Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2007 Aug 02 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 214 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Aug 2007
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet 03 - 05 August.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Aug 069
Predicted 03 Aug-05 Aug 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 02 Aug 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Aug 015/017
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Aug 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Aug-05 Aug 004/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor storm 10/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
For current space weather conditions please refer to:
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales
|