Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Sep 06 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
 

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 249 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Sep 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 909 (S08E25) was numbered today. Both Regions 907 (S13E31) and 909 have shown an increase in number of spots.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for an isolated C-flare from Regions 907 or 909.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 07 Sep-09 Sep
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Sep 084
Predicted 07 Sep-09 Sep 085/085/085
90 Day Mean 06 Sep 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Sep 007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Sep 006/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep 004/008-004/005-004/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Sep-09 Sep A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01