights reserved.
|