Energy Regulator
seeks ceiling of pounds 5bn on investment
Jun 27, 2006 - Daily Telegraph London
Author(s): Stephen Seawright
ENERGY regulator Ofgem has proposed almost doubling investment in
Britain's electricity and gas transmission networks to a maximum of
pounds 5bn for the five years to 2012, but analysts said the suggested
rate of return was too low.
The investment is needed to ensure renewable energy and gas import
projects currently being developed can be connected to the national
transmission networks. Ofgem chief executive Alistair Buchanan said:
"Britain's energy networks face huge challenges over the next five years
to respond to changes in the sources of our gas and power.''
Britain's transmission networks, which pump gas and electricity
around the country, are run by the National Grid and subsidiaries of
Scottish Power, and Scottish & Southern Energy.
Ofgem has initially proposed that pounds 4.25bn be invested in the
transmission networks from 2007 to 2012. An extra pounds 750m has been
allocated in case additional gas or renewable energy projects need to be
connected to the networks.
The amount proposed is less than the companies' initial submission of
pounds 6.7bn. Ofgem's proposed investment is based on there being fewer
electricity and gas projects that will need connecting to the
transmission networks. The regulator also believes there is scope for
cost savings in the proposed investments.
Companies have an incentive to propose higher levels of investment as
the regulator sets a fixed rate of return. So more investment
automatically means more returns. However, Ofgem's proposed rate of
return of 4.2pc is lower than the 4.8pc on the electricity distribution
assets, the local wires which bring power into homes and offices. Water
companies have a fixed return on their assets of 5.1pc.
Charles Stanley analyst Clive Roberts described Ofgem's proposed rate
of return as "a tough stance''. In such negotiations the regulator often
"plays hard ball initially'' before negotiating "a slight softening of
their position'', he said.
The companies will hold negotiations with Ofgem over the coming
months with the final proposals scheduled to be released in November.
JP Morgan analyst Ian Mitchell described the proposed return as
"disappointing'' for National Grid. If Ofgem's proposals were accepted
next year's earnings would come off by around 4pc, which Mr Mitchell
said would be "no disaster''.
A Scottish Power spokesman said the proposals showed "no real
surprises''.
National Grid shares fell 3 to 596p, Scottish Power came off 7 to
576p and Scottish & Southern Energy closed down 13p at pounds 11.16p.
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