For Khosla, the Future of Green Tech is Now
MENLO PARK, Calif. -- Dec 26 - USA TODAY
There's little about the building where Vinod Khosla runs his tiny
venture-capital firm to suggest he's at the forefront of a global effort to
revolutionize how the world gets energy.
Small signs point discreetly to Khosla Ventures and other tenants at the
low-slung building tucked inside a quiet Silicon Valley office park. One of
the USA's richest men, Khosla is sitting in a sparsely furnished conference
room in a blue pullover and blue slacks. He sips tea as he describes how his
children view his rising passion for renewable energy.
"They think it's cool Dad is saving the planet," he says with a grin. Then
he pauses, uncomfortable with how that sounds, and adds that he's not a fan
of such "grandiose" statements.
Yet, saving the planet is what Khosla and a growing number of financiers,
entrepreneurs and political luminaries hope for as they chase new ways to
wean the world from oil, coal and other non-renewable energy sources now
threatening the environment.
Google's young founders, Sergey Brin and Larry Page, just announced plans to
pump millions into the effort. Former vice president Al Gore, who shared the
Nobel Peace Prize for drawing attention to global warming, has joined one of
the Valley's most prominent venture capital firms in its "green tech"
investing. Virgin Group founder Richard Branson is offering a $25 million
prize to anyone creating the best way to remove greenhouse gases from the
atmosphere.
Khosla, 52, isn't as well known. But the co-founder of Sun Microsystems has
quietly emerged as one of the biggest forces in green tech less than four
years after starting Khosla Ventures along famous Sand Hill Road. The route
is home to many of the world's most powerful start-up financiers.
Khosla won't disclose how much he's invested in energy start-ups since
launching his firm. But Khosla Ventures, where he invests only his own
money, pops up in many of the biggest deals in an industry now investing
boatloads in the sector. His six-employee firm ranked No.1 in deals during
the first nine months of this year; it participated in 14 worth $68 million,
the National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) says.
VCs in the USA invested an average $15.5 million in each of the 168 green
tech investment deals through the third quarter, a USA TODAY analysis of the
trade group's data found. That's nearly twice the $8 million average for
deals overall, underlining fears shared by Khosla that a green tech bubble
may be forming.
"I suspect we'll see some yo-yos," Khosla says, referring to the
boom-and-bust cycle that's marked many nascent industries in the Valley.
That higher risk is a big reason why Khosla, who came to the USA 30 years
ago from India, started Khosla Ventures with his own money, rather than
raising a fund with money from banks and other investors. "I could afford to
lose my own money," he says, "but I couldn't afford to lose other people's
money."
Repaying the world
Khosla has a lot of loot to lose. Forbes magazine estimated his wealth at
$1.5 billion in the magazine's list this fall of the richest Americans.
That's money from his years as a partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield &
Byers, the VC firm Gore just joined; Khosla worked there before starting his
own shop.
He's still interested in making money. But he tempers that with a desire to
make the world a better place, too. Khosla is an "extremely smart man"
repaying a world that helped make him wealthy, says Mark Heesen, president
of the NVCA.
Most VCs invest in start-ups on behalf of institutional investors and rich
individuals, hoping to profit when successful companies sell themselves to
bigger businesses or to the public through initial public offerings.
Venture capital is one of the riskiest forms of investing, because start-ups
often flop. The risk is even greater in green tech ventures because they
require more capital to build ethanol factories or huge solar collectors
than do typical tech start-ups, Heesen says.
Bill Wiberg, a partner at Advanced Technology Ventures near Boston, agrees.
"You just have to believe the end opportunity will warrant the time and the
capital," he says.
Researchers in government and the private sector have pursued alternative
energy sources for years with only middling success. Beyond the challenge of
raising money and fighting powerful oil, gas and automobile industries,
scientists have failed to produce an alternative that's cheaper than fossil
fuels.
But Khosla thinks the technologies he's backing are near where they can
compete against oil without government subsidies now required to make them
competitive. "I want oil to compete with us -- not the other way around," he
says.
Near Macon, Ga., for example, Khosla-backed Range Fuels last month started
construction on a factory meant to produce the gas alternative ethanol. His
other investments include GreatPoint Energy, which plans to make low-cost
natural gas from coal. (Wiberg's firm also invested in GreatPoint.) Plus,
Khosla has helped finance dozens of other ventures in solar, wind and
geothermal energy.
He says many of these technologies can be proved viable in the next five
years. "In 20 years, we'll have a very different world," he says. "I'm far
more optimistic than anyone else."
His optimism reflects years of accomplishments -- and changing market
dynamics. Oil prices have been rising most of this year, reaching as high as
$98 a barrel last month. It closed Monday at $94.13.
Higher oil prices help close the gap with pricey alternatives such as solar
panels. Oil could fall back to $70 a barrel, says Wal van Lierop, CEO of
Chrysalix Energy Venture Capital in Vancouver. "But over the next year,'' he
says, "the tendency will be up, and very soon, we will go to $100 a
barrel.''
Khosla grew up in New Dehli, where he got an electrical engineering degree
from the Indian Institute of Technology, a school on par with Harvard
University or Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
He moved to the USA in 1976, getting a master's degree in biomedical
engineering from Carnegie Mellon and an MBA from the Valley's Stanford
University in 1980. After co-founding Sun, he joined Kleiner Perkins, where
he remains an affiliated partner. Kleiner has backed some of the biggest
names in tech, including Amazon and search king Google.
The Chindia challenge
Some of the most promising research in renewable energy is in wind
generation and solar thermal -- using the sun's energy to create steam that
powers generators of electricity, says Steve Chu, director of the University
of California's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.
Google's non-profit arm, Google.org, is investing in eSolar of Pasadena,
Calif., developing power plants powered by the sun. And it's backing Makani
Power in Alameda, Calif. Makani is working on high-altitude wind energy
technologies.
Ultimately, new energy sources will only work if they're adopted in China
and India, Khosla says. They are two of the world's fastest-growing
countries, with a nearly insatiable appetite for oil and coal to fuel
industries that many scientists blame on rising overall world temperatures.
He calls it the Chindia challenge.
"If India and China don't adopt these low-carbon technologies," he says,
"then the whole planet is toast." (c) Copyright 2005 USA TODAY, a division
of Gannett Co. Inc. |