Harvesting a
field full of energy The oil giants are beating a path to Downham Market
Jun 26, 2006 - Daily Telegraph London
Author(s): Tom Stevenson
IN BILL Forsyth's 1983 film classic Local Hero, a Scottish fishing
village is turned upside down by the arrival of a Texan oil giant with a
lorryload of cash and blueprints for a refinery.
Wissington, near Downham Market in Norfolk, finds itself in a similar
position after being singled out by the combined forces of BP, American
chemicals giant DuPont and Associated British Foods as the shop window
for their latest combined foray into the fast- growing biofuels market.
A hundred years ago, British agriculture was a major producer of road
transport fuels - oats and hay for horses. Now with the backing of big
business, British farmers are again poised to keep us on the move by
producing renewable and sustainable fuels, ethanol, biodiesel and the
new kid on the block, biobutanol.
BP and Du Pont said this week they are linking to develop the next
generation of alternative fuels in Norfolk, converting an ethanol
fermentation plant owned by ABF's British Sugar arm to produce
biobutanol.
According to BP, biobutanol answers some of the problems left
unsolved by the main biofuel on the market, bioethanol. It can be
blended with petrol in higher concentrations, without the need to modify
existing vehicles and it is less prone to contamination with water.
That means it is better suited to being used within existing tankers
and pipelines, which is a big attraction for a business such as BP with
a massive sunk investment in the existing fuel distribution system. It
is the latest development in a land-grab by some of the world's biggest
energy players and investors that has sceptical observers drawing
comparisons with the huge misallocation of resources during the dot.com
boom.
From oil majors to investment banks and hedge funds, everyone wants a
slice of alternative energy. Whether they will plough money into white
elephant infrastructure left behind by events remains to be seen.
The race to find the ''green gold'' of tomorrow is big business.
Bruce Huber, head of European technology at investment bank Jefferies,
thinks $5bn ( pounds 2.75bn) has been invested in alternative energy
projects since the beginning of last year, about 15pc of which has been
in biofuels research. He is confident that the investment will pay off,
pointing to a forecast by Royal Dutch Shell that only around a third of
the world's energy needs will be provided by traditional fossil fuels in
2060. Shell thinks the biggest single energy source then will be the
most abundant of all - the sun.
A report to be published by Thomson's Project Finance International
next week will show that $35bn of debt has been raised for alternative
projects since 2000, with such leading banks as WestLB, CSFB and Goldman
Sachs all busy channelling funds into this latest investment boom.
Recently, the flotation of VeraSun, a Dakota-based ethanol producer
soared in first dealings, jumping 30pc ahead of its flotation price,
which itself was higher than expected. Next week, China Biodiesel floats
on Aim, having raised pounds 8m to build a second biofuels plant in
Fujian province. It joins a growing cohort of biofuels plays on London's
junior market such as Biofuels Corporation and D1.
As Rod Morrison, Thomson's director of Project Finance, says: "The
renewables business is moving from cottage industry to mainstream
corporate act-ivity. The commercial activity of private developers and
funders is accelerating fast.''
The rising price of oil, and trouble round the world have made
alternatives viable. All developed countries, even Kyoto-refuseniks such
as the US and Australia, now have programmes for cutting CO2 emissions
and are using regulation and tax to boost investment in alternatives.
In Japan, petrol must include 3pc ethanol, with a long-term target of
10pc of all auto fuel coming from biomass products by 2030. Europe is
aiming at 5.7pc biofuel content by 2010. In America, the E85 blend -
85pc biofuel, is growing in popularity. And technology is moving on
apace.
The coincidence of these factors has created a fertile backdrop for
an investment goldrush. In the US, 30 new ethanol refineries are being
built, to add to the 100 that already consume a fifth of America's corn
harvest.
New Energy Finance, a renewables information provider, says biofuels
have pushed wind aside as the focus of renewable energy investment.
Private equity sponsored investment here hit almost $1bn in the first
five months of this year, from next to nothing a year ago. Wind energy
investment has gone the other way: from $900m to just $24m. No one would
argue against the need to plan ahead for a post-oil world. But sceptics
wonder if the benefits of biofuels have been overplayed.
Moreover, well-intentioned legislation and tax-breaks could tie
farmers to crops that are no longer at the cutting edge of biofuels
technology. They could also encourage home-grown crops such as sugar
beet and corn when the most efficient producers of energy are tropical
plants such as Brazilian sugar cane and south-east Asian palm oil. We
could simply replace oil imports with crop imports.
Biofuels are a leveraged play on the oil price, which could explain
why BP's $500m on biofuels research over 10 years is dwarfed by the
$50bn on oil exploration and production in the next five. Don't hold
your breath for Local Hero 2 in an East Anglian sugar beet factory.
© Copyright 2006 NetContent, Inc. Duplication and
distribution restricted.Visit http://www.powermarketers.com/index.shtml
for excellent coverage on your energy news front.
|