Australia opens
door to nuclear power Panel urges Howard to build plants and mine more
uranium
Nov 22, 2006 - International Herald Tribune
Author(s): Tim Johnston
An official commission on Tuesday recommended lifting restrictions on
nuclear energy and uranium mining, setting up a showdown between a
government eager to harness Australia's ample uranium supplies and
members of the opposition Labor Party, who remain deeply suspicious of
the nuclear industry.
Australia, which holds 40 percent of the world's uranium reserves,
has no commercial nuclear power plants and strictly limits uranium
mining.
The recommendations, issued by a panel commissioned in June by Prime
Minister John Howard's conservative government, asserted that easing
curbs on the mining and enrichment of uranium could reduce Australia's
use of coal and lift revenues from uranium exports by $1.4 billion a
year
The commission suggested that Australia might need as many as 25
nuclear reactors to supply a third of Australia's electricity by 2050,
and to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
The recommendations drew immediate criticism from environmentalists
and members of the Labor Party, which banned nuclear power plants and
the opening of new uranium mines when it ran the government in the
1980s.
"If John Howard is re-elected, we will go down an inexorable course
for 25 nuclear reactors in this country and tens of thousands of tons of
nuclear waste," Kim Beazley, the Labor Party leader, said after the
panel issued its recommendations. Elections are scheduled for next year.
The chief executive of Greenpeace Australia, Steve Shallhorn, said:
"In an age of terrorism and fears about nuclear proliferation, and with
so many other forms of safe renewable energy available, expanding the
nuclear industry in Australia is a dangerous mistake."
But traditional concerns over nuclear waste and proliferation may be
giving way to growing alarm over climate change. More than half of
Australia is sweltering through a fourth year of drought that many
analysts have attributed to global warming.
Howard, who until recently had expressed skepticism that climate
change was taking place, now says he accepts the scientific consensus
that global carbon emissions are warming the planet.
The prime minister has long advocated a more liberal nuclear policy,
and nuclear energy offers a means of cutting greenhouse gas emissions,
its proponents argue.
The panel's report supports that contention, asserting that
Australian demand for electricity was expected to double in 45 years.
Meeting that demand while significantly reducing carbon emissions would
prove prohibitively expensive without nuclear power, the report says.
"Without nuclear energy, in our opinion, the cost of achieving the
required emissions-reduction targets would be much higher," said the
report's author, Ziggy Switkowski, a nuclear physicist who was once head
of the state-owned telecommunications company Telstra. He was speaking
at the National Press Club here.
"We would need to deploy more costly and less certain technologies
for any given level of emission reduction," Switkowski added.
Although the Labor Party and most of Australia's environmental
organizations are vigorously opposed to nuclear power, a 2005 survey
found a small public plurality in favor of commercial plants.
Beazley, the Labor Party leader, said recently that it was time to
rethink the policy under which only three uranium mines are allowed to
operate nationwide. But the party's shadow minister for the environment,
Anthony Albanese, said he would reject any dilution of its stance on the
nuclear industry.
For now, Australia relies on its immense coal reserves for most of
its electricity, making it by some estimates the world's worst emitter
of greenhouse gases on a per capita basis. The commission's report said
that at current prices, nuclear energy would be 20 to 50 percent more
expensive than power from coal-fired plants. But as greenhouse gas
emissions are monetized in coming years through taxes and carbon-trading
schemes, nuclear power will be become cost competitive.
"The earliest that nuclear electricity could be delivered to the grid
would be 10 years, with 15 years more probable," Switkowski said. "This
gap may close in the decades ahead, but nuclear power, and renewable
energy sources, will only become competitive in Australia in a system
where the costs of greenhouse gas emissions are explicitly recognized."
So far, however, Howard has resisted efforts to implement a
carbon-trading market or to apply punitive taxes to coal emissions,
although he now expresses interest in controlling carbon emissions in
ways that do not harm the economy.
The coal industry is dominated by the same powerful companies that
control uranium mining - BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto.
Many observers said they thought the report was being used by Howard
to gauge public attitudes toward nuclear power and the nuclear materials
trade.
The first step in the development of any nuclear industry would be to
lift the "three mines" policy imposed by the previous Labor government:
Although there are only three licensed mines operating, a fourth has
been given permission to open.
But licensing new mines remains under the purview of state and
territorial governments, all of which are controlled by the Labor Party.
The battle to get approval for the fourth mine, which is to be opened
in the Northern Territory, was bruising and succeeded only after
Canberra invoked federal powers that it cannot wield in most of the rest
of the country.
Howard has already expressed support for the next step - developing
enrichment capacity to serve the booming market for uranium, driven
principally by surging demand from China.
Australia has signed an agreement with China to supply unenriched
uranium ore, known as yellowcake, and demand for the uranium is expected
to grow as the economies of China and India continue to expand.
But any decision by the government to join the club of nuclear
refiners is unlikely to please Washington, which is committed to trying
to suppress nuclear proliferation by limiting the number of countries
that enrich fuel to those that already have the capability.
In the report, Switkowski says that Australia's contribution to the
global supply of enriched uranium was unlikely to increase proliferation
risks.
Australia is riding high on the back of strong global prices for
commodities. It is one the world's largest exporters of coal, but the
government has apparently concluded that environmental consequences of
carbon fuels will only grow and it is eager to position the country for
what could be the next wave of energy production.
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