US Mortgage Rates Remain Flat Amidst Mixed Economic Signals

Location: McLean
Author: Eileen Fitzpatrick
Date: Friday, November 16, 2007
 

Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) yesterday released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 6.24 percent with an average 0.4 point for the week ending November 15, unchanged from last week when it averaged 6.24 percent as well.  Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.24 percentThe 30-year FRM has not been lower since the week ending May 17, when it averaged 6.21 percent.

The 15-year FRM this week averaged 5.88 percent with an average 0.4 point, down from last week when it averaged 5.90 percent.  A year ago, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.94 percent.  The 15-year FRM has not been lower since the week ending May 10, 2007, when it averaged 5.87 percent.

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 5.96 percent this week, with an average 0.4 point, up from last week when it averaged 5.89 percent.  A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 6.04 percent. 

One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 5.50 percent this week with an average 0.5 point, unchanged from last week.  At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 5.53 percent.  The 1-year ARM has not been this low since the week ending May 17, 2007, when it averaged 5.48 percent. (Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total cost of obtaining the mortgage.)

“Higher productivity growth in the third quarter coupled with a larger-than-expected decline in consumer confidence in November sent mixed signals to the current state of the economy,” said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist.  “As a result, there were no definite upward or downward pressures on mortgage rates this week.

“On a positive note, the National Association of Realtors reported this week an unexpected 0.2 percent gain in September’s pending home sales index, which suggests less of a decline in existing home sales for October and November.  That said, however, it should be noted the index is still 24 percent below that in December 2006.”

 

Freddie Mac Region

PMMS Weights

Northeast

23.9

Southeast

20.4

North Central

14.3

Southwest

11.0

West

30.3

PRIMARY MORTGAGE MARKET SURVEY RESULTS

30-YEAR FIXED RATE MORTGAGES

 

 

 

US

NE

SE

NC

SW

W

AVERAGE

6.24

6.27

6.21

6.31

6.26

6.21

Fees & Points

0.4

0.2

0.5

0.2

0.4

0.6

 

15-YEAR FIXED RATE MORTGAGES

 

 

 

US

NE

SE

NC

SW

W

AVERAGE

5.88

5.94

5.86

5.91

5.91

5.85

Fees & Points

0.4

0.2

0.5

0.2

0.4

0.5

 

5/1 ADJUSTABLE RATE MORTGAGES (ARMs)

 

 

 

US

NE

SE

NC

SW

W

AVERAGE

5.96

6.04

5.95

6.01

5.97

5.89

Fees & Points

0.4

0.2

0.5

0.2

0.5

0.5

 

Margin                        2.75                2.77              2.76           2.76          2.78             2.73

1-YEAR ADJUSTABLE RATE MORTGAGES (ARMs)

 

 

 

US

NE

SE

NC

SW

W

AVERAGE

5.50

5.71

5.38

5.54

5.50

5.43

Fees & Points

0.5

0.4

0.6

0.2

0.7

0.5

 

Margin                   2.74               2.75           2.76           2.73        2.81        2.71

THE NATIONAL MORTGAGE RATE SNAPSHOT

 

 

 

One Year Ago

 

30-YR FRM

15-YR FRM

5/1 ARM

1-YR ARM

AVERAGE

6.24

5.94

6.04

5.53

Fees & Points

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

 

 

 

 

One Week Ago

 

30-YR FRM

15-YR FRM

5/1 ARM

1-YR ARM

AVERAGE

6.24

5.90

5.89

5.50

Fees & Points

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.6

 

Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is for informational purposes only and Freddie Mac is not responsible for business decisions made based on the reported results of the PMMS.  Freddie Mac may change the methodology used to conduct the PMMS survey at any time and without notice.

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