IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 963 (S07E54) has
produced two C-class flares and numerous B-class flares. Region 963
grew slowly in size and complexity during the past 24 hours and is
now classified as a D-type group with 12 spots and a beta-gamma
magnetic configuration.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
low, with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region
963.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to become unsettled with a chance for active periods late
on day one (10 Jun) continuing through day two (11 Jun) in response
to a recurrent coronal hole. Conditions should decline to quiet to
unsettled on day three (12 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Jul 077
Predicted 10 Jul-12 Jul 077/077/077
90 Day Mean 09 Jul 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 008/010-015/015-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/40/30
Minor storm 10/20/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/45/35
Minor storm 15/25/20
Major-severe storm 05/10/10
 

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NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales