January 28, 1969.
It was the largest oil spill our nation had seen up until that
point – a catastrophic blowout from an oil platform off of Santa
Barbara in southern California that spread an 800 square-mile oil
slick along a thirty mile coastline. Many of us alive today did
not experience the tides of dead seals, dolphins and birds; those
who did say the spill stripped them of their innocence and left
them with indelible memories of crimes against nature.
Although the players and stage have changed since 1969, the
overall story has not. We are faced with the same fundamental
problem now as we were then: our dependence on fossil fuels and
the risks associated with that dependence.
Today, California is exploring an energy option that is no more
necessary than drilling offshore (or for that matter, drilling in
national forests or the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge). The
latest debate centers around increasing California’s natural gas
supplies by importing liquefied natural gas, or LNG. The problem
is, we don’t need more natural gas in California because renewable
energy and energy efficiency can meet future energy demands.
LNG is natural gas that has been cooled to the point where it
becomes a liquid, making it easier to transport. In California,
three LNG import terminals are seeking permits, all in Southern
California. One is planned for a site about fourteen miles
offshore from Oxnard, by BHP Billiton, an Australian energy
company. Another has been proposed for Platform Grace, a retired
oil rig off Ventura’s coast, by Houston-based Crystal Energy. But
the most worrisome is Mitsubishi and Chevron’s proposed plant in
the Port of Long Beach – much closer to urban areas than the first
two.
Anytime you concentrate a fuel and confine it in a small space,
concerns about safety and environmental protection arise. Even
without those concerns, however, I would argue this: these LNG
terminals simply aren’t necessary.
The Community Environmental Council, a Santa Barbara-based
non-profit, has completed a rigorous examination of natural gas
supply and demand and has concluded that there are better, more
viable alternatives. Essentially, if California lives up to its
own state laws mandating that we get more of our electricity from
renewable resources and energy efficiency, we do not need these
terminals.
Let’s look at some numbers. Right now we need about 6.2 billion
cubic feet of natural gas a day to heat our homes and run our
power plants. The California Energy Commission – the state’s
official word in this area – projects that by 2016, that number
will rise to 6.6 billion cubic feet. So we need to find an
additional 400 million cubic feet per day in the next decade.
Before we start asking how we’re going to meet that need, let’s
look at what we need the natural gas for. In California, about
half of our power plants use natural gas to generate electricity –
which can be generated by other energy sources, such as wind and
solar power, and the rest is used for heating, cooking and
industry. Natural gas for electricity generation is the only area
expected to grow appreciably. So instead of trying to find a
source for 400 million cubic feet per day of natural gas in the
next ten years, let’s instead look for its equivalent: about
43,000 gigawatt hours of electricity per year.
California law requires that twenty percent of our electricity
come from renewable resources by 2010, about 55,000 gigawatt hours
per year – more than enough to meet the 43,000 gigawatt hours
we’re looking for. (And the amount from renewables will probably
be higher, as the state is considering advancing its goal so that
thirty-three percent of all electricity would be produced by
renewables by 2020.)
But that’s not all. We haven’t even yet asked whether we could
reduce demand through conservation and more efficient technology.
California’s investor-owned utilities recently received $2 billion
in state funding to achieve $5 billion in energy efficiency
savings, equivalent to more than 10,000 gigawatt hours a year
through 2008. The state also has set an achievable goal of saving
23,000 gigawatt hours per year by 2013.
Under these existing mandates, we will more than offset future
energy demand just by following the path that the state and the
utilities already have in place. Even if you wanted to hedge your
bets, there are sixteen new LNG import terminals already approved
by regulators elsewhere in the U.S. and Baja California, as well
as plans for gas pipelines from Canada and Alaska – all of which
could funnel more natural gas our way if needed.
While natural gas is certainly cleaner and a preferable choice
over oil or coal, let us not forget this it is still a
non-renewable source of energy and a potentially explosive fuel.
It is our belief that opting for LNG may divert attention from
renewable energy and energy efficiency - the far more preferable
alternatives. Let’s hope that policymakers at the local, state and
federal levels give more thought to the necessity of constructing
off-shore LNG terminals than they did the construction of oil rigs
off our coast.
As we pass the anniversary of the January 28 oil spill, we
should be asking ourselves: how long do we want to stay beholden
to these dinosaur fuels?
To join in on the conversation or to subscribe or visit
this site go to: http://www.energypulse.net
Copyright 2005 CyberTech, Inc.
Readers Comments
Date |
Comment |
James Hopf
2.3.06 |
I fully concur
with the author that LNG imports are a bad idea, and
that the increasing use of gas for power generation
is the primary culprit. Importing large amounts of
gas, primarily from the Middle East (even Russia,
perhaps), just so we can use it in large,
centralized, baseload power plants is impossible to
justify.
Becoming highly dependent on these unstable
regions for gas, just like we are for oil now, will
greatly harm the US geopolitical position, as well
as its balance of trade. It will make resource wars
(e.g., Iraq) much more likely. Gas baseload plants
also make no sense from a resource management point
of view, in that they consume large amounts of a
precious, limited resource, for a task that can
easily be performed using several fuels/sources that
are domestic, and much more abundant. California,
with it's defacto "all gas" policy, has one of the
most irresponsible energy policies in the nation.
All that said, if the author (and his ilk) wan't
to be taken seriously, they have to show a little
more willingness to compromise. One of the most
irresponsible things that "environmentalists" have
done, and continue to do, is spread the dishonest
mantra that conservation and renewables alone can
meet all of our future energy needs. No serious
energy expert has ever believed this. As they
contunue to beat this drum, w/o any hint of
compromise, most people have stopped even listening
to them, as they don't offer any real solutions. The
fact is, if we limit our alternative options to
conservation and renewables only, the use of gas for
power generation in California WILL continue to
increase, making LNG necessary.
Our primary goals should be to greatly reduce the
use of gas for baseload power generation (for the
reasons given above), and to greatly reduce the use
of conventional (non-IGCC) coal, due to its
unacceptable environmental and health costs. If we
are to have any chance of doing this, we are going
to need a much larger tent. Due to their
intermittantcy, renewables can not do the job alone.
Not even close. There seems to be a growing
concensus (among those capable of compromise) that a
combination of clean (IGCC) coal, nuclear, and
renewables, as well as conservation, is going to be
required to get the job done.
|
Edward A. Reid,
Jr.
2.3.06 |
Unfortunately, the
Commerce Clause of the US Constitution requires the
rest of us to share the results of California's
folly. California's combination of a very low
conventional generating capacity reserve margin and
its aggressive renewable portfolio standard means we
will likely not have to wait long to view the
results.
Full scale experiments, while very costly, are
nevertheless extremely convincing.
|
Charles Petterson
2.3.06 |
The author claims
"In California, about half of our power plants
use natural gas to generate electricity – which can
be generated by other energy sources, such as wind
and solar power, .... "
You can? Than why is it that you are NOT doing
this? I have seen the same statement, or similar
claims, for thirty years. Yet, the reality is that
the folks in California can not find it in their
interest to actually generate electricity in any
significant amount, by these methods. None of these
methods have provided enough capacity to accomodate
the GROWTH of the power needs of the state, let
alone REPLACE any thermal generation capacity.
I don't understand why this is. California, by
their own admission, has the brightest, most
beautiful, nost creative perople in the world. Yet,
all they create is dreams, wishes, fantasies when it
comes to generating power.
Go ahead . Protest to your hearts content. Keep
offering up fanciful solutions. Such proposals serve
you well.
chuck petterson persia
|
Len Gould
2.3.06 |
"California’s
investor-owned utilities recently received $2
billion in state funding to achieve $5 billion in
energy efficiency savings"
How much more will you need to "pay" the
incumbents to achieve these goal of eliminating
natural gas? From here it looks like a very
lucrative flim-flam game they've got going with you.
I'd suggest extreme caution in listening to any
further proposals of this sort.
|
Len Gould
2.3.06 |
A question to the
author, and/or anyone else: How might I access any
web-available documentation of the methodology used
to determine the amount of savings achieved by any
specific utility-funded energy efficiency projects?
I note in Recommendation #5 of the ACEEE
(American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy)
report at http://www.aceee.org/conf/03ee/Kushler-7w.pdf
the wording
"The traditional structure for the evaluation of
utility energy efficiency programs should be
maintained, including ......... (4) an open process,
with full public access to all reports"
They then require a $13.00 fee to download any of
their reports.
What I'm particularly interested in is "How to
the program decision-makers avoid the liklyhood of
design engineers designing new projects with an
object of benefiting from this sort of program?" The
ways to do so are endless, such as building a new
manufacturing facility with all cheap inefficient
electric motors to start, then having the efficiency
program pay to replace those motors with new and
costly high-efficiency motors while moving the
nearly-new low-effic. motors onto phase 2 of the
project. DO and repeat, while taxpayers foot the
bill.
An interesting problem in economics and
incentive.
|
Tam Hunt
2.6.06 |
James Hopf: I
don't think you read the piece carefully enough. I
state that renewables and energy efficiency can
(under existing state mandates!) meet the additional
natural gas demand projected by the state's energy
agencies. I did not state that renewables and energy
efficiency can replace all electricity generation.
I will, however, state now that I do indeed
believe renewables and energy efficiency can replace
all of our electricity generation in California -
AND all of our natural gas needs (for
non-electricity generation purposes) AND all of our
transportation fuel needs. Indeed, this is our
regional goal with our Fossil Free By '33 program
(www.fossilfreeby33.org).
If you'd like extensive documentation, and real
world examples, to back up this admittedly
non-mainstream claim, I welcome further dialogue.
You can email me directly at thunt@cecmail.org.
|
Tam Hunt
2.6.06 |
Len Gould: I have
many documents on this issue, and can show you how
to access these documents online for free. Email me
at thunt@cecmail.org.
|
Tam Hunt
2.6.06 |
Len Gould: you
question the wisdom of paying the utilities to
achieve energy efficiency goals. Here's the
rationale: the cost of creating "new generation"
through energy efficiency and demand response
programs is much cheaper than actually building new
plants. Official state policy supports energy
efficiency, demand response, and renewable
electricity as the first three items in the state's
loading order (the preferred sources of
electricity). Accordingly, the state was willling to
pay $2 billion (paid for with ratepayer funds to the
tune of about $19 per year for each resident of
California) to incentivize the utilities to invest
seriously in these programs instead of building less
cost-effective forms of new generation - which would
then get passed on to the ratepayers as higher
utility bills. It's a win win win situation and is
eminently reasonable.
|
Tam Hunt
2.6.06 |
Charles Patterson:
You raise a good point about earlier claims by
renewables advocates. I wasn't around during the
first round of interest in renewables, back in the
70s and 80s, but I can tell you this: the
intervening 20 years has brought us light years
closer to prime time. In California, fully 11% of
our electricity comes from renewable sources (5%
from geothermal being the single largest source of
renewables), which is not insignificant. State law
requires 20% by 2010. That's not insignificant. And
the Governor is calling for 33% by 2020, which is
most definitely not insignificant. Wind power is
growing bey leaps and bounds, as is solar power
(concentrating solar being the most promising for
utility-scale generation). When ocean power
technologies mature over the next decade, we expect
to see a large amount of power from this area.
California is not already producing 33% renewable
electricity b/c of many reasons, some of which are
admittedly technological and economic in nature.
These barriers have largely been overcome now and
it's simply a matter of time before the political
and industry barriers to a large increase in
renewable generation takes us to the existing state
goals, and hopefully much further.
|
Len Gould
2.6.06 |
Tam: Every
possible efficiency saving possible through subsidy
would also be available through intelligent nd
constantly communicating TOU metering which also
charged customers real prices according to market
conditions on an hourly basis. California could
replace all 10 million existing meters for perhaps
$6 billion one-time cost. The meters would also be
smart enough to use the premesis wiring system to
control non-critical loads via powerline carrier
signals, provide full AMR and TOU metering for
electric, gas and water and communicate
intelligently with larger customer's local energy
management systems.
A far smarter use of limited resources (capital)
|
William Quapp
2.7.06 |
I believe that
California does not need LNG but does need more
solutions than the so-called "renewables". I agree
with others that becoming dependent on imported
sources of LNG is bad social policy. It is time we
stop trading the lives of our military for energy
supplies.
I am also opposed to the misguided use of natural
gas for baseload electric power as are others
commenting on this column. It is a thermodynamically
wasteful use of fuel. In domestic heating or in
chemical processes, 90% of the natural gas energy is
extracted for beneficial use. In gas turbines, it is
less than half of that value. This wasteful use of
natural gas for baseload electric power is the
reason that domestic heating users have seen a
threefold increase in gas rates over the last 3 to 4
years! It is also the reason many chemical companies
depending on natural gas for their feedstock have
moved their manufacturing to other countries. Thus,
the misguided use of natural gas has caused the
heating bills to increase while jobs disappear!
Logical? No.
I make note that "renewables" as discussed by Mr.
Hunt have an interesting attribute. The solar
renewable source operates about 50% of the time
under the best of sunny conditions. The other half
of the time it is dark. Maybe renewable is a synonym
for "restartable" since solar power systems must be
restarted on a daily basis. Note also that the land
use to generate power from solar renewables will not
be from land around Santa Barbara where Tam Hunt
lives, it will be from eastern California deserts
where smaller populations of people with less
political power live. Is this NIMBY or what?
The other renewable energy he discusses, wind,
also has interesting attributes. A couple of weeks
ago, I drove the I10 interstate from the Ontario, CA
airport to Palm Springs. Between these points is a
mountain pass where the largest installation of wind
machines I have ever seen is located. The fields of
machines stretch for miles along the interstate and
on mountain ridges within sight of the interstate.
There must be several thousand machines. During this
drive, the wind was blowing particularly
aggressively from the east, enough so, that it was
the subject of the local news every time I bothered
to listen. Nevertheless, a large number of the wind
machines sat motionless! Thus, better performance
reliability is clearly needed.
Now to further observe, that since no one
controls the wind, this renewable energy source is
also not dependable. During hot summer days when air
conditioning is badly needed in inland California
communities, often the wind does not blow. So where
does the power come from then? Natural gas turbines
with the adverse social and economic effects
illustrated above.
Mr. Hunt needs to face the reality that in this
country, either everyone moves to Santa Barbara and
similar coastal communities where the effects of
winter and summer extremes are damped, or we go to
more conventional and RELIABLE sources for
generating electric power that do not depend on
imported energy supplies. Jim Hopf made the right
suggestions for satisfying this reliability need.
There is one renewable source of energy that
California can use but many of the environmental
extremists groups oppose it. That is waste. The
municipal solid waste (trash) generated in
California could be converted into electricity or
hydrogen using gasification technologies. According
to a California Integrated Waste Management Board
2004 report, about 40 million tons/year of waste are
generated in the state. Most of this ends up in
landfills where greenhouse gas generation and
groundwater pollution are known outcomes. If this
waste is processed in a gasification process, the
gross power available is in the range of 42,000
gigawatt hours. So, the natural gas shortfall can be
largely made up using gasification technologies to
process the waste resource now being wasted. And,
lest I not address the subject, this process can
operated with minimal air emissions -- contrary to
what the ill-informed anti-everything community
generally claims.
So California does have indigenous energy
options, it just needs to use the intellectual power
of the state to implement those solutions instead of
always advancing the NIMBY responses to energy
options. |
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