Energy
Heats Up the Hill - August 1, 2007
Our
legislators continually talk about how we can
conserve and how we must develop new sources of
energy. These are all valid points but they do not
appear to put as much emphasis on conservation. If
laws associated with synchronizing traffic lights
were even minimally enforced, we could same millions
of gallons of gasoline. Just think about the last
time you were at a green light and the next light up
the street turned red. Stopping and starting just
because lights are not synchronized is inexcusable.
Promoting high efficiency light bulbs is another
sure savings but the only ones promoting these are
the manufacturers of the new bulbs. Boosting the
building air conditioning set point is also an
opportunity to save. How many people do you know
that say buildings are kept too cold.
These are
simple things that can be done very easily but there
is little emphasis on promoting them.
Bill Partanen,
P.E.
Belcamp, MD
The
argument that consumers do not choose fuel-efficient
vehicles is a straw man; the simple fact is that
there really is no choice to make. Automakers have
resisted offering American consumers the choice that
their European and Asian counterparts have enjoyed
for years - diesel automobiles. The industry has
also moved at a glacial pace towards developing
usable plug-in electric vehicles. Political action
is a reasonable response to market failure,
especially when that failure threatens national
security.
Christopher
Pflaum
President
Spectrum Economics
In today's
article you state that "Oil, of course, is the
Dominant fuel source..." (Emphasis added). I'm not
exactly sure what the point is that is being made
here, but I'd say that coal would likely be a strong
candidate for the most dominant, and obviously
nuclear is huge as well. Perhaps if you are only
considering transportation, then oil is obviously
dominant there, but transportation is not by any
means our largest energy user.
People
don't generally recognize where they use most of
their energy. Most is used as electricity and
heating/cooling of businesses and homes, and in
agriculture. Compared to the sum of these uses,
transportation is a small chunk indeed.
It seems to
me that an undue emphasis on oil is misplaced, and
that replacing the electricity and heating/cooling
fuels with alternative, such as renewables,
addresses a far larger market, a far larger need,
and has far greater potential for energy
independence, security, and of course mitigation of
global warming.
That oil
which is used for electricity generation or
heating/cooling loads could then be freed up for
transportation use (short term - long term uses
alternatives) which would immediately mitigate the
transportation fuel supply pinch.
Bottom line
- let's pay attention to where we use our energy,
and address the largest needs first and
appropriately.
Gary P.
Hoffman
Applied Thermodynamics
With all
due respect, I think the debate needs to be better
framed: there is Stationary Power - electricity -
and Mobile Power - transportation.
The
difference is major. In the US, Oil only represents
2% of the electricity feed. It is of course the main
Transportation energy source.
Therefore,
Renewables are not a substitute for Oil. They are a
substitute for Coal, eventually.
The other
thing, Biofuels should not be called Renewable
Energy. The word Renewable implies the notion of
"free" meaning costless. We have seen the impact of
ethanol production on corn and soybean prices.
Lester Brown from the Earth Policy Institute will
say it much better than I, let me paraphrase. When
Food is used for Fuel, I don't believe it deserves
the Renewable label.
So, if I
may, let me reframe the debate.
Stationary
power has an enemy - dirty coal. Whether one
believes that CO2 contributes meaningfully to Global
Warming is an open debate, at least in the US - I
personally side with Reid Bryson, the founder of
modern Climatology. He asserts that earth radiations
are 80% absorbed by water vapor within the first 30
feet of the atmosphere. Meaning water is a GHG 1000
times more potent than CO2. That being said, the
fight against dirty coal should not be abandoned. If
Global Warming is not the real issue, Pollution
certainly is. I am all in favor of Wind, Geothermal,
Hydropower and Nuclear. These are all practical
answers to the Pollution problem.
I am not so
sure about Solar. Whereas the other sources I just
mentioned do not require subsidies, so to speak,
Solar does. For one reason: it costs 5 times more.
An REPP study shows that the mitigating factor is
that it creates more jobs per MW - 15 to cite them,
4 times more than the other sources. I am currently
trying to figure out whether spending some $200,000
for each job created in Solar is good or bad for the
economy in the long run, but I am skeptical. I
wonder if we as a country wouldn't be better off
spending part of this money in R&D, which as far as
Solar is concerned is the real issue. In other
words, should we, over the next ten years, spend
$70Bn to produce 23,000 MW of Solar power and create
300,000 jobs - or should we spend a fraction of this
to find ways to increase yields from 20% to, say
40%?
Lastly,
regarding the political debate, I am at a loss to
explain why Nuclear is an issue. Misinformation has
to be the culprit, unless I am missing something.
With regard
to Mobile Power, as Lester says, corn ethanol is NOT
the answer. Granted, from a political standpoint,
proponents are going to get Farmland votes. Acres
planted for corn in the 2007/2008 season are
estimated at 92Mn, versus the historical 80Mn. With
a yield of 150 bushels/acre, this equates to some
$6Bn in additional income. Hey, I would vote for
anybody who puts this kind of money in my pocket.
The problem
is, this is not a zero-sum game. What our farmers
make, others lose. And as corn ethanol production
increases, this worsens. So whereas planting corn
seems expandable, the fact is it not.
To sum up,
we have solutions for Pollution from Stationary
power. However, before we yield to the temptation of
jobs created by Solar, let's think twice.
For Mobile
power, let's R&D cellulosic ethanol. In the
meantime, the low hanging fruit is efficiency and
conservation - if Europeans can do it, why can't we?
Franck J.
Prissert
C.E.O.
Capital Max, Inc.
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