Gasman primed to
turn up heat on the suppliers Regulator is diplomatic over Europe's
'bizarre' behavior
Jun 26, 2006 - Daily Telegraph London
Author(s): Stephen Seawright
AS GAS prices soared way above levels on continental Europe last
winter amid fears that we might even have a shortage, Alistair Buchanan,
chief executive of energy regulator Ofgem, was left scratching his head
in disbelief. The big mystery was why were European energy companies not
exporting gas through a pipe called the interconnector, which links
Britain's gas network with the Continent's, to make a killing by selling
at our higher prices.
"You're left looking at this saying, 'What is going on?' No other
business given that opportunity would turn it down,'' said Mr Buchanan
in a slightly exasperated tone.
"Each time we came up to looking at what was potentially happening
over the interconnector we were just dumbfounded.''
So he asked executives at some of the European companies to help him
understand why they were not pumping the gas through.
"They said, 'Oh you British, you're absolutely stupid. Didn't you
understand that upgrading the pipeline to Zeebrugge isn't all you have
to do?
"You then have to upgrade the pipeline within Belgium and within
France to be able to carry the gas.'''
Not only was the answer far from complimentary, it was also untrue.
Within a few weeks of the New Year the interconnector was flowing at
almost double the level before Christmas. Pipelines don't get upgraded
fast enough for that sort of turnaround. "In other words that story was
complete bunkum,'' said Mr Buchanan. "[There are] just bizarre
explanations as to what is happening within Europe.'' So had he been
lied to? "I'm not saying that was done out of malevolence, maybe it was
said with a genuine view,'' came the diplomatic reply.
Yet Mr Buchanan may have the last laugh as the EU's competition
commissioner, Neelie Kroes, subsequently launched an anti-trust
investigation into gas and electricity markets. As part of the inquiry,
dawn raids were carried out on the offices of a number of European
energy giants, including RWE and E.On Ruhrgas of Germany, Gaz de France
and Belgium's Fluxys.
So which European companies told Mr Buchanan he was being stupid? Mr
Buchanan declined to answer but said with a smile: "A lot of the
companies are now working with the EU competition commission in their
investigations.''
Difficulties abound in understanding the European energy market. The
terms of contracts between gas producers and energy suppliers are
unknown but are suspected to restrict the amount that can be sold to
other countries such as Britain, even for higher prices. Data on how
much gas is stored by energy companies is rarely available.
But while Europe is a big issue it can't be blamed for all of the
UK's energy problems. Britain has only enough capacity to store 4pc of
its annual needs compared with around 25pc in both France and Germany.
With more storage Britain could have been better prepared for the tight
supply over the winter.
However, Mr Buchanan believes Britain's lack of storage is
understandable. Germany, for example, has long been highly dependent on
imported gas through two pipelines. Such dependence encouraged large
storage facilities to be built in case of disruption of supply, whereas
Britain was, until recently, a net gas exporter with a range of domestic
sources in the North Sea that lessened the need for storage. As domestic
supplies declined quicker than expected, Britain became a net importer.
By the winter of 2007-08 Britain is set to have lots more storage
facilities, incoming pipelines and ports that can process liquefied
natural gas. Even if the whole network does not run at full capacity, it
is expected to meet the country's needs without the sharp price spikes
seen last winter.
However, only a little of the extra capacity is scheduled to be
available this winter. Ofgem has already said that consumers could pay
up to pounds 3bn more for its energy this winter in what could
potentially be another year of tight supply.
"I hope that will be the last tight winter we have for a very long
time because of this huge infrastructure that is being built at the
moment,'' said Mr Buchanan.
The high wholesale prices still being experienced in Britain have
been used by the energy companies to justify steep rises in bills.
Consumer groups have complained as energy companies make large profits,
which they say are needed to finance big investments in infrastructure.
"We don't feel comfortable with rising prices given that our primary
duty is entirely to the consumer,'' said Mr Buchanan, but he felt the
companies were justified in making the rises given the huge spikes in
wholesale prices.
He takes heart from the fact that the energy retail market is
competitive as lots of customers switch suppliers when price increases
are announced. After the rises of last September the number switching
suppliers jumped dramatically within six weeks as people sought better
deals.
But there's a quid pro quo for the energy suppliers. Mr Buchanan may
be prepared to tolerate rising bills now but when wholesale prices start
to fall retail bills should not be far behind.
"If we do see that then I think the regulator is put on his or her
mettle to ensure that retail prices follow the wholesale price down,''
said Mr Buchanan.
"And if there is any hesitation that might suggest to us that there
is group hesitation among the suppliers, then quite clearly we would
have to look at them very, very carefully.'' So is Mr Buchanan, a former
analyst and investment banker, made of the right mettle to see that
through? "I believe as an analyst I didn't pull any punches,'' he said.
"From time to time we annoy the politicians hugely and I guess we are
not doing our job if from time to time we don't annoy the customers. It
just doesn't bother me.''
While in the financial sector Mr Buchanan worked for a number of
investment banks including BZW and ABN Amro. He worked on many of the
British utility privatisations in the 1990s including British Energy and
National Power and spent two years in New York as head of utilities
research at Salomon Smith Barney. On his return to Europe he also
advised EDF in France on the early stages of privatisation.
Asked why he crossed over to become a regulator, Mr Buchanan gave a
self-deprecating answer: "I guess my clients were probably getting bored
of me.'' The real appeal of the Ofgem job was the mix of business and
public policy as shown by the Government's recent energy review, which
is expected to recommend Britain's current nuclear stations are replaced
by new plants.
Ofgem, which has its headquarters on Millbank just a few minutes'
walk from Parliament, is required to stay "technology neutral'' and
declines to comment on the nuclear issue.
Being neutral also means Ofgem does not make firm predictions about
how the market will develop. Its role is to try to ensure a level
playing field that enables the market to determine the best option.
But as last winter's combination of high wholesale energy prices and
limited supply of gas showed, even if Britain has an open energy market,
things may not always run smoothly, something of which Mr Buchanan is
all too aware. "We see getting Europe right as so important,'' he said.
Age 44
Family Married to Linda with two daughters and one son
Interests Fan of London Wasps rugby team and classical music
1980-83 Durham University BA in politics
1983-87 KPMG - chartered accountant
1987-2003 Worked as analyst and banker at various houses including
BZW, Salomon Smith Barney and ABN Amro
2003- Ofgem chief executive
© Copyright 2006 NetContent, Inc. Duplication and
distribution restricted.
Visit http://www.powermarketers.com/index.shtml
for excellent coverage on your energy news front.
|