China's coal,
world's peril: No easy solution
Jun 12, 2006 - International Herald Tribune
Author(s): Keith Bradsher And David Barboza
One of China's lesser-known exports is a dangerous brew of soot,
toxic chemicals and climate-changing gases from the smokestacks of
coal-burning power plants.
In early April, a dense cloud of pollutants over northern China
sailed to Seoul, sweeping along dust and desert sand before wafting
across the Pacific. A U.S. satellite spotted the cloud as it crossed the
West Coast of the United States.
Researchers in California, Oregon and Washington noticed specks of
sulfur compounds, carbon and other byproducts of coal combustion coating
the silvery surfaces of their mountaintop detectors. These microscopic
particles can work their way deep into the lungs, contributing to
respiratory damage, heart disease and cancer.
Filters near Lake Tahoe, in the mountains of eastern California, "are
the darkest that we've seen" outside smoggy urban areas, said Steven
Cliff, an atmospheric scientist at the University of California at
Davis.
Unless China finds a way to clean up its coal plants and the
thousands of factories that burn coal, pollution will soar both at home
and abroad. The increase in global-warming gases from China's coal use
will probably exceed that for all industrialized countries combined over
the next 25 years, surpassing by five times the reduction in such
emissions that is called for under the Kyoto Protocol.
The sulfur dioxide produced in coal combustion poses an immediate
threat to the health of China's citizens, contributing to about 400,000
premature deaths a year. It also causes acid rain that poisons lakes,
rivers, forests and crops.
The sulfur pollution is so pervasive as to have an extraordinary side
effect that is helping the rest of the world, but only temporarily: It
actually slows global warming. The tiny, airborne particles deflect the
sun's hot rays back into space.
But the cooling effect from sulfur is short-lived. By contrast, the
carbon dioxide emanating from Chinese coal plants will last for decades,
with a cumulative warming effect that will eventually overwhelm the
cooling from sulfur and deliver another large kick to global warming,
climate scientists say.
A warmer climate could lead to rising sea levels, the spread of
tropical diseases in previously temperate climates, crop failures in
some regions and the extinction of many plant and animal species,
especially those in polar or alpine areas.
In these respects, coal is indeed a double-edged sword: the new
Chinese economy's black gold and the fragile environment's dark cloud.
Already, China uses more coal than the United States, the European
Union and Japan combined. And it has increased coal consumption 14
percent in each of the past two years in the broadest industrialization
ever. Every 7 to 10 days, another major coal- fired power plant opens
somewhere in China.
To make matters worse, India is right behind China in stepping up its
construction of coal-fired power plants and has a population expected to
outstrip China's by 2030.
Aware of the country's growing reliance on coal and of the dangers
from burning so much of it, China's leaders have vowed to improve the
nation's energy efficiency. No one thinks that effort will be enough.
To make a significant improvement in emissions of global-warming
gases and other pollutants, the country must install the most modern
equipment equipment that for the time being must come from other
nations.
Industrialized countries could help by providing loans or grants, as
the Japanese government and the World Bank have done, or by sharing
technology. But Chinese utilities have in the past preferred to buy
cheap but often-antiquated equipment from well-connected domestic
suppliers instead of importing costlier gear from the West.
The Chinese government has been reluctant to approve the extra
spending. Asking customers to shoulder the bill would set back the
government's efforts to protect consumers from inflation and to create
jobs and social stability.
But each year that China defers buying advanced technology, older
equipment goes into scores of new coal-fired plants with a lifespan of
up to 75 years.
"This is the great challenge they have to face," said David
Moskovitz, an energy consultant who advises the Chinese government. "How
can they continue their rapid growth without plunging the environment
into the abyss?"
Wu Yiebing and his wife, Cao Waiping, used to have very little effect
on their environment. But they have tasted the rising standard of living
from coal-generated electricity, and they are hooked, even as they
suffer the vivid effects of the damage their new lifestyle creates.
Years ago, the mountain village where they grew up had electricity
for only several hours each evening, when water was let out of a nearby
dam to turn a small turbine. They lived in a mud hut, farmed by hand
from dawn to dusk on hillside terraces too small for tractors, and ate
almost nothing but rice on an income of $25 a month
Today, they live here in Hanjing, a small town in central China where
Wu earns nearly $200 a month. He operates a large electric drill in a
coal mine, digging out the fuel that has powered his own family's
advancement. He and his wife have a stereo, a refrigerator, a
television, an electric fan, a phone and light bulbs, paying just $2.50
a month for all the electricity they can burn from a nearby coal-fired
power plant.
They occupy a snug house with brick walls and floors and a concrete
foundation the bricks and concrete are products of the smoking,
energy-ravenous factories that dot the valley.
One-fifth of the world's population already lives in affluent
countries with air-conditioning, refrigerators and other appliances.
This group consumes a tremendous amount of oil, natural gas, nuclear
power, coal and alternative energy sources.
Now China is trying to bring its fifth of the world's population,
people like Wu and Cao, up to the same standard. One goal is to build
urban communities for 300 million people over the next two decades.
Already, China has more than tripled the number of air conditioners
in the past five years, to 84 per 100 urban households. And it has
brought modern appliances to hundreds of millions of households in small
towns and villages like Hanjing.
The difference from most wealthy countries is that China depends
overwhelmingly on coal. And using coal to produce electricity and run
factories generates more global-warming gases and lung-damaging
pollutants than relying on oil or gas.
Indeed, Wu's family dislikes the light gray smog of sulfur particles
and other pollutants that darkens the sky and dulls the dark green
fields of young wheat and the white blossoms of peach orchards in the
distance. But they tolerate the pollution.
"Everything else is better here," Wu said. "Now we live better, we
eat better."
Large areas of north-central China have been devastated by the
spectacular growth of the local coal industry. Severe pollution extends
across Shaanxi Province, where the Wus live, and a neighboring province,
Shanxi, which produces even more coal.
Not long ago, the northeastern city of Datong, long the nation's coal
capital, was branded one of the world's most-polluted cities. Desert
dust and particulate matter in the city had been known to force the
pollution index into warning territory, above 300, which means people
should stay indoors. On Dec. 28, the index hit 350.
"The pollution is worst during the winter," said Ji Youping, a former
coal miner who now works with a local environmental protection agency.
"Datong gets very black. Even during the daytime, people drive with
their lights on."
Of China's 10 most polluted cities, four, including Datong, are in
Shanxi Province. The coal-mining operations have damaged waterways and
scarred the land. Because of intense underground mining, thousands of
acres are prone to sinking, and hundreds of villages are blackened with
coal waste.
There is a Dickensian feel to much of the region. There are growing
concerns about the impact of this coal boom on the environment. The
Asian Development Bank says it is financing pollution control programs
in Shanxi because the number of people suffering from lung cancer and
other respiratory diseases in the province has soared over the past 20
years. Yet even after years of government-mandated cleanup efforts, the
region's factories belch black smoke.
The government has promised to close the foulest factories, and to
shutter thousands of illegal mines, where some of the worst safety and
environmental hazards are concentrated. But no one is talking about
shutting the region's coal-burning power plants, which account for more
than half the pollution. In fact, Shanxi and Shaanxi are rapidly
building new coal-fired plants to keep pace with soaring energy demand.
One decision facing China lies in how efficiently the heat from
burning coal is converted into electricity. Western countries' coal-
heated steam can generate 20 percent to 50 percent more kilowatts than
older Chinese power plants, while emitting the same carbon- dioxide
emissions and potentially lower sulfur emissions.
China has limited the construction of small power plants, which are
inefficient, and has required the use of somewhat higher steam
temperatures and pressures. But Chinese officials say few new plants use
the highest temperatures and pressures, which require costly imported
equipment.
Another choice facing China involves whether to pulverize coal and
then burn the powder, as is done now, or convert the coal into a gas and
then burn the gas, in a process known as integrated gasification
combined combustion.
One advantage of this approach is that coal contaminants like mercury
and sulfur can be easily filtered from the gas and disposed.
Another advantage is that carbon dioxide can be separated from the
emissions and pumped underground, although this technology remains
unproved.
Leading climate scientists like this approach to dealing with China's
rising coal consumption.
"There's a whole range of things that can be done; we should try to
deploy coal gasification," said Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is affiliated with the
United Nations.
The World Bank in 2003 offered a $15 million grant from the Global
Environment Facility to help China build its first state-of- the-art
power plant to convert coal into a gas before burning it. The plan
called for pumping combustion byproducts from the plant underground.
But the Chinese government put the plan on hold after bids to build
the plant were higher than expected. Chinese officials have expressed an
interest this spring in building five or six power plants with the new
technology instead of just one. But they are in danger of losing the
original grant if they do not take some action soon, said Zhao Jianping,
the senior energy specialist in the Beijing office of the World Bank.
Another stumbling block has been that China wants foreign
manufacturers to transfer technological secrets to Chinese rivals,
instead of simply filling orders to import equipment, said Anil Terway,
director of the East Asia energy division at the Asian Development Bank.
"The fact that they are keen to have the technologies along with the
equipment is slowing things down," he said.
Andy Solem, vice president for China infrastructure at General
Electric, a leading manufacturer of coal gasification equipment, said he
believed that China would place orders in 2007 or 2008 for the
construction of a series of these plants. But he said some technology
transfer was unavoidable.
Western companies could help Chinese businesses take steps to reduce
carbon-dioxide emissions, like subsidizing the purchase of more
efficient boilers. Some companies already have such programs in other
countries, to offset the environmental consequences of their own
carbon-dioxide emissions at home, and are looking at similar projects in
China. But the scale of emissions in China to offset is enormous.
For all the worries about pollution from China, international climate
experts are loath to criticize the country without pointing out that the
average American still consumes more energy and is responsible for the
release of 10 times as much carbon dioxide as the average Chinese. While
China now generates more electricity from coal than does the United
States, America's consumption of gasoline dwarfs China's, and burning
gasoline also releases carbon dioxide.
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