Canada is changing course when it comes to dealing
with climate change. Under Prime Minister Stephen
Harper, it will quit participating in the Kyoto Protocol
when it expires in 2012 and will join the Asia-Pacific
partnership.
|
Ken Silverstein
EnergyBiz Insider
Editor-in-Chief |
The two treaties both attempt to curb greenhouse
gases that cause climate change. But the Kyoto Protocol
is mandatory with definite timetables whereas the
Asia-Pacific Partnership does not set any rigid
requirements. The Canadian prime minister, a long time
skeptic of Kyoto, made his announcement last week at a
United Nations conference to extend and redefine Kyoto's
requirement beyond 2012.
Canada must balance its obligations to the
environment with those of its own economy, Harper says.
And the nation cannot be disadvantaged if other major
emitters are not willing to agree to compulsory cuts in
greenhouse gases. With that in mind, Canada will join
the United States, Australia, Japan, China, India and
Korea in the alternative alliance - a group that
accounts for half the world's greenhouse gas emissions.
"These are discussions we want to get involved in
because these are the people that have to get involved
in an effective international protocol, or we won't have
such a protocol," Harper told reporters after the UN
conference. "This will be another international forum
where Canada can pursue its objectives in terms of
fighting climate change."
Canada will remain a party to the Kyoto pact through
2012. That agreement, ratified by 173 nations in 2004,
calls on developed nations to cut their greenhouse gas
emissions by 6 percent from 1990 levels. They are to do
so by 2012.
Canada and the European Union were instrumental in
the effort to get the protocol ratified. The United
States had refused to join it while major developing
countries like China and India were exempted from early
emissions. The agreement was initially signed by
Canada's liberal government. Conservatives, however,
protested it and said it would cost jobs and have little
effect on emissions. They now point out that Canada's
annual greenhouse gas releases are about 25 percent
higher than they were in 1990.
The nations that joined Kyoto are required to submit
reports that detail their progress. Beside Canada,
Finland, New Zealand and Spain are at least 20 percent
off target. Any country that fails to meet its 6 percent
goal by 2012 must then increase its obligation by 30
percent during the next commitment period. Such nations
also have to develop a blueprint that outlines their
future plan of action.
Ironically, the purpose of the UN conference had been
to galvanize support for Kyoto and to refine the climate
change pact going forward. UN secretary general Ban
Ki-moon is a strong backer of the international protocol
and definitive action to control carbon emissions,
saying "the time for doubt has passed."
Critics Speak
In making his announcement at the UN conference,
Prime Minister Harper had hoped to portray his
government as conciliatory and concerned when it comes
to combating climate change. Like others, he called on
nations to curb their heat trapping emissions by 50
percent by 2050, although he said that binding targets
are unwise.
Critics of Harpers actions, such as Sierra Club of
Canada, said that the prime minister not only undercut
the UN secretary general but that he also embarrassed
his fellow countrymen. Other high profile participants
at the UN conference did not take direct shots at Harper
but they did at his ideas. Among those present were
former U.S. Vice President Al Gore and California
Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, who have referred to the
Asia-Pacific Partnership as "Kyoto Lite."
Kyoto's backers say that its provisions will have a
nominal effect on Canada's economy, noting that growth
is expected to occur, but at 0.4 percent less than it
would otherwise. Any economic risks pale in comparison
to the environmental consequences of doing nothing, they
add. Rising sea levels and massive floods present an
even greater danger and would cause trillions in
economic damages.
Canada's new position is a blow to Kyoto's backers
and comes amidst a summit to be held in Bali, Indonesia
in December. That's when the UN Framework Convention on
Climate Change will work to stretch Kyoto's lifespan
beyond 2012. All signatories of the protocol are now
figuring out how to minimize their use of fossil fuels
and to increase their use of wind, solar and energy
conservation.
By comparison, the Asia-Pacific Partnership is
voluntary and relies entirely on free market approaches
to fighting climate change. Like Kyoto's participants,
it also would use trading exchanges to accomplish the
standards it sets. Participants, for example, could
establish non-binding limits on emission levels. Those
nations that exceed their goals could sell credits to
those that are unable to meet their obligations.
At the same time, this alternative alliance would
promote the use of new technologies by easing the
transfer of them to nations around the globe. Indeed,
the development of new technologies is at the heart of
the battle against global warming. Along those lines,
Canada is working on carbon capture and storage
technologies. Before any carbon emissions would be
released, they would be sequestered and buried. "Canada
is working on a variety of strategies," says Harper.
In expressing his skepticism of the Kyoto Protocol,
the prime minister makes valid arguments. Nevertheless,
the push to improve air quality will remain a constant
and by extension, the concerns surrounding global
warming will not fade. The international community will
pressure Canada and other nations to create more
definitive plans on how they expect to reduce their
emission levels and the subsequent greenhouse gases.