The oil race is on: India also wants Latin American
oil
by Alex Sanchez
20-09-07
It is no revelation to say that India, as it begins to bloom as a global
power, is adopting a China-like posture in its search for new oil suppliers.
New Delhi’s quest for energy supplies, as well as other extracted resources,
has brought the Asian powerhouse to the Western Hemisphere, and to
Washington’s attention. India is befriending potential oil suppliers, be it
Mexico or Venezuela, Cuba or Canada.
Even more interesting are New Delhi’s approaches to Cuba regarding the
island’s possible oil reserves. It seems clear that India is hungry for
guaranteed oil sources in order to maintain its booming economy’s momentum
and its growing geopolitical influence, and in Latin America it is finding
these potential suppliers and new friends.
Indian oil hunger
On July 2nd, the Financial Express published an article predicting that the
Indian government will send the Indian Navy to fly the flag throughout the
hemisphere in oil-rich zones, especially locations where the state-owned oil
company, ONGC Videsh Ltd (OVL), has invested in oil and gas exploration.
Pranab Mukherjee, external affairs minister, said that maritime diplomacy
has become an essential component of India’s overseas foreign policy and
that it must fulfil its necessities outside the immediate geographical area.
“We have to look at the investments ONGC Videsh is making in energy rich
areas such as Sakhalin, Sudan, Nigeria and Venezuela and extend our maritime
interests through maritime diplomacy,” Mukherjee said.
Furthermore, a senior member of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII)
said the obvious when he noted that “oil is the need of the hour and India
has to focus on new markets to get the momentum going. We have to go beyond
Europe and build economic cooperation.”
According to a report issued by the Indian news agency PTI, the growth of
oil imports in the first four months of 2006-07 came to 43 %, 32 % in
2005-06 and 62 % in 2004-05. India is importing crude oil not only to meet
domestic demand of petroleum products, but also for export of value-added
products.
The report mentions that Indian oil imports, mostly comprised of crude oil,
were valued at $ 19.87 bn between April 2007 and July 2008. India also has
plans to have as much as 5 mm tons of oil in reserve for emergency use. The
country currently imports around 70 % of the oil it consumes.
It is only natural that India will soon have to turn in a major way to areas
with reliable sources of oil, like Latin America, which presently is the
second-largest source of oil reserves after the Middle East.
Venezuela
Last September, as reported by the Caracas daily El Nacional, Venezuela’s
Hugo Chavez was quoted as saying: “India needs more oil each day. Venezuela
wants to become and will become India’s oil supplier.”
Not long after that, in January 2007, there were reports that Venezuela’s
state oil company, Petroleos de Venezuela, or PdVSA, was looking at the
possibility of setting up a refinery in India and establishing a petroleum
retailing venture there. An Associated Press article elaborated that the
proposed refinery would process the Venezuelan crude from the San Cristobal
block, where India’s ONGC Videsh Ltd., an arm of ONGC, has been offered a 30
% stake. The block has the potential to produce 900,000 to 1 mm barrels of
oil daily.
On February 16, AFX International Focus reported that President Chavez said
he is ready to divert oil exports from their current markets to other
countries like China and India, although his ability to find an immediate
alternative market is complicated because most refineries capable of
processing Venezuela’s heavy crude are located in the United States.
Recently, Chavez ran into trouble with foreign oil companies regarding the
nationalization of oil production ventures in the South American country. As
a result, oil companies like Exxon and Conoco operating in the country
decided to liquidate their stakes in Venezuela and seek just compensation.
It is unclear if thisnationalization would also affect Indian companies, but
it seems clear that, regardless of whatever decisions Chavez carries out,
New Delhi intends to go well out of its way to obtain a share of Venezuelan
oil rights. This is particularly true after the recent $ 10-bn deal signed
between Beijing and Caracas. China already is India’s direct competitor in
Asian energy markets, and New Delhi cannot afford to be left out of the race
for dwindling global oil supplies.
As important as Venezuela is, due to its vast oil reserves, it is noteworthy
that India is also looking for oil suppliers elsewhere in the region.
Brazil
A March 29 article by Business Times Singapore provides the example of
Brazil as an untapped oil giant. The article explains that with almost 12 bn
barrels, Brazil ranks third in proven oil reserves in the region, after
Mexico and Venezuela; it also has much unexploited potential reserves.
Sixteen % of Latin America’s oil supply in 2005 came from Brazil and the
country’s market share is scheduled to expand to 21.5 % by end-2010, with
2.5 mm bpd in production.
Brazil’s major oil reserves are certainly of interest to India. A June 4 AP
Financial Wire article reported that India’s state-run Oil and Natural Gas
Corporation (ONGC) and the Brazilian state-run oil leader Petroleo
Brasileiro, or Petrobras, “agreed to swap interests in oil exploration
blocks, as part of efforts to boost economic cooperation between the two
countries.”
The blocks are located in Maranhao, in the Sergipe-Alagoas Basin and in the
Santos Basin.
Last year, the Indian company bought a 15-% stake in a Brazilian offshore
oil field for about $ 170 mm from Royal Dutch Shell, after Petrobras agreed
to waive its first right to buy that stake once it became available. Under
the latest agreement, Petrobras plans to offer 25- to 30-% stakes to ONGC in
three exploration blocks in Brazil.
Mexico
A September 10 Deutsche Presse-Agentur article explains that in 2006 crude
oil accounted for 90 % of Mexico’s exports to India, which makes petroleum
the cornerstone, at this time, of Indian-Mexican relations. In addition, the
Mexican Energy Secretary has released a press statement announcing that four
companies -- the Colombian state oil company Ecopetrol, Japan’s Itochu,
India’s Reliance, and the US company Valero -- have shown interest in
building a refinery in Central America.
The members of the Plan Puebla Panama (PPP) co-operation scheme back the
project, with four countries (Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras and Panama)
interested in being considered as the location for the new refinery.
The idea of building this type of oil facility was first announced by former
Mexican president Vicente Fox at the Summit of the Americas, held at Mar del
Plata in November 2005. According to a July 9 article which ran on the AP
Financial Wire, Mexico has promised to supply the plant with 80,000 barrels
of heavy crude daily from the state-owned oil company, Petroleos de Mexico.
The company that wins the construction bid will also be committed to
supplying 55,000 bpd of gasoline and diesel stock (36 % of regional demand)
at a preferential price.
The aforementioned Business Times article regarding Mexico mentions that the
country is stepping up oil production, and is expected to produce 3.8 mm
barrels of oil per day by 2010, which adds up in total to about 33 % of
Latin America’s supply. Mexico’s share of regional refining capacity, at
almost 21 % in 2005, is likely to expand to almost 23 %. The country has six
refineries with a total capacity of about 1.5 mm bpd.
It will be interesting to see how the recent bombings around a dozen oil and
gas pipelines in the Gulf Coast state of Veracruz affect, it at all,
Indian-Mexican relations and oil-related projects. The People’s
Revolutionary Army (ERP) has claimed responsibility for these attacks.
President Felipe Calderon was actually on a visit to India when the incident
occurred. He declared that “there is no room for such criminal acts in a
democratic Mexico.”
Cuba & the Caribbean
In September 2006, India’s Oil & Natural Gas Corp. announced they will
explore oil deposits in the N-34 and N-35 blocks of Cuba’s economic
exclusion zone in the Gulf of Mexico. Cuban President Fidel Castro partly
opened the oil sector to foreign investment in June 1999, in order to cut
dependence on oil imports after years of power blackouts and fuel shortages.
The blocks have an estimated size of about 1,660 sq miles and are located in
western Cuba. This is a six-year agreement through which the Indian oil
giant will explore an area of 4,300 sq km (1,544 sq miles) of Cuban waters.
When the decision was announced, Florida’s daily St Petersburg Times
published an article explaining that: “exploring for oil ninety miles off
the coast of Florida has set off a political debate over whether US
companies, sidelined by sanctions, should be allowed to explore there. Some
Florida lawmakers say they are worried about environmental damage and the
potential threat to Florida’s tourism industry, and want companies exploring
with Cuba punished.”
US companies are barred from oil exploration in Cuba’s offshore due to
executive-mandated trade sanctions enforced against Havana since 1962.
It is noteworthy that Cuba is not the only country that India is courting in
the Caribbean, nor is it only oil on India’s mind. An April 24 article by
Business Line explained how relations are improving between Trinidad and
Tobago and India. The article explains that there have been on the Caribbean
island, with its large Hindu population, a total of $ 3 bn in Indian
investments. Mittal Steel has invested $ 1.8 bn, while Essar Steel is
setting up another steel plant costing $ 1.2 bn. The island also possesses
abundant oil reserves.
Finally, the article notes that a delegation from Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL)
was in Suriname in August looking at the possibility of oil exploration and
production as well as mining projects.
Colombia, Peru and Bolivia
Meanwhile, with respect to Colombia, a key South American player, New Delhi
is also making its presence felt. Last September, the Press Trust of India
reported that the Indian Oil company paid about $ 425 mm dollars to acquire
50 % stake in the Colombian oil firm, Omimex de Colombia. The article
explains that India’s state-owned ONGC Videsh Ltd, the overseas arm of ONGC,
and the Chinese firm Sinopec are paying $ 850 mm to acquire Omimex de
Colombia, which currently produces 20,000 barrels of oil per day.
With regards to Peru, the Indian company Reliance is at an advanced stage of
closing contracts on two oil blocks in the Andean country.
Finally, as a side note but of equal importance, even if it is not
oil-related, is a recent deal between New Delhi and La Paz, regarding El
Mutun in Bolivia, the world’s largest undeveloped iron deposit, which is
estimated to contain more than 40 bn tons of ore.
Jindal Steel & Power Limited (JSPL) along with its subsidiary Jindal Steel
Bolivia (JSB), signed a contract with the Bolivian government, through which
JSPL will invest $ 2.1 bn over eight years to develop an integrated steel
plant in the country. A JSPL press release explains that “this is the
largest investment by an Indian company in Latin America and the largest
foreign investment in a single project so far in Bolivia.”
Oil and friends for New Delhi
Along with China, India is one of the world’s growing superpowers. With this
new position comes a demand for energy to supply its accelerating economy
and its increasingly diversified industries.
By entering the Western Hemisphere, India is expressing interest in
Washington’s backyard; even more interesting is New Delhi’s approach to
Cuba. This must be of major concern for Washington as it refuses to loosen
its trade barrier on the Caribbean island.
What’s worse for the US, it is hardly in a position to exercise pressure on
its vital newfound Asian ally.
Washington seems to be caught between a rock and a hard place, while Indian
influence, in its quest for oil, continues to expand throughout the Western
Hemisphere, unencumbered by ideological considerations or historic political
animosities.
Alex Sanchez is a The Council on Hemispheric Affairs (COHA) Research Fellow.
PetroleumWorld not necessarily shares these views.
Source:
http://www.Petroleumworld.com |