| Energy Regulator 
        seeks ceiling of pounds 5bn on investment 
 Jun 27, 2006 - Daily Telegraph London
 Author(s): Stephen Seawright
 
 ENERGY regulator Ofgem has proposed almost doubling investment in 
        Britain's electricity and gas transmission networks to a maximum of 
        pounds 5bn for the five years to 2012, but analysts said the suggested 
        rate of return was too low.    The investment is needed to ensure renewable energy and gas import 
        projects currently being developed can be connected to the national 
        transmission networks. Ofgem chief executive Alistair Buchanan said: 
        "Britain's energy networks face huge challenges over the next five years 
        to respond to changes in the sources of our gas and power.''    Britain's transmission networks, which pump gas and electricity 
        around the country, are run by the National Grid and subsidiaries of 
        Scottish Power, and Scottish & Southern Energy.    Ofgem has initially proposed that pounds 4.25bn be invested in the 
        transmission networks from 2007 to 2012. An extra pounds 750m has been 
        allocated in case additional gas or renewable energy projects need to be 
        connected to the networks.    The amount proposed is less than the companies' initial submission of 
        pounds 6.7bn. Ofgem's proposed investment is based on there being fewer 
        electricity and gas projects that will need connecting to the 
        transmission networks. The regulator also believes there is scope for 
        cost savings in the proposed investments.    Companies have an incentive to propose higher levels of investment as 
        the regulator sets a fixed rate of return. So more investment 
        automatically means more returns. However, Ofgem's proposed rate of 
        return of 4.2pc is lower than the 4.8pc on the electricity distribution 
        assets, the local wires which bring power into homes and offices. Water 
        companies have a fixed return on their assets of 5.1pc.    Charles Stanley analyst Clive Roberts described Ofgem's proposed rate 
        of return as "a tough stance''. In such negotiations the regulator often 
        "plays hard ball initially'' before negotiating "a slight softening of 
        their position'', he said.    The companies will hold negotiations with Ofgem over the coming 
        months with the final proposals scheduled to be released in November.
           JP Morgan analyst Ian Mitchell described the proposed return as 
        "disappointing'' for National Grid. If Ofgem's proposals were accepted 
        next year's earnings would come off by around 4pc, which Mr Mitchell 
        said would be "no disaster''.    A Scottish Power spokesman said the proposals showed "no real 
        surprises''.    National Grid shares fell 3 to 596p, Scottish Power came off 7 to 
        576p and Scottish & Southern Energy closed down 13p at pounds 11.16p.
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