Don't blame us,
say the global gas guzzlers Cool response in Washington as Asian powers
claim it is the West's Problem
Oct 31, 2006 - Daily Telegraph London
Author(s): Reporting By Alex Massie In Washington, Richard Spencer In
Beijing, And Rahul Bedi In Delhi
United States
THE White House offered a cool response to the review, acknowledging
that it was a "contribution'' to the study of global warming but
declining to endorse its findings.
The US energy industry was less cautious, accusing Nicholas Stern of
producing a report that owed more to "science fiction'' than economic
reality.
"The Stern report is fun with numbers for political purposes. It's
easy to make guesses; it's harder to pin down reality,'' said an
industry spokesman.
Analysts in Washington said the report demonstrated the difficulty of
forecasting the economic impact of climate change. "When it comes to the
science of climate change, we hear a lot about consensus but the
consensus argument disappears when you move into the economic cost of
global warming. You can find almost as many benefits as you can costs''
said Jerry Taylor, an expert in energy policy at the Cato Institute.
"The Book of Revelations scenarios offered in the press don't stand
up.''
Although President George W Bush has asked for more funds to be spent
on energy research next year, the federal government currently spends
just half as much on the subject as it did in 1979.
The Bush administration believes that research into alternative
energy sources - such as hydrogen fuel cells - offers a better long-
term solution than increased regulation or new carbon taxes. Al Gore,
Gordon Brown's new environmental adviser, argues that "we already know
everything we need to know to effectively address this problem'' but the
reality of American politics means any proposal to impose a "carbon
tax'' on petrol would be unpopular. Motorists, long accustomed to cheap
fuel, were outraged when petrol hit $3 ( pounds 1.58p) a gallon (42p per
litre) in the summer.
Environmental campaigners hope the report will increase pressure on
the administration to change. "Finger-pointing at China and India won't
do anymore, the US, the world's largest economy, has to lead,'' said
Philip Clapp, of the National Environmental Trust.
China
CHINA faces a grave environmental crisis of its own, but is also
potentially the greatest contributor to global warming because of the
size of its population and the rise of its economy. It produces a sixth
of the carbon dioxide emissions per head of population that the United
States does. But if its economic growth continues and its emissions per
head come to match America's, it would require an entirely new planet to
sustain it, according to one estimate. Meanwhile, it is already seeing
the consequences. Glaciers on the Tibetan plateau are set to shrink by
more than a quarter by 2050 at current rates, reducing China's fresh
water supply by 20 to 40 per cent in the next 50 to 100 years.
China also requires a huge growth in energy output to meet the needs
of its industries and keep its growing and still poor population in
work. It is building a new coal-fired power station every week.
Its leaders are now deeply concerned about the environmental costs
but there are limits to how far they can implement "green policies''.
In 2002, the Government set a target of 10 per cent for reductions in
sulphur emissions by 2005. In fact, they rose by 27 per cent.
Jeanne-Marie Gescher, a British business consultant in Beijing
specialising in the environment, said the options for China were
narrower because of the relative poverty of its population.
"China takes the view that global warming is primarily the result of
the industrialisation of the western world,'' she said. "There's a sense
that because China didn't create the problem it shouldn't have to tackle
it until America does.''
China has pursued economic growth in the past 25 years with a passion
that only decades of hunger and poverty can produce, but with little
thought to the consequences. But for every unit of gross domestic
product, China uses five times as much energy as the United States and
11 times as much as Japan.
The figures for water usage are similar, leaving large parts of the
country with increasingly noticeable shortages. It also relies heavily
on coal, the dirtiest form of energy, to generate electricity, which is
responsible for the sulphur emissions which have won China the dubious
honour of having 16 of the world's 20 dirtiest cities.
India
INDIA did not react officially to the report but experts blamed the
West for any potential environmental apocalypse. Vasant Gowarikar, a
former scientific adviser to the prime minister, said Western countries
were responsible for global warming and suggested they put in more
effort to "undo'' past harmful effects.
"India should not be made part of the gang responsible for global
warming. It is a phenomenon affecting Western nations more,'' he said.
A report by the Delhi-based Tata Energy Research Institute declared
that while developing countries are more vulnerable to climate change,
their contribution to the greenhouse problem was "much smaller'' than
that of developed states.
Historically, the study declared, developed countries were
responsible for more than 60 per cent of greenhouse gases responsible
for polluting the atmosphere over the past century.
Rajendra Pachuri, the head of the institute and also chairman of the
global Inter-governmental panel on climate change said India remained
"highly vulnerable'' to the impact of human-induced climate change.
However, India has problems of its own making. An ongoing population
explosion has placed great strain on the environment. Industrialisation
and urbanisation have created more than 20 cities with populations of at
least a million.
Urban air quality ranks among the world's worst. Sources of air
pollution, India's most severe environmental problem, come in several
forms, including vehicular emissions and untreated industrial smoke.
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