IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. Solar wind
observations from ACE show a small increase in velocity, consistent
with a favorably positioned coronal hole. However, the change in the
solar wind has not been sufficient to increase activity levels above
quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (09-11 November).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Nov 070
Predicted 09 Nov-11 Nov 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 08 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov 000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Nov 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales