Green fuels are ready to displace gasoline

WASHINGTON, DC, US, June 14, 2006 (Refocus Weekly)

The use of ethanol and biodiesel can “significantly reduce global dependence on oil,” according to a report from the Worldwatch Institute and the German Agencies for Technical Cooperation (GTZ) and Renewable Resources (FNR).

Last year, daily global production of green fuels surpassed 670,000 barrels, equivalent to 1% of the world’s market for transportation fuel, explains ‘Biofuels for Transportation: Global Potential & Implications for Sustainable Agriculture & Energy in the 21st Century.’ Oil accounts for 96% of transport fuel, but production of biofuels has doubled since 2001 and “is poised for even stronger growth as the industry responds to higher fuel prices and supportive government policies.”

“Coordinated action to expand biofuel markets and advance new technologies could relieve pressure on oil prices while strengthening agricultural economies and reducing climate-altering emissions,” says Christopher Flavin of Worldwatch.
The report assesses the opportunities and risks associated with large-scale development of biofuels, and includes information from existing studies on biofuel use in Brazil, China, Germany, India and Tanzania. Brazil is the world leader in green fuels, with half its crop of sugar cane providing 40% of its non-diesel transport fuel. In the United States, where 15% of the corn crop provides 2% of the non-diesel transport fuel, ethanol production is growing even more rapidly and this growth may allow the U.S. to overtake Brazil as the world leader this year.

Both countries are producing ethanol at less than the current cost of gasoline, and biofuels could provide 37% of U.S. transport fuel within the next 25 years, and 75% if automobile fuel economy doubles, the report explains. Biofuels could replace 20% to 30% of the oil used in the European Union during the same time frame.

The large-scale use of biofuels carries significant agricultural and ecological risks, and it is “essential that government incentives be used to minimize competition between food and fuel crops and to discourage expansion onto ecologically valuable lands,” explains project manager Suzanne Hunt of Worldwatch. “The report also finds that biofuels have the potential to increase energy security, create new economic opportunities in rural areas, and reduce local pollution and emissions of greenhouse gases.”

The long-term potential for green fuels is in non-food feedstock that includes agricultural, municipal, and forestry wastes, as well as fast-growing cellulose-rich energy crops such as switchgrass. The combination of cellulosic biomass resources and ‘next-generation biofuel conversion technologies’ will compete with conventional gasoline and diesel fuel without subsidies in the medium term, the report predicts.

The report recommends that biofuel policies should focus on market development based on sound fiscal incentives and support for private investment, infrastructure development, and the building of transportation fleets that are able to use the new fuels. It is critical to expedite the transition to the next generation of biofuel feedstock and technologies, which will allow for dramatically increased production at lower cost, while minimizing environmental impacts.

Maintaining soil productivity, water quality and other ecosystem services is essential, it cautions, and environmental sustainability principles and certification systems are important for protecting resources as well as maintaining public trust in the merits of biofuels. Continued rapid growth of biofuels will require development of a true international market in green fuels, which is not impeded by trade restrictions.

The World Bank says biofuel industries require 100 times more workers per unit of energy produced than the fossil fuel industry, and the ethanol industry is credited with providing 200,000 jobs in the U.S. and 500,000 direct jobs in Brazil. Energy crops have the potential to reduce GHG emissions by more than 100% (relative to petroleum fuels) because crops also sequester carbon in the soil as they grow.

“Despite controversy about the energy balance of biofuels, there is an emerging consensus that all common biofuels contain more useful energy than is required to produce them,” the report explains. “Corn ethanol has been particularly controversial, but its average energy balance now clearly exceeds one, thanks to improved energy efficiency in both agriculture and ethanol refining. In the future, the type of processing energy used will be more relevant: a biofuel plant that uses biomass energy will contribute far more to reducing GHG emissions than one that uses coal energy.”


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