Wind's prosperity has hit new heights. But, future
growth is tied to overcoming concerns from citizens groups
and regulators while continuing to produce power at less
cost.
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Ken Silverstein
EnergyBiz Insider
Editor-in-Chief |
Superior, lower-priced technologies along with high
natural gas prices and a general push to go green are
giving the wind industry a lift. But, good wind sites that
have easy access to existing transmission are a novelty
while opposition groups are getting louder. Some say that
windmills are an eyesore and others are worried that the
power they generate cannot be counted on to perform during
peak periods.
"Utilities know their system can meet predictable but
variable load," says Brian Parsons, project manager for
wind applications at the National Wind Technology Center.
"If you think of wind as an added variable -- not
something in isolation -- but in the context of running an
entire portfolio, it is attractive. Look at how other
generation resources can adjust. Any new generator will
have issues but wind is different. It is variable. But we
are displacing gas and other fuels. That's the main
value."
The California Public Utility Commission underwrote a
report that found the top 18 wind units there
underperformed in July 2006 during some of the hottest
days. Succinctly, 608 megawatts were available after
transmission congestion was subtracted. But, during a five
day period from 3 p.m. to 4 p.m., the units only produced
145-533 megawatts. While the report does say the analysis
is "rough," it is nevertheless concerned - creating "some
uncertainty in the reliability of wind units during times
of system need."
Proponents of wind shrug off the report, noting that
all generation forms must be backed up with other types of
power in case they go down. They add that new technologies
are always emerging and make wind not just environmentally
beneficial but also cost effective and increasingly
reliable.
Utilities were paying 5 cents a kilowatt hour, although
it amounted to 3 cents per kilowatt hour with the
production tax credit given to wind producers. Prices are
now rising, largely because manufacturers can't produce
enough turbines to meet demand. In any event, experts say
that if the price of natural gas is above $5 per million
Btus, wind is competitive. And wind is also viable with
newer coal plants that use the latest technologies,
although it is not with the older facilities.
Today's land turbines average about 1.5 megawatts each,
although the development is underway to gradually increase
that power to as much as 5 megawatts each and all by 2012.
General Electric, for example, is now working with
national researchers to complete the design of blades that
will work better and cheaper, both on land and at sea.
Experts say that would cut the price of wind exponentially
in the coming years.
"If you double the diameter of the blade, you will get
four times the output," says Parsons. But the cost will
not quadruple. At the same time, taller towers are able to
capture more of the wind, he adds -- all research that the
center is now tackling.
Fast Development
The U.S. wind energy industry installed 2,454 megawatts
of new generating capacity in 2006, an investment of
approximately $4 billion. That total investment is second
only to natural gas facilities. The total U.S. installed
wind energy capacity climbed by 27 percent to 11,603 MW,
greater than the 10,000 MW milestone reached in August
2006.
And the power source could expand even faster if not
for the high demand and subsequent market constraints. GE
Wind Energy supplies 60 percent of the turbines and says
that its plants are at capacity through 2007. Meanwhile,
Clipper Windpower is gearing up and planning to produce a
total of 250 wind turbines by 2007.
GE Energy Financial Services, a unit of General
Electric and a sister to the wind energy division, is
committing to invest in a 410-megawatt wind farm
portfolio, on top of the 3,100 megawatts it now owns. The
$270 million will go to six wind farms in California,
Illinois, New Mexico and Pennsylvania. All the facilities
will be completed by year-end.
Altogether, new utility-scale turbines from all sources
were installed in a total of 20 states across the country,
from Maine to New Mexico to Alaska. Texas accounted for
nearly a third of the new wind power installed in 2006,
with California second. Still, the developers can't evade
the permitting process or the technological realities.
That is, the transmission infrastructure is not
adequate and the power generated is therefore difficult to
harness and transport. The wind, for example, blows
hardest offshore and in the states of Montana, the Dakotas
and Wyoming -- all of which are problematic when it comes
to building new transmission lines. There are other places
where the wind is not as strong but the infrastructure
does exist -- from the northeast to the Mid Atlantic
regions.
Then there's the issue of winning public approval. No
one really wants a wind farm -- a power plant -- near
where they live. In West Virginia, for example, residents
forced a subsidiary of U.S. Wind Force to withdraw its
permit application. By contrast, environmental groups in
the same state tried unsuccessfully to prevent
Chicago-based Invenergy from going forward with a
124-tower facility. In all cases, opponents argue the
sites would spoil views while hurting tourism and property
values.
The strong demand for wind power is a function of
national mood. That desire for clean energy, in turn, has
prompted about 20 state legislatures to enact laws
requiring utilities to hold more green energy in their
portfolios. But, those demands are running headfirst into
the age-old dilemma of resistant neighborhoods as well as
the stark truth that the wind does not blow on demand and
can't easily get hooked into the grid. As the industry
proves its case both environmentally and economically,
those obstacles will fall.
More information on this topic is available from Energy
Central:
Embracing the Wind, EnergyBiz, Jan/Feb 2006
Catching Wind, EnergyBiz, May/June 2005
Copyright © 1996-2006 by
CyberTech,
Inc.
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