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full 31% of India's primary energy comes from bio energy that include
agricultural and forest waste, wood chips, animal waste and bio fuels. The
share of such non-commercial bio energy is second only to coal which
accounts for just over a third of India's primary energy mix. About 70% of
India's domestic energy need is met by bio energy.
More importantly, as shown in the Integrated Energy Policy, non-commercial
energy will constitute at least 10-12% of India's primary energy mix even in
2031-32. It would remain the third most important energy resource 25 years
from today, after coal and oil.
Together with bio fuels and renewables the share of non-conventional energy
in our energy mix, even 25 years from today, is expected to be 12-15% in the
very least. With these levels of current and projected shares in India's
energy mix, it would be wrong to say that bio energy, including bio fuels,
is not in India's energy mainstream.
Bio energy in different forms offers the second most important non-fossil
energy potential for India over the next 25 years. In fact, its potential,
over the next 25 years is about 2.5 times the combined potential of hydro,
wind and nuclear. Assuming India could actually find 60 million hectares for
energy plantations, commercially grown bio-energy could yield 29-35% of
India's primary energy requirements even 25 years from today. Inclusive of
non-commercial bio energy, the share could be 39-45%.
Based on available data, wood plantations provide the best use of such land
for commercially grown bio energy. It would yield some nine times the energy
compared to bio diesel from an equivalent land mass. Ethanol based on
sugarcane or alternate crops could match wood but requires intensive
cultivation, water, fertilizer and arable land.
To put this in perspective, just 2.25 million hectares of land under solar
cells with 15% conversion efficiency could yield the same energy as 60
million hectares of wood plantations. And only 7-8 million hectares of land
under solar cells could give India energy independence even 25 years from
today. And remember that solar cells can be put on totally arid land,
including deserts, mountaintops and roof tops and need absolutely no water,
fertilizer and pesticides.
It is important to note that what we are talking about is the potential and
not commercially viable certainty. And very often it is very difficult for
career bureaucrats to understand the difference. Thus, they fail to develop
a policy framework that effectively bridges the gap between potential,
actual realisation, and commercial viability.
How green is our 'Green Energy'
There is a growing body of evidence that "green" fuels are not always green.
Studies at Berkley and Academy of Sciences have conclusively shown that GHG
reductions through use of doped gasoline using corn based ethanol will be
less than 0.2% in 2017 when ethanol production is expected to peak in the
US.
However, total lifecycle emission of five major pollutants (CO, Volatile
Organic Compounds, PM10, Sox and Nox) are higher with corn based E85
compared to gasoline. Further, E85 produces much higher concentration of
ground level Ozone, which is a serious health hazard. In India there are
studies to show that sugarcane-based ethanol has an overall negative energy
balance when all energy inputs are considered.
India is home to 17% of the world population and has the world's largest
concentration of the poor. Some 70% of Indians depend on agriculture for
their livelihood and about half of them are depend on rain-fed irrigation.
Their food and water security concerns exceed energy security concerns.
Proponents of bio-energy exaggerate claims of availability of waste and
marginal land, availability of plant varieties and germ plasms that need no
water, energy yields and viability. Rigourous research to back these claims
is, however, absent.
Production and consumption of bio-energy in a localized and decentralized
manner - consistent with current patterns is indeed sustainable.
However, it is far from clear what adaptive measures are needed for
large-scale commercialisation of these fuels so as to make commercial energy
plantations sustainable.
Data on overall energy balances and the potential impact on global and local
eco-systems, socio-economic settings and local lifestyles, livelihoods of
indigenous people, migration, land-holdings, food security, water security
etc. need to be established and authenticated. Considerable research is also
required to establish viable germ plasms and genotypes for bio-energy.
Another element that is typically overlooked is that Regulatory Institutions
and/or practices for large-scale commercialisation of bio-energy are simply
non-existent. These would need to be developed in order to build adequate
checks and balances to protect millions of rural uneducated and
dis-empowered households and help them adapt to the potential impacts of any
large-scale commercialisation of bio-energy.
Subsidies make green energy greener
Government reports including some from the Planning Commission claim that a
Rs 5/kg price for the seed, a 30% yield of oil and a price of around Rs 21/litre
would yield a 15% ROI on bio diesel investments. Intriguingly, the same
reports also recommend huge input subsidies even though the consumer
actually pays about Rs 32 for diesel in urban areas and much more where the
bio diesel might be produced.
Similarly, after paying a Minimum Support Price for sugarcane and
instituting a procurement price for sugar, the Agriculture Ministry argues
that domestic ethanol, a by product of sugar industry, should also be
protected against international competition.
At the same time government does not shy away from supporting sugarcane
plantations in water scarce districts of Tamilnadu, Karnataka and
Maharashtra or from taxing industrial ethanol.
In 2006, the US Government directly subsidized corn-based ethanol to the
extent of $3.4 Billion. The consumers are reported to have paid $3.6 billion
extra for the energy they received from 4.9 billion gallons of ethanol.
Soybean and rapeseed farmers in Europe have benefited similarly. The entire
World has suffered the consequences of these subsidies by way of lower
availability and consequent higher prices for grain and pulses. India can
ill afford such input subsidies and must seek economically more efficient
incentives for green fuels.
The enabling policy environment
I would reiterate the most important conclusions of the integrated energy
policy namely that for India it is not a choice of which energy option she
must pursue; instead the decision for India is which other energy option can
she tap to ensure energy security and lifeline energy for all. In this
context, as already pointed out, bio-energy will remain critical to India's
energy mix.
The industry must offer these five principles to the government as
guidelines for developing an enabling bio-energy policy environment.
First and foremost, industry must insist that bio-energy be pursued as a
domestically available energy and chemical feedstock option. This objective
must not be diluted by a desire to meet other legitimate objectives such as
raising rural incomes, raising rural employment, creating another cash crop
based on MSP, promoting renewables and lowering emissions. If the market
succeeds in delivering the primary objective, all other stated objectives
will be automatically met in a competitive set up.
Second, industry must request that government allows markets to operate and
not distort markets by mandating blending, restricting rights to direct
marketing of certain bio-fuels such as bio-diesel, imposing ad-hoc and
differential taxes and duties, and restricting import or movement of bio
fuels in any way. Any taxes that are imposed should be on the outputs rather
than inputs.
Taxing outputs selectively or giving duty rebates based on the actual end
use of imported or domestic inputs can address fears that the suggested
regime would be misused. This would make competitively priced bio-diesel
immediately available and ensure stable, competitive & long-term supply of
ethanol for desired end uses that maximise value addition.
Third, industry must voluntarily eschew input subsidies of any form and
thereby avoid falling in this vicious circle. Industry should, instead,
request that all approved R&D outlays be allowed as a deduction from taxes
due and that this fiscal incentive be made tradable. The government should
be requested to take a liberal view of expenses that could be approved as
R&D outlays for developing a local bio-energy market.
Four, industry must require that when used as an energy or chemical source,
all bio fuels or bio chemicals be exempt from taxes that are imposed on
fossil fuels or fossil based chemicals for the same end use. Such an output
based fiscal incentive will make bio fuels and bio chemicals financially
attractive and will also be economically more efficient than any input based
subsidy regime.
Lastly, the government must set up a transparent regulatory regime governing
identification classification and allocation of waste and marginal lands,
addressing socio economic issues, landholdings, migration and livelihood
concerns, allowing work on energy plantations to be covered by the National
Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme, establishing the role of PRI institutions
and ensuring support of State Governments to the above policy framework.
I am sure that industry can add to the above five principals. But I am not
sure if everyone in the industry would embrace such a forward looking,
market based solution. And were I to be proven wrong on that count by the
Industry, I am certainly unsure that the Government would be willing to
forgo the temptation of arbitraging opportunities that result from (i)
imposing multiple objectives of different Ministries on bio energy; (ii)
providing input based subsidies; & (iii) using National Boards to directly
intervene in markets.
Forrás:
The Times of India
This article originally published at:
http://www.servian.hu/index.php?article=4936&langID=1&v=134260
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