The United States is trying to calm the waters that
separate it from most of the rest of the industrialized
world over the issue of global warming. President Bush has
laid out a broad plan that he hopes will bridge the
international gap.
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Ken Silverstein
EnergyBiz Insider
Editor-in-Chief |
In an apparent change of tactics, the president is
acknowledging that man-made carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions
contribute to climate change. Toward that end, he is
urging the world's industrialized nations to use an
integrated approach that involves both developed and
developing countries to solving the dilemma.
Under his watch, he adds that America will continue to
reject a Kyoto Protocol-style approach that forces
mandatory carbon cuts because that would cost the American
economy $400 billion and 4.9 million jobs over several
years. While the president has been roundly criticized for
his position, he is advocating the shared use of
environmentally-friendly technologies such as those now
being developed in the United States and involving coal
gasification and carbon sequestration.
The administration has also been promoting the use of
hydrogen-powered automobiles that would be clean and
efficient. It is furthermore trying to advance ethanol
made from wood chips and other bio-fuels as well as new
energy efficient technologies. Meanwhile, Congress is
looking seriously into establishing a cap-and-trade system
whereby limits would be set on CO2 releases but allow
utilities and other industrials to bank credits if they
outperform the standards.
The perception in Europe, and among other Kyoto
signatories, to the ideas presented by President Bush
range from skeptical to polite, although at the G8 Summit
the leaders agreed not to set any hard targets. Beyond
having to rethink their mix of fuel sources, all those
countries would achieve reductions through a combination
of "carbon sinks" where forest and farmlands sequester
gases, along with switching to green energy forms and
adopting new technologies. Meantime, conservation programs
and emissions trading programs are being established. The
goal is to cut CO2 levels by 5 percent from 1990 levels
and do so by 2012.
The United States, however, sees those goals as
unreachable and impractical. Instead, it has formed the
Asia-Pacific Partnership on Clean Development and Climate
in coordination with South Korea and Australia as well as
China and India, all to curb their greenhouse gas
emissions.
"This will not be an easy problem to solve, and it will
be a very expensive one," says Walter Higgins, CEO of
Sierra Pacific Resources, which operates in Nevada and
California, at a conference sponsored by Standard &
Poor's. "If we try to do it on our own, it will probably
have no effect at all. The effort must be global."
Gradual Approach
Utilities consider climate change legislation to be
inevitable and have even begun to factor that probability
into the cost of production. But companies are urging
members of Congress to ease into the process or risk
substantial economic harm.
Several utility executives who spoke at Standard &
Poor's Annual Utility Conference said that addressing
climate change would cost billions. That price tag would
result in rate hikes that could cause a major backlash
within the regulatory and investment communities. That's
why policymakers, who understand that coal will remain
integral to electricity generation, should gradually
phase-in new rules.
"It will cost hundreds of billions of dollars and take
decades to accomplish," says Thomas Farrell, CEO of
Dominion Resources, regarding the efforts to curb carbon
emissions. "It will have to include cars, be nationwide,
and won't just hit electrical utilities. People don't want
nukes, coal plants, offshore drilling, or LNG storage.
Americans like it easy, but it won't be easy."
Others are less conciliatory. The Heritage Foundation
says that the United States must reject binding targets on
greenhouse gas emissions and instead root its objectives
within the context of economic growth and poverty
eradication in the developing world. The conservative
think tank also says that the emphasis should be placed on
the development of new technologies. And until such tools
are commercialized, the approach to cutting CO2 levels
must remain market-driven.
The United States is not dragging its feet, the group
says, pointing to the Asia-Pacific Partnership. Under that
treaty, the U.S., Australia, China, India and South Korea
are trying to coordinate the creation and deployment of
clean technologies. That approach is far more flexible and
workable than the cap-and-trade approach, Heritage adds.
However, many major corporations favor a more
aggressive public policy. Duke Energy, FPL Group, General
Electric, PG&E Corporation and PNM Resources, for example,
have joined to demand that government set the rules for a
cap-trade-system and then let the private sector run the
exchanges.
The Environmental Defense, which led this particular
alliance, says that these kinds of coalitions increase the
pressure on Congress and work to ensure that any plan for
fixing climate change is an economic plus. Fortune 500
companies and others are endorsing "a 60 percent to 80
percent reduction in global warming pollution by 2050, the
level scientists indicate that we must reach to stave off
the worst impacts," adds Daniel Weiss, director of climate
strategy for the Center for American Progress.
The tide is shifting and most take seriously the
potential threats posed by global warming. International
pressure is partly responsible. So are leading
climatologists who have warned of eco-danger. But
corporate America may be the biggest catalyst. And now the
president, who has been portrayed as the odd-man out,
appears to be making some concessions to global leaders
while aggressively funding the development of promising
new technologies.
More information is available from Energy Central:
Think Europe: Climate Policymakers Can Learn Much,
EnergyBiz, March/April 2007
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