Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2007 Jun 11 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.


Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jun 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 960 (S05W59) produced several B-class flares during the past 24 hours. The largest of these was a B8/Sf at 10/0027Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on 12-13 June. Expect unsettled to active conditions, with isolated minor storm periods at high latitudes, on 14 June as a coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective position.
III. Event Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Jun 073
Predicted 12 Jun-14 Jun 075/075/070
90 Day Mean 11 Jun 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jun 006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jun 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jun-14 Jun 005/005-005/005-010/015 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/25
Minor storm 05/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/30
Minor storm 05/05/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/10
 

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http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SWN/

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/alerts/

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales