* * NATURAL GAS
WATCH * *
Feb 1, 2006 - PR Newswire
February Natural Gas Bills Down 31% Over Last Month Conservation and
Mild Winter Nationwide Reflect Sharp Downturn in Forecasted Natural Gas Costs
SAN FRANCISCO, Feb. 1 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ --
Summary: The cold weather that gripped much of the nation during the
first part of December has turned warmer than normal, resulting in a
significant drop in heating demand nationwide. Here in California, PG&E
customers appear to be conserving gas above and beyond the dictates of
weather. After factoring in weather, PG&E's customers used less natural
gas during November and December compared the same period in 2004.
Nonetheless, natural gas bills will remain higher than February 2005,
reflecting the national market taking a longer term outlook on tight
supplies. As a result, natural gas bills for PG&E's residential
customers will be 23.3 percent higher this February compared to last
year, with total average gas bills expected to be $107.44 for the month.
This compares to last month's average residential bill of $156.42.
Analysis: The decrease in demand and milder weather has resulted in a
sharp decline in both spot and forward prices for natural gas. Because
of the warmer temperatures and drop in demand, storage facilities
continue to have enough gas supply for PG&E's residential customers
throughout the winter season. When prices peaked in mid- December, there
was uncertainty about supplies for the entire nation. However, storage
levels on the West coast are currently well above the previous five-year
high for this time of year. Despite the decline in natural gas prices
and ample storage outlook, a cold snap could still impact this volatile
market.
10/20 Winter Savings Program: Preliminary reports show that PG&E's
residential customers are reducing natural gas usage on average 12.5
percent. Residential and small business customers who reduce usage by at
least 10 percent cumulatively January though March 31, 2006 compared to
the same period last year will earn a 20 percent rebate for all three
winter months. To track their progress and use free online
energy-savings tools, customer can visit
www.pge.com/1020.
Residential Natural Gas Cost Comparison:
AVERAGE February January Percentage February Percentage
RESIDENTIAL 2006 2006 Change 2005 Change
CUSTOMER
Therms of Gas
Used 79 90 -12.2% 79 0.0%
Gas Procurement
Cost
(per therm) $0.890 $1.268 -29.8% $0.671 32.6%
Ave.
Transportation
Charge (per
therm) $0.420 $0.420 0.0% $0.391 7.4%
Total Rate $1.310 $1.688 -22.4% $1.062 23.4%
Public
Purpose
Program
Surcharge $0.050 $0.050 0.0% $0.041 22.0%
Total Rate
(including
PPP Surcharge) $1.360 $1.738 -21.7% $1.103 23.3%
Total Natural
Gas Bills
(including PPP
Surcharge) $107.44 $156.42 -31.3% $87.14 23.3%
Notes: Using recorded average monthly use (from GH most recent month
available) and average transportation rate for bill calculation. Therm:
A measurement for natural gas. One therm contains thermal energy
equivalent to 100,000 British thermal units. Procurement: The cost of
the natural gas itself delivered to PG&E's local transmission system.
Procurement costs fluctuate on a monthly basis, based on market prices.
Transportation: The cost of transporting the gas to PG&E's customers on
PG&E's local transmission and distribution system. The transportation
rate included here is an annual average of the baseline and excess
rates.
Public Purpose Program (PPP) Surcharge: Prior to March 1, 2005, the
transportation rate included public purpose program surcharges mandated
by state. In compliance with D. 04-08-010, issued August 19, 2004, gas
PPP surcharges are removed from gas transportation rates effective March
1, 2005. SOURCE Pacific Gas and Electric Company
© Copyright 2006 NetContent, Inc. Duplication and
distribution restricted.Visit http://www.powermarketers.com/index.shtml
for excellent coverage on your energy news front.
|