Has the Russia-Europe gas relationship hit a rocky patch?

 

"There is no question of diminishing the dependence that Europe has on Russian gas - why should we even be discussing this?" Alexander Medvedev, deputy chairman of Gazprom, asked on May 26. But memories of the interruption to Russian natural gas supplies to Europe at the beginning of the year inevitably color the relationship.

"Such administrative measures of the EU - not based on underlying understanding of the European gas market - could contribute to undermining the stability of the gas markets." - Alexander Medvedev, deputy chairman, Gazprom.

Russian gas monopoly Gazprom is planning to supply 151 billion cubic meters of natural gas to Europe in 2006, up from 147 Bcm in 2005, deputy chairman Medvedev said, "without using central Asian gas." Speaking to a Eurogas conference in Berlin recently, he stressed: "We are absolutely certain that we will be able to meet our commitments."

Medvedev was referring to the days in early January when record cold weather coincided with a stand-off in the difficult gas supply/transit relationship between Russia and transit country Ukraine.

This meant that when Gazprom cut off supply to Ukraine, briefly, the reverberations ran through all its longstanding gas customers in central and western Europe right to the shores of the North Sea.

Though this was the first interruption in some 40 years to Russian deliveries to Europe, supplies continued to be reduced during the rest of January. For example, in Italy, one of the hardest hit Gazprom customers, strategic gas stocks were depleted and emergency demand side measures were called for by the government.

Though volumes to Europe were quickly returned to normal -- partly through a deal by Russia to supply gas to Ukraine sourced from the central Asian republics -- the legacy of this long-feared interruption has been loud and frequently repeated calls, by companies, countries and official organizations including the European Union, for diversification of Europe's supply.

Russia, and specifically Gazprom chief executive Alexei Miller, have reacted to this by officially noting Gazprom's growing interest in the markets of the US and southeast Asia. Some western commentators have interpreted this as a thinly veiled threat to customers in Europe, something which Medvedev apparently finds highly offensive.

The conference at which Medvedev was speaking - Energy Dialog Russia-European Union: Gas Aspects - was organized by Eurogas, the European natural gas industry group, and many of Medvedev's remarks were aimed at the European Union. Also on the speakers panel were Christian Cleutinx, director, EU directorate general for transport and energy, and Eurogas secretary general Jean-Marie Devos.

It was clear at the conference that the preoccupations of the two sides, Europe and Russia, customers and supplier, were different: security of supply as against security of demand. However, as Cleutinx observed, at the beginning of his remarks, "security of supply and security of demand are two sides of the same coin."

"It is necessary to get away from the rhetoric and look at the current problem that we have," Medvedev said. He attacked what he called the EU's "attempts to undermine long-term contracts." Gas-release programs in Europe had caused new market players to emerge that "don't consider the long-term development of the market" and have "only short-term goals, he said."

Medvedev also slammed the EU's "interference in market activities of companies," which made it possible "to create excess in one area and surplus in another."

He cited the recent shortage of winter gas in the UK when there was a surplus in Europe as an example. He said the actions of Germany's Kartellamt (antitrust office) were "a particular example of interference in contract terms for E.ON Ruhrgas," where "valid contracts were undermined and banned."

"Looking at what the EU authorities did, we [Gazprom] see no grounds for optimism," he went on. "Such administrative measures of the EU - not based on underlying understanding of the European gas market - could contribute to undermining the stability of the gas markets."

Medvedev called for demand reliability for suppliers to the European market and attacked "artificial impediments that might hinder our infrastructure development or our policy over [using] it."

He spoke of the North Europe Gas Pipeline project, which is planned to supply gas to Germany and, through the Balgzand-Bacton Line, on to the UK, "which is a very important market". In a reference to EU policy on third party access to infrastructure, Medvedev said: "It is very important [for Gazprom] to have an exemption" for the NEGP project from the EU's TPA requirements for gas pipelines.

The EU's Cleutinx had earlier called for "access to markets [in both Russia and Europe] on a reciprocal basis" and told the conference that he "must insist on equal access to transit and TPA in Russia," as a statement of the EU's position.

Updated: June 13, 2006

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