For one day at least, production rises
Four news items carried by Platts on one day couldn't help but stand out.
At Platts, we're supposed to be neutral in the age-old conflict between
bears and bulls. But we're not robots; we understand that prices at this
level are bad news for many, many people in the world.
What's been so notable during the price runup is the rise in prominence of
the peak oil school of thought, and the fact that every report in recent
weeks buttresses the arguments of that analysis.
One day can't change that. It's a long-term view. But after days of anything
from a steady drip to a torrent of news on restraints and cutbacks in
production, it was a welcome relief last Friday to get a one-day respite.
In short order, Platts' Elzbieta Rabalska in London reported that the
loading program for North Sea Oseberg crude will rise to 212,903 b/d for
December, up a further 32,903 b/d from November's output of 180,000 b/d. The
total for the month now is projected to be 6.6 million barrels, compared
with November's total of 5.4 million barrels
She then reported that the loading program for North Sea Forties crude has
been set at 658,065 b/d for December, up 78,065 b/d from 580,000 b/d in
November.
From Brazil came news that Petrobras said it will bring on stream two new
offshore production platforms, its 80,000 b/d P-52 rig and its Golfinho
floating production, storage and offloading unit with capacity of 100,000
b/d, beginning as early as this week. That announcement came from Petrobras
CFO Almir Barbassa.
Finally, Platts reported that total crude output from OPEC rose by 350,000
b/d in October to average 31.11 million b/d over the month, largely on
higher volumes from Saudi Arabia and Iraq. The Iraqi increase of 110,000 b/d
was particularly reassuring, because with growing reports that parts of the
country are stabilizing, it may mean that for now at least, Iraqi production
is not hanging by a string.
So it was just one day's worth of news. Underlying trends aren't changed by
it. But it was a refreshing way to wrap up the week.
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