Nigeria: Can the US bully OPEC into submission?
by Yemi Akisanya
18-09-07
The United States Senate, in a move obviously targeted at OPEC,
frightened about the effects of spiralling world crude prices and the
consequences for the greatest gas guzzling nation on earth, is currently
pushing through a Bill to outlaw oil cartels.
Recently, there were stories of a new proposed law of the United States of
America that purports to outlaw cartels in the petroleum market. One needs
not be a rocket scientist to know that the target of this law is the
Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC.
It is reported that the proposed Bill makes it illegal for "any foreign
state or instrumentality thereof to act collectively or in combination with
any other state or any other person whether by cartel or any other
association or form of co-operation or joint action, to limit the production
or distribution of oil, natural gas, or any other petroleum product, to set
or maintain the price of petroleum, when such action has a direct,
substantial, and reasonably foreseeable effect on the market, supply, price,
or distribution of petroleum in the United States".
We have not had the privilege of seeing the whole of this proposed bill.
Hopefully, it makes adequate and effectual exceptions and exclusions for
those instrumentalities of the American state that control its "strategic"
reserve and inventory of oil and gas or, which enforce its environmental
protection laws to such an extent that it has simply become an economic hell
for American companies to produce oil profitably in the US.
Truth be told; high oil prices have not been exclusively a consequence of
any action of OPEC or its members. Some of the shortages or defaults of
supply that have engendered the beginning of the high prices can reasonably
be traced directly or indirectly to American policies and wars in the Middle
East.
These wars and policies really have contributed more to the shortage of
supply and consequential rise in oil prices than OPEC, and the high prices
have been fuelled and sustained thereafter by the insatiable thirst and
appetites of the industrialized nations. These nations should really be
grateful to OPEC for its policies, for they would otherwise have witnessed
huge recessions in their economies but for the stability imposed by OPEC's
actions and interventions.
The word "cartel" has also been used often to describe the criminal
organizations of the largely South American drug barons. Thanks to the force
of media -- and that includes all those Hollywood spy action dramas -- in
influencing our lives and thoughts, there is a reflexive tendency,
immediately and almost automatically, to regard anything or organization
that can rightly be named or describes as a cartel, as odious and
undesirable in a free world. Assuming there is anything as a "free world".
Freedom itself, these days, is no longer an unchanging law. It has become a
variable, its scope, extent and definitions being based and determined
largely on the perspective and interests of the person or nation propounding
its attributes. So also is the notion or concept of the cartel. It has so
many parts to it that it is dangerous to jump to conclusions or focus on
only one aspect of its potentials.
Check several dictionaries and encyclopaedia; and that includes Wikipedia
for the IT savvies. All say it in different ways and in varying lengths but
the following is a summary of the different aspects of the word and its use
that emerges from them. A "Cartel" is a combination in which several
different firms, persons or (in the present context, nations), agree on some
sort of joint action. It is recognized that Cartel agreements have commonly
been made for the restriction of production and competition, joint purchase
of raw materials, joint distribution of products, allocation of market
quotas and price fixing, but not exclusively nor even majorly so.
One of these sources referred to above states that "cartels have been most
successful in controlling production and distribution of articles of which
there are nosubstitutes, especially in industries producing raw materials or
processing early stages of manufactured goods. They have come to be
associated with international trade organizations".
Regardless of perspective, interest or culture, it should not be hard to see
some good in this latter aspect of the concept. Some companies, realizing a
common interest at stake, having even sometimes formed associations designed
to promote the interchange of knowledge resulting from research or other
knowledge development enterprises and have even had the objective or
actually preventing extreme or unfair competition.
In other words, a cartel has to be carefully studied on a case by case basis
to determine if any or all of its declared ostensible objectives should be
curtailed or outlawed.
There are many angles to the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries,
OPEC. One of the most significant of OPEC's aims and achievements is the
stabilization of the petroleum market. At its current conference, for
example, itsmembers have decided or greater production to try and deal with
the high price of the product.
In times past, it has curtailed production to prevent a glutting and a
resultant price collapse that has the potential of crippling or hurting the
market and, with it, the economies of member states. And, really many others
too, including the USA. This is nothing new. Same steps for same reasons and
objectives have been taken in the US steel industry/market, in the European
Union's agricultural subsidies, and other such instances. No one considered
an uneconomic or uncompetitive practice when the Nigerian Government, since
1986, introduced its Memorandum of Understanding on Fiscal Terms,
guaranteeing, among other incentives, a minimum profit margin, regardless of
the crude market. So wherefore, now, the hue and cry?
In any event, OPEC really does not "fix" prices; nor does it restrain its
members from dealing with their crude in anyway. It simply puts in place
policies that ensure that all who have a stake inthe industry, including
American entities, can make a reasonable profit from their endeavours. It
demonstrates this in its meetings with empirical data and other materials,
many sourced and supplied from the Developed world, including the US.
Many of those entities today, have been rescued from the brink of bankruptcy
because of the stabilization achieved by these policies and practices of
OPEC. Industry participants will remember how US companies groaned and
suffered severely in the repressed price era of the early nineties. Those
same companies are today happily pouring millions, nay, billions of dollars
into the coffers of the US Inland Revenue Service, the IRS, Uncle Sam's tax
collector, being tax on their resultant petroleum operations profits.
Be that as it may, one should not hasten to criticize what appears as skewed
attitude of the US legislature. The potential to be skewed in view or
mislead in perceptions is not the exclusive preserve of the lowly. Even
statesmen and legislators are no exception. In this case, the esteemed
members of the US Legislature should be encouraged to go deeper in their
research into what the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC,
really does.
Hopefully, given the resources available to them, they should find much that
should discourage their pursuit of the objective of destroying OPEC. Indeed,
on the contrary, they may even begin to see some merit in supporting it.
The little that one reads or hears about the proceedings of OPEC at its
meetings and conferences justifies a conviction that OPEC members, too, are
concerned, like the Honourable US legislators about America, with the crude
oil price spiral and the potential instability it portends for their own
members' society, polity and economy, and that of the rest of the world.
There is much more to be gained, in engaging OPEC in meaningful dialogue to
find common ground in pursuing these mutual objectives, than through the
introduction of some draconian legislation. Any rash action otherwise, such
as the passing of this bill, could lead to further shortage or high cost of
supply of crude to the US. (Let no one think that non-OPEC countries will
sell crude at lower prices than OPEC members.)
The US should begin to correct the perception that it only uses its laws and
forces to oppress its poorer earth neighbours, and not to help them. A
perception that has long eclipsed the days of the Peace Corps and the Ford
and Rockefeller foundations, etc. In this regard, we sincerely hope that the
US Executive branch will remain firm in its resolve to resist this law.
Maybe the proposed law would achieve more if it compelled American companies
not to pay more than a certain maximum price for their crude. After all,
they also benefit from the high prices, in their revenues, profits and
dividends to their American shareholders. Such a law, if enforced, given the
proportion of crude sold to these companies, will affect the overall price
of the product. And while we are it, they might also want to consider making
it illegal for them to enforce the Memorandum of Understanding on Fiscal
Terms, etc. (the "MoU") with the Nigerian government. It really is not
exactly your example of a free-market model agreement.
The concerns of the US Government and its citizens over the price of oil,
especially the resultant increment in the price of gasoline and heating
costs, are without a doubt understandable; but let us be careful not to
throw the baby out with the birth water. OPEC has been beneficial not only
to its member states, but to the world economy as a whole.
More harm would be done by killing than by leaving it be. Practice of the
rule of law by the US has been the standard of that practice in the
democratic world. And, admirably so. However, if proper discretions are not
applied where necessary, it can quickly become a tool of bullying, and
instead of the rule of law, we may have the bull -- as in bullying -- of
law.
Mr Akisanya is a Partner at Adesanya & Akisanya, Lagos.
Source: http://allafrica.com / This
Day |