Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

Issued: 2006 Feb 01 2249 UTC

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 032 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Feb 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No new regions were numbered today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet.

III. Event Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb

Class M 01/01/01

Class X 01/01/01

Proton 01/01/01

PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed 01 Feb 078

Predicted 02 Feb-04 Feb 080/080/080

90 Day Mean 01 Feb 087

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jan 001/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Feb 003/004

Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb 003/005-003/005-003/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb A. Middle Latitudes

Active 10/10/10

Minor storm 05/05/05

Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

Active 15/15/15

Minor storm 05/05/05

Major-severe storm 01/01/01