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Who's Reviving the Electric Car?
Joel Makower
Who killed the electric car? Who cares? It's history!
What's far more interesting is who's working to bring electric cars to
life. Despite the hype and buzz created by the recent debut of a
passionate documentary film examining the life and premature death
of General Motors' all-electric
EV-1 vehicle in the late 1990s, there's a far more newsworthy story:
Several notable efforts are taking place to bring all-electric or
plug-in hybrid-electric vehicles to market. And for all appearances,
these stand to be far more substantive -- and more sustainable -- than
GM's initial entry ever was.
Over the past few months, I've been tracking several threads of this
story. Here's a snapshot of what's going on.
At least two car makers are viewing electric cars as a high-end niche
market -- something the Hollywood or well-heeled Silicon Valley set will
want to embrace simply for the cool factor. After all, now that
"everyone" has a Prius, what's the Next Green Thing?
The Tesla, for starters.
Tesla Motors, a
Silicon Valley start-up, has been keeping its sports car under tight
wraps for months, showing it only to a privileged few. (I assumed that
my role on the clean-tech advisory council of VantagePoint Venture
Partners, the venture capital firm that is the lead institutional
investor in Tesla, would get me in the door to have an early look. It
didn't.) Tesla's first vehicle, an electric sports car set to be
unveiled later this month, runs on the same lithium-ion batteries found
in cameras and cell phones -- 7,000 of them per vehicle, the inventors
told me. They claim that the Tesla Roadster, built on the chassis of a
Lotus Elise, will go from 0 to 60 mph in just four seconds, travel
250 miles before needing to be recharged (by plugging in to a regular AC
outlet), and retail for about $80,000. They intend that Tesla's
second-generation car, due out in 18-24 months, will be somewhat more
popularly priced at around $50,000.
The Tesla rolls in the same league as the
Wrightspeed,
another Silicon Valley entrant. (Founder Ian Wright formerly worked at
Tesla.) Wrightspeed's X1 model is a high-performance all-electric
$120,000 roadster that beat out a $440,000 Porsche on a test track. (I
did manage to snag a ride on the X1. Wright took me for a spin in
downtown Palo Alto late one night, showing off his car's prowess by
going from 0 to 80 to 0 in a single city block. It was the closest I can
approximate to being shot out of a cannon -- albeit a noiseless cannon,
but for the wind racing by.) The X1, which is not yet in production,
boasts a quarter ton of rechargeable batteries.
Clearly, neither Wrightspeed nor Tesla are looking to sell to the hoi
polloi, though each company claims to be making technological advances
in electric vehicles that will eventually filter down to more
mass-market models -- probably manufactured by others.
There's also the
Tango,
a novel EV offered by Seattle-based Commuter Cars Corp. The Tango seats
two people -- one behind the other, like on a motorcycle -- and the
super- slim, battery-driven vehicle that results is designed to slip in
and out of traffic and parking spaces in ways conventional cars can't.
Tango's most affordable model is priced at $18,700, but don't hold your
breath: According to the company's Web site: "This car has not been
designed yet as it will require a team of engineers, tens of millions of
dollars, and at least 18 months to meet all of the safety requirements."
And then there's the
Th! nk.
This nifty little EV, developed by a Norwegian design team, was sold as
the CityBee in Europe and the Citi in the U.S., before being purchased
by Ford in 1999. Ford leased just over 1,000 of them throughout Europe
and the U.S., comprising the world's largest EV fleet. But in 2004, much
to the chagrin of environmentalists and others, Ford sold Th!nk to a
European firm, which went bankrupt early this year. The company's
remnants were purchased in March by a group of Norwegian investors that
is looking to introduce the vehicle back into the U.S. market.
Even before such vehicles hit the roads, a new generation of plug-in
hybrid-electric vehicles is likely to take EVs out of the realm of
hobbyists and techies and into the mainstream. As
CalCars, a California
nonprofit that's been rabidly promoting PHEVs of late, explains:
Plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) are like regular hybrids but with larger
batteries and the ability to re-charge from a standard outlet (mostly
at night). They're the best of both worlds: local travel is electric,
yet the vehicle has unlimited gasoline range.
CalCars is among several groups that have modified Toyota Priuses and
other hybrids to run on electricity-only while traveling in town,
resulting in overall fuel economy exceeding 100 miles per gallon of gas
in most cases.
PHEVs offer an additional benefit that could help greatly boost their
appeal: Their ability to store electricity to be used when needed --
whether on the road (to power computers or other appliances) or at home
(as an emergency generator during power outages). Explains
HybridCars.com:
Someday, the larger battery packs used in plug-in hybrids could
juggle power back and forth from the car to your household current. If
adopted on a widespread basis, a fleet of plug-in (a.k.a. "gridable")
hybrids could offer what are called "regulatory services" (keeping
voltages steady, etc.) to a modernized electric power grid. It is
estimated that what's called "V2G" could benefit individual car owners
by as much as $2,000 to $3,000 per year for the use of their energy
storage capacity -- offsetting their purchase and operating costs.
It's perhaps symbolically fitting that General Motors -- the villain in
the currently running movie -- may be first major car company to boast a
production model PHEV.
Bloomberg recently reported that GM will unveil at the Detroit Auto
Show next January a PHEV that gets more than 60 miles a gallon -- and GM
hasn't exactly denied the story. (My inside sources tell me that the
Bloomberg reporter "got it mostly right.") And what's good for GM --
well, you know the rest.
Looking a bit further down the road is the
Automotive X Prize, a multimillion- dollar prize to be awarded to
the team "that makes and sells the most units of a vehicle that exceeds
100 MPG equivalent," according to the organizers. The competition --
whose details will be announced later this year -- is technology
neutral, though it is likely that electric-vehicle technology will loom
large in the winning entry.
And so it goes -- a far less hopeless state of affairs than many
activists (or filmmakers) would like us to think. Suddenly, seemingly
out of nowhere, electric vehicles -- only recently assumed to have been
"killed" -- appear to be stirring to life.
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Joel Makower is Co-founder and Principal of Clean Edge, Inc.
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