IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to begin the period at quiet levels. During the latter
half of 13 November, conditions are expected to increase to
unsettled to occasionally active levels, with isolated minor storm
periods possible at high latitudes. The elevated conditions are due
to a geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream and are expected to
persist through the end of the forecast period.
III. Event Probabilities 13 Nov-15 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Nov 070
Predicted 13 Nov-15 Nov 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 12 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Nov 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Nov 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Nov-15 Nov 008/010-015/015-015/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Nov-15 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/35/25
Minor storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/10/10
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/45/35
Minor storm 15/25/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales