March 14, 2007
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Future of 'Clean Coal' Power Tied to (Uncertain)
Success of Carbon Capture and Storage
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A new report confirms that coal has a large role
to play in meeting the world's energy demands, but to avoid runaway
climate change, technologies to sequester its carbon need to advance
quickly |
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By
David Biello |
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BURNING THE FUTURE:
Coal is so cheap and plentiful that it will likely continue to
play a large role in electricity generation, but in order to
combat climate change the carbon dioxide produced will need to
be sequestered. |
The world emitted 25 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide (CO2)
in 2003—more than one third, 9.3 billion metric tons, came from
burning coal. The dirty rock provides half of the electricity in the
U.S. and its role (or the nation's dependence on it) is likely to
grow, according to a new report from the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology. "It's cheap, there's lots of it and there's lots of it
in places with high demand, namely the U.S., China and India," says
co-author and M.I.T. physicist Ernest Moniz. "Sequestration," he
adds, "is a key enabling technology for coal use in a
carbon-constrained world."
Sequestration, as envisioned in the report, involves capturing
the CO2 from coal-fired power plants, compressing it into
a liquid and injecting it deep beneath the earth into old oil fields
or saline aquifers. There, according to geologists, the CO2
would be trapped by sealing cap rock to prevent it from seeping back
to the surface and into the air. It is relatively cheap to get it
there, the report says. The difficulty is capturing it at the power
plant without sapping too much energy or pushing electric costs up
too high. For example, one 500-megawatt coal-fired power plant
(there are the equivalent of 500 of these in the U.S. and China is
building the equivalent of two of them each week) produces three
million tons of CO2 annually. Adding carbon capture
technology to that plant sucks up 40 percent of the power it can
produce and adds at least 2.7 cents to the retail price of that
electricity. |
"If you capture most of the CO2 and
sequester it for the 50-year life of the plant, you're talking about
one billion barrels of supercritical CO2," Moniz says.
"That's a pretty big reservoir."
To date, the largest sequestration project—the Sleipner gas field
in the North Sea—slurps up one million tons of CO2 per
year (11 million or so since inception) and relies on sonar to
detect any major leaks. "So far, so good," says Howard Herzog,
principal research engineer at M.I.T.'s Laboratory for Energy and
the Environment. "The problem with Sleipner is it's not as
instrumented as we would like."
In other words, it does not have the kind of in-place monitoring
systems critical to understanding the true workings of liquid CO2
stored underground.
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DIRTY BLACK ROCK:
New research into the feasibility of burying the carbon dioxide
produced by coal burning deep below the surface is urgently
needed. |
Nor is it big enough to help understand what would happen if even
larger amounts of supercritical CO2 were pumped
underground. In fact, it would take 3,600 projects of Sleipner's
scale—which is the largest such project underway—to reduce current
carbon dioxide emissions from coal by less than half, the report
says. But even the small projects are already turning up surprises,
such as the relative permeability of various rocks and the ability
of CO2 to mix with saline and form carbonic acid, which
eats away surrounding rock. And, of course, no one knows exactly how
long the carbon dioxide could be contained. "The long-term, chemical
fate of CO2 remains to be understood," Moniz notes. "It's
like a mortgage. It gets us out of the problem in the 21st century,
spreading it out over a longer time and not breaking the budget."
U.S. companies have already planned several demonstrations of
such carbon capture and sequestration. Among the 25 projects
authorized by the federal Department of Energy, First Energy plans
to install a new carbon capture technology on its R. E. Burger power
plant in Ohio and then partner with engineering firm Battelle to
test pumping it 7,000 feet beneath the surface. But none of these
projects is of yet sufficiently large scale and that, the report's
authors argue, is because there is no cost associated with emitting
CO2. "Right now, it's free to vent carbon dioxide to the
atmosphere," says S. Julio Friedmann, a geologist and head of the
carbon management program at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. |
Emitting CO2 would need to cost at least $30
per metric ton via a carbon tax or a cap and trade market for any of the
various carbon capture and sequestration technologies to be economically
competitive, according to the report. At that price, coal, natural gas,
nuclear and renewable electricity sources like wind become roughly
cost-competitive, Moniz says. "There is not going to be one silver
bullet," he adds. "And without much improved energy efficiency, we have
no chance of meeting targets like doubling or less than doubling
preindustrial levels of CO2 in the atmosphere," as many
scientists have urged as a goal to prevent dangerous climate change.
Ultimately, it is such efforts to combat climate change that drive
sequestration needs, and a 2006 M.I.T. poll of 1,200 Americans indicates
that they are willing to pay an average of $21 a month for solutions to
this global problem. The conundrum is that there is nothing to pay for
as of yet when it comes to coal. No "clean coal" technology has been
demonstrated with carbon capture and storage and no large-scale
sequestration projects have been undertaken. It also remains unclear
where and exactly how much storage capacity the U.S. has. "Pore volume
that you can use to hold CO2 is a new natural resource,"
Friedmann says of the underground reserves that might be suitable to
contain liquid carbon dioxide. "What is the capacity? What does it look
like? How fast can you inject?" |
In short, the report finds that coal will
remain the electricity-generation king and geologic sequestration is the
solution best suited to minimize the attendant carbon dioxide pollution.
This will require building a liquid CO2 infrastructure
comparable to the national highway system as well as assessing which
coal-burning technologies work best with which carbon capture
technologies. In other words, the way such carbon capture and
sequestration will work remains as hazy as the smog coal-fired power
plants produce but it needs to become clear quickly if the world plans
to continue burning such fossil sunlight. "How hard and how far can we
push capacity in a safe, virtually riskless way?" Moniz asks. "There
remains a scientific consensus on viability. Implementation is a
different issue." |
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